Trupanion, Inc.

NasdaqGM:TRUP Stock Report

Market Cap: US$2.2b

Trupanion Valuation

Is TRUP undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

1/6

Valuation Score 1/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of TRUP when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: Insufficient data to calculate TRUP's fair value for valuation analysis.

Significantly Below Fair Value: Insufficient data to calculate TRUP's fair value for valuation analysis.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for TRUP?

Key metric: As TRUP is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for TRUP. This is calculated by dividing TRUP's market cap by their current revenue.
What is TRUP's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio1.7x
SalesUS$1.24b
Market CapUS$2.16b

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does TRUP's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for TRUP vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average2.3x
SKWD Skyward Specialty Insurance Group
1.9x12.3%US$2.0b
FIHL Fidelis Insurance Holdings
0.9x13.3%US$2.0b
HG Hamilton Insurance Group
0.8x9.5%US$1.9b
PLMR Palomar Holdings
5.5x19.3%US$2.8b
TRUP Trupanion
1.7x5.0%US$2.2b

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: TRUP is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (1.7x) compared to the peer average (2.3x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does TRUP's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Insurance Industry?

9 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
GOCO GoHealth
0.2x7.5%US$296.93m
CCG Cheche Group
0.1x5.4%US$64.61m
AIFU AIX
0.2x15.8%US$60.67m
AAME Atlantic American
0.2xn/aUS$30.29m
TRUP 1.7xIndustry Avg. 1.1xNo. of Companies18PS00.81.62.43.24+
9 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: TRUP is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (1.7x) compared to the US Insurance industry average (1.1x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is TRUP's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

TRUP PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio1.7x
Fair PS Ratio0.8x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: TRUP is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (1.7x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.8x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst TRUP forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$51.00
US$54.86
+7.6%
16.2%US$65.00US$42.00n/a7
Dec ’25US$53.31
US$54.86
+2.9%
16.2%US$65.00US$42.00n/a7
Nov ’25US$54.56
US$54.86
+0.5%
16.2%US$65.00US$42.00n/a7
Oct ’25US$41.19
US$46.14
+12.0%
12.6%US$56.00US$38.00n/a7
Sep ’25US$45.73
US$41.25
-9.8%
17.1%US$50.00US$30.00n/a8
Aug ’25US$34.99
US$35.88
+2.5%
27.3%US$50.00US$22.00n/a8
Jul ’25US$28.67
US$34.71
+21.1%
28.6%US$50.00US$22.00n/a7
Jun ’25US$29.87
US$33.57
+12.4%
32.2%US$50.00US$22.00n/a7
May ’25US$23.32
US$35.00
+50.1%
21.5%US$50.00US$28.00n/a7
Apr ’25US$27.39
US$35.57
+29.9%
20.0%US$50.00US$28.00n/a7
Mar ’25US$27.28
US$35.57
+30.4%
20.0%US$50.00US$28.00n/a7
Feb ’25US$27.40
US$35.86
+30.9%
20.6%US$50.00US$25.00n/a7
Jan ’25US$30.51
US$35.86
+17.5%
20.6%US$50.00US$25.00n/a7
Dec ’24US$29.36
US$35.14
+19.7%
22.4%US$50.00US$25.00US$53.317
Nov ’24US$20.46
US$35.57
+73.9%
19.2%US$47.00US$25.00US$54.567
Oct ’24US$28.20
US$37.00
+31.2%
22.8%US$50.00US$25.00US$41.197
Sep ’24US$29.42
US$37.00
+25.8%
22.8%US$50.00US$25.00US$45.737
Aug ’24US$29.29
US$34.57
+18.0%
27.3%US$50.00US$25.00US$34.997
Jul ’24US$19.68
US$36.00
+82.9%
28.2%US$50.00US$25.00US$28.677
Jun ’24US$22.53
US$38.88
+72.5%
25.2%US$51.00US$25.00US$29.878
May ’24US$37.16
US$61.38
+65.2%
26.4%US$89.00US$37.00US$23.328
Apr ’24US$42.89
US$65.50
+52.7%
18.6%US$89.00US$50.00US$27.398
Mar ’24US$57.91
US$71.13
+22.8%
26.7%US$115.00US$50.00US$27.288
Feb ’24US$61.17
US$67.63
+10.6%
30.2%US$115.00US$45.00US$27.408
Jan ’24US$47.53
US$67.63
+42.3%
30.2%US$115.00US$45.00US$30.518
Dec ’23US$52.33
US$66.75
+27.6%
31.7%US$115.00US$45.00US$29.368

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/24 00:09
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/24 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Trupanion, Inc. is covered by 18 analysts. 7 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Christopher MerwinBarclays
Joshua ShankerBofA Global Research
Michael GrahamCanaccord Genuity