Stock Analysis

Take Care Before Diving Into The Deep End On Vericity, Inc. (NASDAQ:VERY)

NasdaqCM:VERY
Source: Shutterstock

There wouldn't be many who think Vericity, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:VERY) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.6x is worth a mention when the median P/S for the Insurance industry in the United States is similar at about 0.9x. Although, it's not wise to simply ignore the P/S without explanation as investors may be disregarding a distinct opportunity or a costly mistake.

Check out our latest analysis for Vericity

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NasdaqCM:VERY Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry August 15th 2023

How Vericity Has Been Performing

As an illustration, revenue has deteriorated at Vericity over the last year, which is not ideal at all. Perhaps investors believe the recent revenue performance is enough to keep in line with the industry, which is keeping the P/S from dropping off. If you like the company, you'd at least be hoping this is the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's not quite in favour.

Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Vericity will help you shine a light on its historical performance.

How Is Vericity's Revenue Growth Trending?

The only time you'd be comfortable seeing a P/S like Vericity's is when the company's growth is tracking the industry closely.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 2.8% decrease to the company's top line. This has soured the latest three-year period, which nevertheless managed to deliver a decent 22% overall rise in revenue. Although it's been a bumpy ride, it's still fair to say the revenue growth recently has been mostly respectable for the company.

Comparing that recent medium-term revenue trajectory with the industry's one-year growth forecast of 4.6% shows it's noticeably more attractive.

In light of this, it's curious that Vericity's P/S sits in line with the majority of other companies. Apparently some shareholders believe the recent performance is at its limits and have been accepting lower selling prices.

The Final Word

It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

To our surprise, Vericity revealed its three-year revenue trends aren't contributing to its P/S as much as we would have predicted, given they look better than current industry expectations. It'd be fair to assume that potential risks the company faces could be the contributing factor to the lower than expected P/S. While recent revenue trends over the past medium-term suggest that the risk of a price decline is low, investors appear to see the likelihood of revenue fluctuations in the future.

It is also worth noting that we have found 3 warning signs for Vericity (2 make us uncomfortable!) that you need to take into consideration.

It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Vericity is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

View the Free Analysis

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.