The Progressive Corporation

NYSE:PGR Stock Report

Market Cap: US$140.6b

Progressive Future Growth

Future criteria checks 2/6

Progressive is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 0.2% and 12.5% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 0.6% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 21.9% in 3 years.

Key information

0.2%

Earnings growth rate

0.6%

EPS growth rate

Insurance earnings growth11.5%
Revenue growth rate12.5%
Future return on equity21.9%
Analyst coverage

Good

Last updated20 Dec 2024

Recent future growth updates

Results: The Progressive Corporation Beat Earnings Expectations And Analysts Now Have New Forecasts

Jul 18
Results: The Progressive Corporation Beat Earnings Expectations And Analysts Now Have New Forecasts

Recent updates

Auto Insurer Progressive Held Up In Traffic As Valuation Puts Brakes On Rating

Dec 02

Here's Why Progressive (NYSE:PGR) Has Caught The Eye Of Investors

Nov 24
Here's Why Progressive (NYSE:PGR) Has Caught The Eye Of Investors

Progressive: Skyrocketing Car Insurance Costs Increase Consumer Price Sensitivity

Oct 28

Progressive Is A Buy On Its Justified Valuation

Oct 16

What The Progressive Corporation's (NYSE:PGR) P/E Is Not Telling You

Oct 04
What The Progressive Corporation's (NYSE:PGR) P/E Is Not Telling You

Progressive: A Backbone For Your Portfolio

Sep 25

Progressive Corporation: Accumulate This Amazing Performer On Weaknesses

Aug 27

If EPS Growth Is Important To You, Progressive (NYSE:PGR) Presents An Opportunity

Aug 26
If EPS Growth Is Important To You, Progressive (NYSE:PGR) Presents An Opportunity

Results: The Progressive Corporation Beat Earnings Expectations And Analysts Now Have New Forecasts

Jul 18
Results: The Progressive Corporation Beat Earnings Expectations And Analysts Now Have New Forecasts

Progressive Is A Buy Ahead Of Earnings

Jul 08

Progressive: Innovation Prioritization And Continued Steady Growth Make It A Buy

Jun 29

Progressive: Growth Story Already Priced In

Jun 19

Investors Appear Satisfied With The Progressive Corporation's (NYSE:PGR) Prospects

Jun 18
Investors Appear Satisfied With The Progressive Corporation's (NYSE:PGR) Prospects

Progressive: This Winner Has Much More Long-Term Upside

Apr 12

Progressive Insurance, Regressive Returns?

Jan 23

Auto Insurer Progressive Speeds By On Revenue And Earnings, As Hold Rating Reaffirmed

Nov 09

The Progressive Corporation: Analysts' Estimates Overly Optimistic (Maintain Strong Sell)

Oct 09

Progressive: Continue To Hold Due To Mixed Q2 2023 Results

Jul 26

Progressive: 2nd-Worst Day Since 2002 Following An EPS Miss, Stock Near Support

Jul 13

The Progressive Corp: Leading Auto Insurer Crashes On Low Dividends And Overvaluation

Jun 21

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

NYSE:PGR - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (USD Millions)
DateRevenueEarningsFree Cash FlowCash from OpAvg. No. Analysts
12/31/202697,0688,420N/A12,8797
12/31/202587,7648,346N/A12,3058
12/31/202474,5808,124N/A12,1388
9/30/202471,9598,08414,29214,549N/A
6/30/202467,8016,86113,12213,358N/A
3/31/202465,0215,73912,17012,429N/A
12/31/202362,0823,86510,39110,643N/A
9/30/202358,6612,7078,9199,136N/A
6/30/202355,8821,7147,4557,743N/A
3/31/202352,0488286,5346,796N/A
12/31/202249,5866956,5576,849N/A
9/30/202248,6098316,0716,371N/A
6/30/202247,6878256,4346,715N/A
3/31/202248,0732,1587,3847,650N/A
12/31/202147,6773,3247,5187,762N/A
9/30/202146,6024,0468,6228,857N/A
6/30/202145,6925,4587,7547,965N/A
3/31/202144,7606,4597,6837,894N/A
12/31/202042,6385,6786,6826,906N/A
9/30/202041,9635,0646,2286,487N/A
6/30/202040,5454,3756,4956,766N/A
3/31/202039,0223,5645,6696,019N/A
12/31/201938,9983,9435,8986,262N/A
9/30/201936,2923,1375,8346,217N/A
6/30/201935,2573,2245,8096,176N/A
3/31/201933,8242,9496,1006,406N/A
12/31/201831,9552,5946,0196,285N/A
9/30/201831,0412,9125,5245,735N/A
6/30/201829,3372,215N/A5,218N/A
3/31/201827,9241,885N/A4,400N/A
12/31/201726,8161,592N/A3,757N/A
9/30/201725,8231,399N/A3,680N/A
6/30/201724,9671,374N/A3,184N/A
3/31/201724,1811,197N/A3,018N/A
12/31/201623,4171,031N/A2,733N/A
9/30/201622,690978N/A2,408N/A
6/30/201622,0291,058N/A2,434N/A
3/31/201621,4951,230N/A2,340N/A
12/31/201520,8321,268N/A2,293N/A
9/30/201520,6091,307N/A2,229N/A
6/30/201520,1061,325N/A2,114N/A
3/31/201519,5641,255N/A1,836N/A
12/31/201419,3771,281N/A1,726N/A
9/30/201418,8211,211N/A1,809N/A
6/30/201418,5741,147N/A1,804N/A
3/31/201418,4281,178N/A1,838N/A
12/31/201318,1561,165N/A1,900N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: PGR's forecast earnings growth (0.2% per year) is below the savings rate (2.6%).

Earnings vs Market: PGR's earnings (0.2% per year) are forecast to grow slower than the US market (15.2% per year).

High Growth Earnings: PGR's earnings are forecast to grow, but not significantly.

Revenue vs Market: PGR's revenue (12.5% per year) is forecast to grow faster than the US market (9.1% per year).

High Growth Revenue: PGR's revenue (12.5% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: PGR's Return on Equity is forecast to be high in 3 years time (21.9%)

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/22 04:39
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/20 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

The Progressive Corporation is covered by 45 analysts. 9 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Jacob KilsteinArgus Research Company
Ishan MajumdarBaptista Research
Alex ScottBarclays