United Fire Group, Inc.

NasdaqGS:UFCS Stock Report

Market Cap: US$783.3m

United Fire Group Valuation

Is UFCS undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

1/6

Valuation Score 1/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of UFCS when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: Insufficient data to calculate UFCS's fair value for valuation analysis.

Significantly Below Fair Value: Insufficient data to calculate UFCS's fair value for valuation analysis.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for UFCS?

Key metric: As UFCS is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for UFCS. This is calculated by dividing UFCS's market cap by their current earnings.
What is UFCS's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio14.9x
EarningsUS$50.12m
Market CapUS$783.32m

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does UFCS's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for UFCS vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average18.8x
PRA ProAssurance
18.9x7.5%US$841.0m
TIPT Tiptree
18.7xn/aUS$786.0m
AMSF AMERISAFE
16.1x-21.9%US$1.0b
DGIC.A Donegal Group
21.5x23.9%US$542.2m
UFCS United Fire Group
14.9xn/aUS$783.3m

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: UFCS is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (14.9x) compared to the peer average (18.8x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does UFCS's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Insurance Industry?

3 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
UTGN UTG
2xn/aUS$89.87m
AORE.F American Overseas Group
2.1xn/aUS$16.44m
CUII China United Insurance Service
0.0003xn/aUS$3.13k
No more companies available in this PE range
UFCS 14.9xIndustry Avg. 12.9xNo. of Companies15PE01020304050+
3 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: UFCS is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (14.9x) compared to the US Insurance industry average (12.9x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is UFCS's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

UFCS PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio14.9x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate UFCS's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

Analyst Forecast: Insufficient data to show price forecast.

Discover undervalued companies

7D

1Y

7D

1Y

7D

1Y

Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/18 00:13
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/18 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

United Fire Group, Inc. is covered by 6 analysts. 1 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Quentin McMillanKeefe, Bruyette, & Woods
Clifford GallantNomura Securities Co. Ltd.
Jon Paul NewsomePiper Sandler Companies