Stock Analysis

Agnico Eagle Mines' (NYSE:AEM) Dividend Will Be $0.40

NYSE:AEM
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Agnico Eagle Mines Limited's (NYSE:AEM) investors are due to receive a payment of $0.40 per share on 14th of June. This means that the annual payment will be 2.3% of the current stock price, which is in line with the average for the industry.

While the dividend yield is important for income investors, it is also important to consider any large share price moves, as this will generally outweigh any gains from distributions. Investors will be pleased to see that Agnico Eagle Mines' stock price has increased by 52% in the last 3 months, which is good for shareholders and can also explain a decrease in the dividend yield.

See our latest analysis for Agnico Eagle Mines

Agnico Eagle Mines' Earnings Easily Cover The Distributions

Solid dividend yields are great, but they only really help us if the payment is sustainable. Before making this announcement, Agnico Eagle Mines' dividend was higher than its profits, but the free cash flows quite comfortably covered it. Given that the dividend is a cash outflow, we think that cash is more important than accounting measures of profit when assessing the dividend, so this is a mitigating factor.

Looking forward, earnings per share is forecast to rise by 164.9% over the next year. Under the assumption that the dividend will continue along recent trends, we think the payout ratio could be 73% which would be quite comfortable going to take the dividend forward.

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NYSE:AEM Historic Dividend May 13th 2024

Dividend Volatility

While the company has been paying a dividend for a long time, it has cut the dividend at least once in the last 10 years. Since 2014, the dividend has gone from $0.88 total annually to $1.60. This means that it has been growing its distributions at 6.2% per annum over that time. We like to see dividends have grown at a reasonable rate, but with at least one substantial cut in the payments, we're not certain this dividend stock would be ideal for someone intending to live on the income.

Agnico Eagle Mines Might Find It Hard To Grow Its Dividend

Growing earnings per share could be a mitigating factor when considering the past fluctuations in the dividend. Agnico Eagle Mines has impressed us by growing EPS at 32% per year over the past five years. Although earnings per share is up nicely Agnico Eagle Mines is paying out 168% of its earnings as dividends, which we feel is borderline unsustainable without extenuating circumstances.

Our Thoughts On Agnico Eagle Mines' Dividend

Overall, we don't think this company makes a great dividend stock, even though the dividend wasn't cut this year. In the past, the payments have been unstable, but over the short term the dividend could be reliable, with the company generating enough cash to cover it. We don't think Agnico Eagle Mines is a great stock to add to your portfolio if income is your focus.

It's important to note that companies having a consistent dividend policy will generate greater investor confidence than those having an erratic one. Meanwhile, despite the importance of dividend payments, they are not the only factors our readers should know when assessing a company. Taking the debate a bit further, we've identified 4 warning signs for Agnico Eagle Mines that investors need to be conscious of moving forward. Looking for more high-yielding dividend ideas? Try our collection of strong dividend payers.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.