Stock Analysis

The Market Doesn't Like What It Sees From Ramaco Resources, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:METC) Earnings Yet As Shares Tumble 26%

NasdaqGS:METC
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Ramaco Resources, Inc. (NASDAQ:METC) shareholders won't be pleased to see that the share price has had a very rough month, dropping 26% and undoing the prior period's positive performance. For any long-term shareholders, the last month ends a year to forget by locking in a 57% share price decline.

Following the heavy fall in price, Ramaco Resources' price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 14.3x might make it look like a buy right now compared to the market in the United States, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios above 19x and even P/E's above 34x are quite common. However, the P/E might be low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

Ramaco Resources hasn't been tracking well recently as its declining earnings compare poorly to other companies, which have seen some growth on average. The P/E is probably low because investors think this poor earnings performance isn't going to get any better. If this is the case, then existing shareholders will probably struggle to get excited about the future direction of the share price.

View our latest analysis for Ramaco Resources

pe-multiple-vs-industry
NasdaqGS:METC Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry January 9th 2025
Keen to find out how analysts think Ramaco Resources' future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

Does Growth Match The Low P/E?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should underperform the market for P/E ratios like Ramaco Resources' to be considered reasonable.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 45% decrease to the company's bottom line. Still, the latest three year period has seen an excellent 73% overall rise in EPS, in spite of its unsatisfying short-term performance. Although it's been a bumpy ride, it's still fair to say the earnings growth recently has been more than adequate for the company.

Looking ahead now, EPS is anticipated to climb by 5.2% each year during the coming three years according to the three analysts following the company. That's shaping up to be materially lower than the 11% each year growth forecast for the broader market.

In light of this, it's understandable that Ramaco Resources' P/E sits below the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are expecting to see limited future growth and are only willing to pay a reduced amount for the stock.

What We Can Learn From Ramaco Resources' P/E?

Ramaco Resources' recently weak share price has pulled its P/E below most other companies. While the price-to-earnings ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of earnings expectations.

As we suspected, our examination of Ramaco Resources' analyst forecasts revealed that its inferior earnings outlook is contributing to its low P/E. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in earnings isn't great enough to justify a higher P/E ratio. Unless these conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.

And what about other risks? Every company has them, and we've spotted 2 warning signs for Ramaco Resources you should know about.

Of course, you might also be able to find a better stock than Ramaco Resources. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.