United Fire Group Future Growth
Future criteria checks 1/6
United Fire Group's earnings are forecast to decline at 10.5% per annum while its annual revenue is expected to grow at 13.4% per year. EPS is expected to decline by 12.3% per annum.
Key information
-10.5%
Earnings growth rate
-12.26%
EPS growth rate
| Insurance earnings growth | 1.8% |
| Revenue growth rate | 13.4% |
| Future return on equity | n/a |
| Analyst coverage | Low |
| Last updated | 07 May 2026 |
Recent future growth updates
Recent updates
Narrative Update • Apr 19
UFCS: Steady Dividend And Lease Exit Will Support Balanced Future Share Pricing
Analysts have kept their $40.50 price target for United Fire Group steady, reflecting unchanged views on fair value, required return, growth assumptions and future P/E for the stock. What's in the News FibroBiologics, Inc.Narrative Update • Apr 03
UFCS: Dividend Continuity And Stable Assumptions Will Support Balanced Future Share Pricing
Analysts have kept their price target for United Fire Group steady at $40.50. This reflects unchanged assumptions around fair value, discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E in their models.Narrative Update • Mar 20
UFCS: Dividend Stability And Margins Will Support Balanced Future Share Pricing
Analysts have maintained their price target for United Fire Group at $40.50, indicating no change in their views on fair value, discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, or future P/E assumptions. What's in the News On February 9, 2026, United Fire Group's board of directors declared a common stock quarterly cash dividend of $0.20 per share.Narrative Update • Mar 04
UFCS: Dividend And Margin Outlook Will Support Fair Share Pricing
Analysts have raised their price target for United Fire Group from $37.50 to $40.50, citing updated assumptions for revenue growth, profit margins, a slightly adjusted discount rate, and future P/E. What's in the News On February 9, 2026, the board of directors of United Fire Group, Inc.Narrative Update • Feb 04
UFCS: Steady Outlook And Proposed Dividend Will Support Fair Share Pricing
Analysts have maintained their price target for United Fire Group at US$37.50, citing broadly consistent assumptions for fair value, discount rate, revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E, which together support a steady view of the company’s outlook. What's in the News A board meeting is scheduled for November 21, 2025, and the agenda includes a proposal to declare a quarterly cash dividend of US$0.16 per share.Narrative Update • Jan 21
UFCS: Stable Earnings And Dividend Outlook Will Support Fair Share Pricing
Analysts have maintained their price target for United Fire Group at $37.50, reflecting largely unchanged assumptions for fair value, discount rate, expected revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E. What's in the News A board meeting is scheduled for November 21, 2025, with an agenda to declare a quarterly cash dividend of $0.16 per share.Narrative Update • Jan 07
UFCS: Stable Earnings And Dividend Outlook Will Support Fair Share Pricing
Analysts have kept their price target for United Fire Group steady at US$37.50, reflecting largely unchanged views on fair value, discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E assumptions. What's in the News An upcoming board meeting is scheduled for November 21, 2025, focused on regular corporate matters and governance (Key Developments) The agenda for the November 21, 2025, board meeting includes a proposal to declare a quarterly cash dividend of US$0.16 per share (Key Developments) Valuation Changes Fair value: Kept unchanged at US$37.50 per share, indicating no adjustment to the central valuation estimate.Narrative Update • Dec 23
UFCS: Future Dividend And Earnings Profile Will Support Fair Share Pricing
Analysts have nudged their price target for United Fire Group higher by 1.00 dollar to 37.50 dollars, citing slightly stronger projected profitability, a modestly higher future earnings multiple, and stable growth and discount rate assumptions. What's in the News The Board of Directors is scheduled to meet on November 21, 2025, to consider regular corporate matters and strategic updates (Key Developments).Narrative Update • Dec 09
UFCS: Future Dividend And Earnings Profile Will Support Fair Share Pricing
Analysts maintained their United Fire Group price target of $36.50, citing steady expectations for revenue, profit margins, and valuation multiples that continue to support the current fair value assessment. What's in the News The Board of Directors has scheduled a meeting for November 21, 2025, to consider regular corporate matters (company disclosure).Analysis Article • Nov 27
United Fire Group (NASDAQ:UFCS) Will Pay A Dividend Of $0.16
The board of United Fire Group, Inc. ( NASDAQ:UFCS ) has announced that it will pay a dividend of $0.16 per share on...Narrative Update • Nov 25
UFCS: Future Profit Margins Will Improve While Shares Remain Fairly Valued
Analysts have raised their price target for United Fire Group from $34.00 to $36.50. They cite improved profit margins and a lower projected price-to-earnings ratio as key factors behind this upward revision.Narrative Update • Nov 07
UFCS: Future Profitability Will Face Headwinds While Fair Value Is Maintained
Analysts have raised their price target for United Fire Group from $32.00 to $34.00. They cite revised forecasts that reflect moderate changes in key valuation metrics.Seeking Alpha • Oct 14
United Fire: Benefiting From Hard Markets, But Margins Still At Risk
Summary United Fire Group is likely to face margin pressure despite recent operational improvements and strong pricing power in commercial P&C insurance. UFCS has benefitted from favorable rate environments and incremental underwriting enhancements, but rising claims costs and social inflation threaten profitability. Competition from larger insurers targeting UFCS’s small/mid-market customers adds to challenges, especially as industry margins peak. Valuation isn't bad, but I have limited confidence in UFCS’s ability to sustain above-peer growth, and I am more cautious on the stock due to sector-wide margin risks. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaAnalysis Article • Aug 21
United Fire Group (NASDAQ:UFCS) Is Paying Out A Dividend Of $0.16
United Fire Group, Inc. ( NASDAQ:UFCS ) will pay a dividend of $0.16 on the 12th of September. Based on this payment...
New Narrative • Mar 09
New System Implementation Expected To Improve Efficiency And Margins By 2025
Strong net premium growth and improved combined ratio indicate potential for increased revenue and profitability.Analysis Article • Nov 07
The Market Lifts United Fire Group, Inc. (NASDAQ:UFCS) Shares 28% But It Can Do More
United Fire Group, Inc. ( NASDAQ:UFCS ) shareholders have had their patience rewarded with a 28% share price jump in...Analysis Article • Nov 07
Market Might Still Lack Some Conviction On United Fire Group, Inc. (NASDAQ:UFCS) Even After 28% Share Price Boost
The United Fire Group, Inc. ( NASDAQ:UFCS ) share price has done very well over the last month, posting an excellent...Seeking Alpha • Apr 24
United Fire Group: Underwriting Results On An Upswing
Summary United Fire Group's underwriting results worsened in 2023 due to negative reserve developments and high inflation-impacting claims. Poor underwriting results are leading to a hard market, as insurers reprice policies to recoup costs. I expect UFCS to return to profitability in 2024 with better pricing and continued strong investment income. However, until the company actually delivers, I prefer to maintain my hold rating. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaAnalysis Article • Feb 29
United Fire Group (NASDAQ:UFCS) Has Affirmed Its Dividend Of $0.16
The board of United Fire Group, Inc. ( NASDAQ:UFCS ) has announced that it will pay a dividend on the 22nd of March...Analysis Article • Nov 23
United Fire Group (NASDAQ:UFCS) Is Paying Out A Dividend Of $0.16
United Fire Group, Inc.'s ( NASDAQ:UFCS ) investors are due to receive a payment of $0.16 per share on 15th of...Analysis Article • Aug 24
United Fire Group (NASDAQ:UFCS) Will Pay A Dividend Of $0.16
United Fire Group, Inc. ( NASDAQ:UFCS ) has announced that it will pay a dividend of $0.16 per share on the 15th of...Analysis Article • May 22
United Fire Group (NASDAQ:UFCS) Will Pay A Dividend Of $0.16
The board of United Fire Group, Inc. ( NASDAQ:UFCS ) has announced that it will pay a dividend on the 16th of June...Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts
| Date | Revenue | Earnings | Free Cash Flow | Cash from Op | Avg. No. Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/31/2027 | 1,793 | 108 | N/A | N/A | 2 |
| 12/31/2026 | 1,543 | 109 | N/A | N/A | 2 |
| 3/31/2026 | 1,425 | 131 | 286 | 291 | N/A |
| 12/31/2025 | 1,386 | 118 | 263 | 270 | N/A |
| 9/30/2025 | 1,354 | 111 | 297 | 306 | N/A |
| 6/30/2025 | 1,323 | 92 | 292 | 302 | N/A |
| 3/31/2025 | 1,288 | 66 | 328 | 340 | N/A |
| 12/31/2024 | 1,253 | 62 | 328 | 340 | N/A |
| 9/30/2024 | 1,207 | 50 | 194 | 206 | N/A |
| 6/30/2024 | 1,158 | 37 | 250 | 261 | N/A |
| 3/31/2024 | 1,124 | -17 | 204 | 215 | N/A |
| 12/31/2023 | 1,095 | -30 | 161 | 172 | N/A |
| 9/30/2023 | 1,088 | -29 | 171 | 178 | N/A |
| 6/30/2023 | 1,050 | -59 | 45 | 52 | N/A |
| 3/31/2023 | 1,002 | -13 | -12 | -10 | N/A |
| 12/31/2022 | 980 | 15 | -3 | -1 | N/A |
| 9/30/2022 | 973 | 53 | -24 | -18 | N/A |
| 6/30/2022 | 986 | 66 | -27 | -21 | N/A |
| 3/31/2022 | 1,010 | 90 | -1 | 12 | N/A |
| 12/31/2021 | 1,066 | 81 | 16 | 30 | N/A |
| 9/30/2021 | 1,105 | 14 | 58 | 72 | N/A |
| 6/30/2021 | 1,138 | -14 | 58 | 72 | N/A |
| 3/31/2021 | 1,192 | -21 | 48 | 63 | N/A |
| 12/31/2020 | 1,069 | -113 | 23 | 41 | N/A |
| 9/30/2020 | 1,051 | -127 | 5 | 25 | N/A |
| 6/30/2020 | 1,067 | -92 | 38 | 62 | N/A |
| 3/31/2020 | 1,073 | -102 | 53 | 81 | N/A |
| 12/31/2019 | 1,201 | 15 | N/A | 94 | N/A |
| 9/30/2019 | 1,160 | 9 | N/A | 97 | N/A |
| 6/30/2019 | 1,154 | 22 | N/A | 81 | N/A |
| 3/31/2019 | 1,125 | 26 | N/A | 97 | N/A |
| 12/31/2018 | 1,070 | 2 | N/A | 110 | N/A |
| 9/30/2018 | 1,091 | 77 | N/A | 123 | N/A |
| 6/30/2018 | 1,069 | 47 | N/A | 124 | N/A |
| 3/31/2018 | 1,052 | 47 | N/A | 154 | N/A |
| 12/31/2017 | 1,053 | 45 | N/A | 170 | N/A |
| 9/30/2017 | 1,044 | 12 | N/A | 203 | N/A |
| 6/30/2017 | 1,030 | 42 | N/A | 245 | N/A |
| 3/31/2017 | 982 | 45 | N/A | 218 | N/A |
| 12/31/2016 | 996 | 49 | N/A | 214 | N/A |
| 9/30/2016 | 1,008 | 68 | N/A | 194 | N/A |
| 6/30/2016 | 1,017 | 76 | N/A | 180 | N/A |
| 3/31/2016 | 1,062 | 88 | N/A | 211 | N/A |
| 12/31/2015 | 899 | 85 | N/A | 190 | N/A |
| 9/30/2015 | 1,009 | 93 | N/A | 188 | N/A |
| 6/30/2015 | 981 | 74 | N/A | 187 | N/A |
Analyst Future Growth Forecasts
Earnings vs Savings Rate: UFCS's earnings are forecast to decline over the next 3 years (-10.5% per year).
Earnings vs Market: UFCS's earnings are forecast to decline over the next 3 years (-10.5% per year).
High Growth Earnings: UFCS's earnings are forecast to decline over the next 3 years.
Revenue vs Market: UFCS's revenue (13.4% per year) is forecast to grow faster than the US market (11.6% per year).
High Growth Revenue: UFCS's revenue (13.4% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.
Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts
Future Return on Equity
Future ROE: Insufficient data to determine if UFCS's Return on Equity is forecast to be high in 3 years time
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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status
| Data | Last Updated (UTC time) |
|---|---|
| Company Analysis | 2026/05/13 12:55 |
| End of Day Share Price | 2026/05/13 00:00 |
| Earnings | 2026/03/31 |
| Annual Earnings | 2025/12/31 |
Data Sources
The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.
| Package | Data | Timeframe | Example US Source * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Company Financials | 10 years |
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| Analyst Consensus Estimates | +3 years |
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| Market Prices | 30 years |
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| Ownership | 10 years |
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| Management | 10 years |
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| Key Developments | 10 years |
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* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.
Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.
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Industry and Sector Metrics
Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.
Analyst Sources
United Fire Group, Inc. is covered by 6 analysts. 2 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.
| Analyst | Institution |
|---|---|
| Jason Weaver | JonesTrading Institutional Services, LLC |
| Quentin McMillan | Keefe, Bruyette, & Woods |
| Clifford Gallant | Nomura Securities Co. Ltd. |