Stock Analysis

We Think Sigma Lithium (NASDAQ:SGML) Has A Fair Chunk Of Debt

The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We note that Sigma Lithium Corporation (NASDAQ:SGML) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

When Is Debt A Problem?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

View our latest analysis for Sigma Lithium

How Much Debt Does Sigma Lithium Carry?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at September 2024 Sigma Lithium had debt of CA$244.8m, up from CA$150.4m in one year. However, it also had CA$88.6m in cash, and so its net debt is CA$156.2m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NasdaqCM:SGML Debt to Equity History January 24th 2025

How Strong Is Sigma Lithium's Balance Sheet?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Sigma Lithium had liabilities of CA$185.3m due within 12 months and liabilities of CA$165.3m due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had CA$88.6m in cash and CA$31.2m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by CA$230.8m.

Since publicly traded Sigma Lithium shares are worth a total of CA$1.82b, it seems unlikely that this level of liabilities would be a major threat. Having said that, it's clear that we should continue to monitor its balance sheet, lest it change for the worse. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Sigma Lithium can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

In the last year Sigma Lithium wasn't profitable at an EBIT level, but managed to grow its revenue by 48%, to CA$193m. Shareholders probably have their fingers crossed that it can grow its way to profits.

Caveat Emptor

While we can certainly appreciate Sigma Lithium's revenue growth, its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss is not ideal. Indeed, it lost CA$24m at the EBIT level. Considering that alongside the liabilities mentioned above does not give us much confidence that company should be using so much debt. So we think its balance sheet is a little strained, though not beyond repair. For example, we would not want to see a repeat of last year's loss of CA$71m. So we do think this stock is quite risky. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For instance, we've identified 1 warning sign for Sigma Lithium that you should be aware of.

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

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Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About NasdaqCM:SGML

Sigma Lithium

Engages in the exploration and development of lithium deposits in Brazil.

High growth potential with low risk.

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