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Employers Holdings (EIG): Assessing Value After Disappointing Earnings and Weaker Growth Outlook

Reviewed by Kshitija Bhandaru
Employers Holdings (EIG) shares have taken a hit after the company reported disappointing quarterly earnings, putting pressure on the stock price. With revenue expected to decline over the next year, investors are watching how management responds to ongoing demand and profitability concerns.
See our latest analysis for Employers Holdings.
Employers Holdings has struggled to regain upward momentum, with its share price sliding more than 16% year-to-date and the 12-month total shareholder return sitting at -9.8%. This latest dip largely reflects investor unease around earnings pressure and a weaker outlook. However, the company’s longer-term resilience is evident in the impressive 63% total shareholder return over the last five years.
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With shares trading below analyst targets but growth forecasts staying muted, investors are left to wonder if Employers Holdings offers hidden value or if the market already anticipates lingering challenges ahead.
Most Popular Narrative: 8.1% Undervalued
Employers Holdings’ fair value, according to the most widely followed analyst narrative, stands at $46.00, about 8% higher than its last close of $42.26. This signals that some believe the market is underestimating the company’s strength, despite recent turbulence.
The ongoing expansion of gig work and non-traditional employment models continues to shrink the pool of full-time employees covered under standard workers' compensation. This reduces Employers Holdings' addressable market and thereby lowers long-term premium growth and policy volume.
Dive into the narrative to see what’s powering this valuation. There is a bold expectation about profit multiples and the tricky future for revenue growth. Curious what assumptions really justify this price? The key numbers may surprise you.
Result: Fair Value of $46.00 (UNDERVALUED)
Have a read of the narrative in full and understand what's behind the forecasts.
However, continued strong policy growth in small business and disciplined cost management could boost earnings and challenge expectations of long-term decline.
Find out about the key risks to this Employers Holdings narrative.
Build Your Own Employers Holdings Narrative
If you want to see deeper details for yourself or think the story should take a different direction, it’s simple to put your own view together in just a few minutes. Do it your way
A great starting point for your Employers Holdings research is our analysis highlighting 2 key rewards and 1 important warning sign that could impact your investment decision.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.
Discover if Employers Holdings might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.
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About NYSE:EIG
Employers Holdings
Through its subsidiaries, provides workers' compensation insurance and services in the United States.
Excellent balance sheet established dividend payer.
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