Stock Analysis

We Think Sigma Lithium (NASDAQ:SGML) Has A Fair Chunk Of Debt

The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. Importantly, Sigma Lithium Corporation (NASDAQ:SGML) does carry debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

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When Is Debt Dangerous?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

View our latest analysis for Sigma Lithium

What Is Sigma Lithium's Debt?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at September 2023 Sigma Lithium had debt of CA$150.4m, up from none in one year. However, it does have CA$38.1m in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about CA$112.3m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NasdaqCM:SGML Debt to Equity History December 7th 2023

How Healthy Is Sigma Lithium's Balance Sheet?

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Sigma Lithium had liabilities of CA$99.8m falling due within a year, and liabilities of CA$136.6m due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had CA$38.1m in cash and CA$77.1m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by CA$121.1m.

Since publicly traded Sigma Lithium shares are worth a total of CA$4.23b, it seems unlikely that this level of liabilities would be a major threat. Having said that, it's clear that we should continue to monitor its balance sheet, lest it change for the worse. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Sigma Lithium can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

While it hasn't made a profit, at least Sigma Lithium booked its first revenue as a publicly listed company, in the last twelve months.

Caveat Emptor

Importantly, Sigma Lithium had an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss over the last year. Indeed, it lost CA$93m at the EBIT level. When we look at that and recall the liabilities on its balance sheet, relative to cash, it seems unwise to us for the company to have any debt. Quite frankly we think the balance sheet is far from match-fit, although it could be improved with time. Another cause for caution is that is bled CA$200m in negative free cash flow over the last twelve months. So to be blunt we think it is risky. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example, we've discovered 2 warning signs for Sigma Lithium that you should be aware of before investing here.

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

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Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About NasdaqCM:SGML

Sigma Lithium

Engages in the exploration and development of lithium deposits in Brazil.

High growth potential with low risk.

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