Stock Analysis

Alto Ingredients, Inc. (NASDAQ:ALTO) Surges 25% Yet Its Low P/S Is No Reason For Excitement

NasdaqCM:ALTO
Source: Shutterstock

Those holding Alto Ingredients, Inc. (NASDAQ:ALTO) shares would be relieved that the share price has rebounded 25% in the last thirty days, but it needs to keep going to repair the recent damage it has caused to investor portfolios. The bad news is that even after the stocks recovery in the last 30 days, shareholders are still underwater by about 2.2% over the last year.

In spite of the firm bounce in price, given about half the companies operating in the United States' Chemicals industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") above 1.4x, you may still consider Alto Ingredients as an attractive investment with its 0.2x P/S ratio. However, the P/S might be low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

View our latest analysis for Alto Ingredients

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NasdaqCM:ALTO Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry December 20th 2023

What Does Alto Ingredients' P/S Mean For Shareholders?

With revenue that's retreating more than the industry's average of late, Alto Ingredients has been very sluggish. It seems that many are expecting the dismal revenue performance to persist, which has repressed the P/S. You'd much rather the company improve its revenue performance if you still believe in the business. Or at the very least, you'd be hoping the revenue slide doesn't get any worse if your plan is to pick up some stock while it's out of favour.

Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Alto Ingredients will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

How Is Alto Ingredients' Revenue Growth Trending?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should underperform the industry for P/S ratios like Alto Ingredients' to be considered reasonable.

Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 8.3%. Regardless, revenue has managed to lift by a handy 18% in aggregate from three years ago, thanks to the earlier period of growth. So we can start by confirming that the company has generally done a good job of growing revenue over that time, even though it had some hiccups along the way.

Turning to the outlook, the next year should generate growth of 0.4% as estimated by the dual analysts watching the company. With the industry predicted to deliver 5.5% growth, the company is positioned for a weaker revenue result.

In light of this, it's understandable that Alto Ingredients' P/S sits below the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are expecting to see limited future growth and are only willing to pay a reduced amount for the stock.

The Bottom Line On Alto Ingredients' P/S

Despite Alto Ingredients' share price climbing recently, its P/S still lags most other companies. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

As we suspected, our examination of Alto Ingredients' analyst forecasts revealed that its inferior revenue outlook is contributing to its low P/S. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in revenue isn't great enough to justify a higher P/S ratio. Unless these conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.

You always need to take note of risks, for example - Alto Ingredients has 1 warning sign we think you should be aware of.

If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Alto Ingredients, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Alto Ingredients is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

View the Free Analysis

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.