Sigma Lithium Corporation

NasdaqCM:SGML Stock Report

Market Cap: US$1.9b

Sigma Lithium Past Earnings Performance

Past criteria checks 0/6

Sigma Lithium's earnings have been declining at an average annual rate of -6.2%, while the Metals and Mining industry saw earnings declining at 7.8% annually. Revenues have been growing at an average rate of 52.4% per year.

Key information

-6.20%

Earnings growth rate

-2.42%

EPS growth rate

Metals and Mining Industry Growth26.40%
Revenue growth rate52.39%
Return on equity-60.47%
Net Margin-41.82%
Last Earnings Update31 Mar 2026

Recent past performance updates

Recent updates

Seeking Alpha May 05

Why Sigma Lithium Remains The One Stock I'm Most Confident In

Summary Sigma Lithium remains a Strong Buy as lithium fundamentals strengthen and the company transitions to cash-positive operations. SGML’s volatility is driven by mine ramp-up challenges and skepticism, yet fundamentals are improving with spodumene prices at $2,080/t (+64% YTD). Demand for lithium is robust, fueled by EV and BESS growth, while supply response lags, supporting sustainable high prices well above SGML’s cash costs. Despite weak 2025 financials, SGML’s low-cost position and operational progress position it for significant re-rating if execution continues. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Narrative Update Feb 26

SGML: Mining Restart And Liquidity Concerns Will Shape Future Repricing Balance

Analysts have trimmed their average price target on Sigma Lithium by about $0.58 to roughly $17.17, reflecting updated assumptions around discount rates, revenue growth, margins, and a lower future P/E as recent research incorporates the impact of the mining restart and prior operational and liquidity concerns. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Sigma Lithium has shifted meaningfully around the time of the mining restart, with analysts updating their views on both upside potential and execution risks.
Narrative Update Feb 12

SGML: Mining Restart And Stronger Margins Will Drive Future Repricing

Analysts have lifted their price target on Sigma Lithium to $17.75 from $15.40, citing recent upgrades linked to the restart of mining operations and a modestly stronger long term margin and P/E profile in their models. Analyst Commentary Recent research shows a mix of optimism and caution around Sigma Lithium, with views shifting as mining operations pause and restart and as assumptions around margins, liquidity and valuation get adjusted.
Narrative Update Jan 27

SGML: Higher Lithium Pricing And Fines Sales Will Drive Future Repricing

Analysts have raised their implied fair value estimate for Sigma Lithium from about $14.00 to approximately $15.40, reflecting updated views on revenue growth, profitability and future P/E multiples following a series of recent rating and price target changes related to operational and liquidity concerns, as well as evolving lithium price expectations. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Sigma Lithium reflects a split view, with some bullish analysts focusing on upside tied to higher implied cash flows and others highlighting unresolved operational and liquidity questions.
Analysis Article Jan 25

New Forecasts: Here's What Analysts Think The Future Holds For Sigma Lithium Corporation (NASDAQ:SGML)

Sigma Lithium Corporation ( NASDAQ:SGML ) shareholders will have a reason to smile today, with the analysts making...
Narrative Update Jan 13

SGML: Operational And Liquidity Setbacks Will Outweigh Benefits From Higher Lithium Prices

Analysts have nudged their fair value estimate for Sigma Lithium from $13 to $14, reflecting updated assumptions around profit margins and liquidity risks, while still flagging unresolved operational issues and uncertainty over the timing of mining resumption and prepayment cash receipts. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts point to higher lithium prices supporting stronger Q4 and FY26 EBITDA estimates, which feeds into a higher fair value framework even with existing risks.
Narrative Update Dec 24

SGML: Liquidity Risks Will Temper Benefits From Higher Lithium Pricing

Analysts have nudged their price target on Sigma Lithium higher to approximately $13.00 from about $10.50, citing stronger long term lithium pricing that modestly boosts revenue growth expectations, even as slightly lower margin forecasts and higher forward valuation multiples temper the upside. Analyst Commentary Recent updates from covering analysts reflect a more nuanced stance on Sigma Lithium, balancing improving fundamentals against ongoing macro and capital structure risks.
Analysis Article Dec 23

Market Participants Recognise Sigma Lithium Corporation's (NASDAQ:SGML) Revenues Pushing Shares 37% Higher

Despite an already strong run, Sigma Lithium Corporation ( NASDAQ:SGML ) shares have been powering on, with a gain of...
Narrative Update Dec 10

SGML: Liquidity Concerns Will Overshadow Benefits From Upcoming Cost Reductions

Analysts have raised their price target on Sigma Lithium to $11 from $10, citing higher forecast EBITDA supported by improving lithium prices, even as they factor in elevated liquidity risk and the potential need for an equity raise. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Sigma Lithium reflects a mixed but increasingly constructive stance, with price targets adjusted to reflect evolving expectations for lithium pricing, earnings power, and balance sheet risk.
Narrative Update Nov 26

SGML: Upgraded Mining Operations Will Reduce Costs And Support Margin Expansion

The analyst price target for Sigma Lithium has been raised from $8.50 to $10.50 per share. Analysts cite improved profit margin expectations and higher EBITDA forecasts, despite ongoing liquidity concerns.
Narrative Update Nov 12

SGML: Upgraded Operations Will Drive Efficiency Gains And Improved Profit Margins

The analyst price target for Sigma Lithium has been reduced from $12 to $10 per share. Analysts cite a weaker macroeconomic environment and inconsistent end-market performance as key factors behind the downward revision.
Analysis Article Nov 03

Would Sigma Lithium (NASDAQ:SGML) Be Better Off With Less Debt?

Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility...
Narrative Update Oct 29

Modernized Operations And Cost Reductions Will Drive Future Lithium Demand Recovery

Analysts have revised their price target for Sigma Lithium downward from $11.00 to $9.50 per share, citing ongoing weakness in macroeconomic conditions as well as mixed trends across industrial and commodity markets. Analyst Commentary Recent analyst revisions reflect mixed sentiment regarding Sigma Lithium’s outlook, as the macroeconomic and industry-specific backdrop remains turbulent.
Narrative Update Oct 14

Rapid EV Adoption And Decarbonization Will Spark Lithium Expansion

Analysts have lowered their price target for Sigma Lithium from $12 to $10, citing a more negative macro environment and inconsistent performance across key markets. Analyst Commentary Recent research notes on Sigma Lithium reflect a mix of optimism and caution among analysts as the company heads into the third quarter.
Analysis Article Oct 10

Sigma Lithium Corporation (NASDAQ:SGML) Stocks Shoot Up 28% But Its P/S Still Looks Reasonable

The Sigma Lithium Corporation ( NASDAQ:SGML ) share price has done very well over the last month, posting an excellent...
Narrative Update Aug 27

Spodumene Reserves And Greentech Efficiency Will Secure Sustainability

A sharp decline in Sigma Lithium’s net profit margin, alongside a substantially higher future P/E ratio indicating reduced earnings expectations relative to price, has led to a significant reduction in the consensus analyst price target from $17.23 to $12.00. What's in the News Special/Extraordinary Shareholders Meeting scheduled for October 14, 2025.
Analysis Article Jul 23

Is There An Opportunity With Sigma Lithium Corporation's (NASDAQ:SGML) 49% Undervaluation?

Key Insights Sigma Lithium's estimated fair value is US$13.99 based on 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity Current share...
Analysis Article Jun 12

Sigma Lithium Corporation (NASDAQ:SGML) Shares Slammed 26% But Getting In Cheap Might Be Difficult Regardless

To the annoyance of some shareholders, Sigma Lithium Corporation ( NASDAQ:SGML ) shares are down a considerable 26% in...
Analysis Article Jun 10

There's Been No Shortage Of Growth Recently For Sigma Lithium's (NASDAQ:SGML) Returns On Capital

If you're not sure where to start when looking for the next multi-bagger, there are a few key trends you should keep an...
Analysis Article May 20

Does Sigma Lithium (NASDAQ:SGML) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?

Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it seems the smart money knows that...
Analysis Article Apr 13

Sigma Lithium Corporation's (NASDAQ:SGML) 29% Cheaper Price Remains In Tune With Revenues

Sigma Lithium Corporation ( NASDAQ:SGML ) shareholders that were waiting for something to happen have been dealt a blow...
Analysis Article Feb 26

Sigma Lithium Corporation's (NASDAQ:SGML) Share Price Matching Investor Opinion

When close to half the companies in the Metals and Mining industry in the United States have price-to-sales ratios (or...
Analysis Article Jan 24

We Think Sigma Lithium (NASDAQ:SGML) Has A Fair Chunk Of Debt

The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says...
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New Narrative Nov 21

Tactical Transformations Set To Propel Growth In Sustainable Metals And Mining

Strategic shift to a trader distributor model enhances revenue stability by capturing favorable pricing and managing market seasonality.
Analysis Article Nov 11

Investors Will Want Sigma Lithium's (NASDAQ:SGML) Growth In ROCE To Persist

If you're not sure where to start when looking for the next multi-bagger, there are a few key trends you should keep an...
Analysis Article Sep 30

Sigma Lithium (NASDAQ:SGML) Takes On Some Risk With Its Use Of Debt

Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously...
Seeking Alpha Aug 18

Sigma Lithium: Things Are Slowly Improving

Summary Sigma Lithium Corporation reported earnings below expectations, with a loss of 9 cents per share and revenues of $45 million. It showed operational improvements and better pricing power. The stock gave back most of its gains from 2022 and 2023, but now might be at more "investable" levels from last year's bubble levels. It's still a speculative bet at this point, and we will see if the company can scale fast enough to achieve profitability. Demand is definitely there for its lithium, though. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha Jun 17

Sigma Lithium Corporation: Reevaluating The Company's Production Before Potential Sale

Summary Sigma Lithium Corporation aims to support its valuation by expanding production capacity and stabilizing lithium prices. The company plans to increase concentrate production through infrastructure builds in H2 2024, with a focus on green lithium production and low-cost operating models. SGML's valuation metrics suggest the stock may be slightly overvalued, but potential production increases and strategic partnerships could boost its market standings. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Analysis Article May 31

Sigma Lithium (NASDAQ:SGML) Is Experiencing Growth In Returns On Capital

If you're not sure where to start when looking for the next multi-bagger, there are a few key trends you should keep an...
Analysis Article May 03

Does Sigma Lithium (NASDAQ:SGML) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?

David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the...
Analysis Article Feb 14

Need To Know: Analysts Are Much More Bullish On Sigma Lithium Corporation (NASDAQ:SGML) Revenues

Sigma Lithium Corporation ( NASDAQ:SGML ) shareholders will have a reason to smile today, with the analysts making...

Revenue & Expenses Breakdown

How Sigma Lithium makes and spends money. Based on latest reported earnings, on an LTM basis.


Earnings and Revenue History

NasdaqCM:SGML Revenue, expenses and earnings (USD Millions)
DateRevenueEarningsG+A ExpensesR&D Expenses
31 Mar 26105-44180
31 Dec 25110-50200
30 Sep 25139-33230
30 Jun 25134-48260
31 Mar 25156-37260
31 Dec 24151-51290
30 Sep 24142-52320
30 Jun 242169340
31 Mar 24171-13610
31 Dec 23137-29780
30 Sep 2396-781250
30 Jun 230-1271320
31 Mar 230-1071070
31 Dec 220-94940
30 Sep 220-45440
30 Jun 220-47420
31 Mar 220-32320
31 Dec 210-27250
30 Sep 210-15150
30 Jun 210-760
31 Mar 210-660
31 Dec 200-110
30 Sep 200-110
30 Jun 200-220
31 Mar 200-320
31 Dec 190-430
30 Sep 190-330
30 Jun 190-440
31 Mar 190-750
31 Dec 180-850
30 Sep 180-1750

Quality Earnings: SGML is currently unprofitable.

Growing Profit Margin: SGML is currently unprofitable.


Free Cash Flow vs Earnings Analysis


Past Earnings Growth Analysis

Earnings Trend: SGML is unprofitable, and losses have increased over the past 5 years at a rate of 6.2% per year.

Accelerating Growth: Unable to compare SGML's earnings growth over the past year to its 5-year average as it is currently unprofitable

Earnings vs Industry: SGML is unprofitable, making it difficult to compare its past year earnings growth to the Metals and Mining industry (77.8%).


Return on Equity

High ROE: SGML has a negative Return on Equity (-60.47%), as it is currently unprofitable.


Return on Assets


Return on Capital Employed


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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/05/18 12:37
End of Day Share Price 2026/05/18 00:00
Earnings2026/03/31
Annual Earnings2025/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

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Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Sigma Lithium Corporation is covered by 7 analysts. 3 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
MacMurray WhaleATB Cormark
Joel JacksonBMO Capital Markets Equity Research
Rock Hoffman BlaskoBofA Global Research