Porch Group (PRCH) Stock Overview
Develops and sells software and data solutions, manages insurance services, and provides consumer services related to homeownership in the United States. More details
| Snowflake Score | |
|---|---|
| Valuation | 3/6 |
| Future Growth | 3/6 |
| Past Performance | 0/6 |
| Financial Health | 3/6 |
| Dividends | 0/6 |
Rewards
Risk Analysis
No risks detected for PRCH from our risk checks.
PRCH Community Fair Values
Create NarrativeSee what 15 others think this stock is worth. Follow their fair value or set your own to get alerts.
Analyst Price Targets
Porch Group, Inc. Competitors
Price History & Performance
| Historical stock prices | |
|---|---|
| Current Share Price | US$17.07 |
| 52 Week High | US$19.36 |
| 52 Week Low | US$6.36 |
| Beta | 3.15 |
| 1 Month Change | -0.12% |
| 3 Month Change | 29.81% |
| 1 Year Change | -6.72% |
| 3 Year Change | 2,103.43% |
| 5 Year Change | -3.07% |
| Change since IPO | 72.42% |
Recent News & Updates
Narrative Update • Sep 03
PRCH: Favorable Q2 Economics Will Support Higher Future Earnings Power
Analysts have lifted their fair value estimate for Porch Group to $25 from $22, citing a lower discount rate, a higher future P/E assumption, and Street research that points to favorable Q2 economics and a more balanced risk and reward profile after the recent share price move. Analyst Commentary on Porch Group Recent Street research on Porch Group highlights a mix of optimism on near term execution and a more measured stance on valuation after the stock's sharp move.
Narrative Update • Aug 15
PRCH: Execution Demands Will Test Insurance Profit And AI Underwriting Story
Analysts raised their fair value estimate for Porch Group from $12.00 to $16.50, citing updated price targets, adjustments to discount rates and earnings assumptions, as well as continued focus on the company's insurance capital and underwriting advantages as key drivers of the change. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Porch Group shows a mix of optimism and caution, with price targets adjusted higher but views on risk more divided.Seeking Alpha • Aug 03
Porch Group: Q2 Delivered In Most Aspects, But Loss Ratio Is A Concern
Summary Porch Group (PRCH) demonstrates a durable edge in homeowners insurance via proprietary inspection data and selective funnel management, supporting a Buy rating and $20 price target. Q2 2026 results validate PRCH’s ability to convert data advantage into 38% policy growth and 126% Insurance Services Adjusted EBITDA growth, with strong 87% gross and 48% EBITDA margins. PRCH’s selective customer acquisition, unconstrained by rate filings, enables precise margin management, but rapid new policy growth raises questions about loss ratio durability as the book ages. Valuation at 15.7x 2026E EBITDA implies 30–45% upside; monitoring attritional loss ratio by policy vintage is critical for confirming scalable selection advantage. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaRecent updates
Narrative Update • Sep 03
PRCH: Favorable Q2 Economics Will Support Higher Future Earnings Power
Analysts have lifted their fair value estimate for Porch Group to $25 from $22, citing a lower discount rate, a higher future P/E assumption, and Street research that points to favorable Q2 economics and a more balanced risk and reward profile after the recent share price move. Analyst Commentary on Porch Group Recent Street research on Porch Group highlights a mix of optimism on near term execution and a more measured stance on valuation after the stock's sharp move.Narrative Update • Aug 15
PRCH: Execution Demands Will Test Insurance Profit And AI Underwriting Story
Analysts raised their fair value estimate for Porch Group from $12.00 to $16.50, citing updated price targets, adjustments to discount rates and earnings assumptions, as well as continued focus on the company's insurance capital and underwriting advantages as key drivers of the change. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Porch Group shows a mix of optimism and caution, with price targets adjusted higher but views on risk more divided.Seeking Alpha • Aug 03
Porch Group: Q2 Delivered In Most Aspects, But Loss Ratio Is A Concern
Summary Porch Group (PRCH) demonstrates a durable edge in homeowners insurance via proprietary inspection data and selective funnel management, supporting a Buy rating and $20 price target. Q2 2026 results validate PRCH’s ability to convert data advantage into 38% policy growth and 126% Insurance Services Adjusted EBITDA growth, with strong 87% gross and 48% EBITDA margins. PRCH’s selective customer acquisition, unconstrained by rate filings, enables precise margin management, but rapid new policy growth raises questions about loss ratio durability as the book ages. Valuation at 15.7x 2026E EBITDA implies 30–45% upside; monitoring attritional loss ratio by policy vintage is critical for confirming scalable selection advantage. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Narrative Update • Aug 01
PRCH: Excess Insurance Capital Will Support Future Underwriting And Coverage Upside
Analysts have lifted their average price target on Porch Group to about $19.42 from $16.25, citing updated views on fair value, discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E assumptions based on recent research commentary. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Porch Group highlights a mix of optimism about the company’s long term potential and caution around what the current share price already reflects.Narrative Update • Jul 06
PRCH: Elevated Execution Risks Will Pressure Confidence In Future Profitability
Analysts have reduced their fair value estimate for Porch Group from $13.00 to $12.00, reflecting updated views on the discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E following recent research coverage and price target adjustments. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Porch Group has centered on updated price targets and the risk profile around execution, revenue growth and long term profitability.Narrative Update • Jun 22
PRCH: Capital Optimization And Coverage Resumption Will Support Future Upside Potential
Analysts have modestly raised their average price target on Porch Group by $1, supported by recent resumed coverage and updated research that reiterates a constructive view on the stock's long term prospects. Analyst Commentary Recent research coverage on Porch Group reflects a generally constructive stance, with analysts updating their work to support the revised price targets and long term view on the stock.Narrative Update • Jun 02
PRCH: Coverage Resumption And Insurance Footprint Expansion Will Support Future Upside Potential
Analysts have raised their price targets on Porch Group by $1, citing renewed coverage with an Overweight rating and supportive views on the company from several recent research updates. Analyst Commentary Recent research coverage on Porch Group centers on renewed analyst attention and modestly higher price targets.Narrative Update • May 16
PRCH: Coverage Resumption And Higher P/E Assumptions Will Support Upside Potential
Analysts have nudged the Porch Group fair value estimate slightly lower to $16.25, while price targets have been lifted by around $1 in recent research. This reflects updated assumptions around growth, margins and future P/E multiples.Narrative Update • Apr 28
PRCH: Recent Upgrade And 2026 Outlook Will Support Higher Earnings Multiple
Porch Group's analyst price target has shifted slightly, with a recalibrated fair value of about $16.29 per share, as analysts adjust their models following recent upgrades and a higher target from Keefe Bruyette. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research around Porch Group has centered on the upgraded rating and the revised price target, which now clusters around a fair value estimate of about $16.29 per share.Narrative Update • Apr 09
PRCH: Upgraded Risk Profile Will Support Confidence In 2026 Earnings Multiple
Analysts have raised their price target on Porch Group by $1.50, citing recent upgrades and updated views on key inputs such as the discount rate, long-term revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E assumptions. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts view the recent upgrade as a sign that key assumptions on revenue growth and profit margins now better reflect the company’s current execution path, which supports a higher valuation range.Narrative Update • Mar 26
PRCH: Refreshed Risk Assumptions Will Support Confidence In 2026 Margin Outlook
Analysts have raised their price target on Porch Group by $1.50, citing updated research that supports a refreshed view on the company’s valuation drivers and risk profile. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts point to the higher price target as a reflection of updated work on Porch Group’s key valuation drivers, suggesting more confidence in how its core business model is being assessed.Narrative Update • Mar 11
PRCH: Updated Risk Assumptions Will Support Confidence In Long Term Margin Potential
Analysts have raised their price target on Porch Group by $1.50, citing updated assumptions on the discount rate and long-term P/E. These revisions keep fair value unchanged at $16.38 while reflecting updated views on the company’s risk profile and earnings potential.Narrative Update • Feb 25
PRCH: Recent Upgrade Will Support Confidence In Future Margin Expansion Potential
Analysts have adjusted their fair value estimate for Porch Group from $17.63 to $16.38, citing updated assumptions on growth, margins, discount rate, and future P/E following recent price target increases and an upgrade highlighted in Street research. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research around Porch Group has focused on valuation assumptions and the rationale behind the updated fair value estimate, using the latest price target move and upgrade as key reference points.Narrative Update • Feb 10
PRCH: Steady Forecast Assumptions Will Support Future Margin Expansion Potential
Analysts have maintained their average price target for Porch Group at US$17.63, noting that only minor adjustments to assumptions such as discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E were made, which did not materially change their view of the stock's value. Valuation Changes Fair Value Estimate: Held steady at US$17.63 per share, with no change between the prior and updated assessment.Analysis Article • Feb 05
Porch Group, Inc. (NASDAQ:PRCH) Not Doing Enough For Some Investors As Its Shares Slump 28%
Unfortunately for some shareholders, the Porch Group, Inc. ( NASDAQ:PRCH ) share price has dived 28% in the last thirty...Narrative Update • Jan 26
PRCH: Narrowed 2025 Revenue Guidance Will Support Future Margin Upside
Analysts have trimmed their price target on Porch Group by about $0.50 to reflect slightly lower assumptions for fair value, revenue growth, and profit margins, along with a higher discount rate and P/E multiple. What's in the News Porch Group issued updated earnings guidance for Porch Shareholder Interest for full year 2025, giving investors a fresh reference point for its medium term outlook (Key Developments).Narrative Update • Jan 12
PRCH: Expanded Property Data Coverage Will Support Future Margin Upside
Narrative Update on Analyst Price Target for Porch Group Analysts have kept their fair value estimate for Porch Group steady at US$18.13 while making small adjustments to inputs such as the discount rate, revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E assumptions. These revisions reflect fine tuning of their models rather than a major shift in outlook.Narrative Update • Dec 25
PRCH: Property Data Expansion Will Support 30% Future EBITDA Margin Potential
Analysts have modestly adjusted their price target on Porch Group to 18.13 dollars, reflecting slightly higher discount rate assumptions and marginally lower long term margin expectations, while maintaining a robust future earnings multiple. What's in the News Raised full year 2025 Porch Shareholder Interest revenue guidance to a range of 410 million to 420 million dollars, narrowing and slightly lifting the low end from the prior 405 million to 425 million dollar outlook (Corporate guidance) Expanded the Home Factors property intelligence platform with new and enhanced attributes, including electrical panel and sub panel location, roof life stage segmentation, and updated plumbing material indicators (Company product announcement) Stated goal for Home Factors to offer over 100 property attributes covering about 90 percent of U.S. homes, deepening carriers' visibility into interior and exterior home conditions for underwriting and pricing (Company product announcement) Valuation Changes Fair Value Estimate: Unchanged at 18.13 dollars per share, indicating no revision to the intrinsic value assessment despite minor model tweaks.Narrative Update • Dec 11
PRCH: Reciprocal Model Will Support 30% Future EBITDA Margin Expansion
Analysts have raised their price target on Porch Group from $17 to $25 per share, citing expectations for sustained 20% to 25% annual premium growth, improved protection from weather related losses, expanding reciprocal take rates, and a path toward significantly higher EBITDA margins. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts view the higher price target as a reflection of Porch Group's ability to sustain premium growth in the 20% to 25% range, arguing that this level of expansion supports a structurally higher revenue base and justifies multiple expansion.Narrative Update • Nov 27
PRCH: Reciprocal Insurance Margins Will Expand With Scalable Policy Volumes
Analysts have adjusted their fair value estimate for Porch Group slightly lower, from $18.75 to $18.13 per share. This change is based on updated growth assumptions and expanded profit margin projections following recent company discussions.Analysis Article • Nov 13
Porch Group's (NASDAQ:PRCH) Shareholders May Want To Dig Deeper Than Statutory Profit
Porch Group, Inc.'s ( NASDAQ:PRCH ) stock didn't jump after it announced some healthy earnings. We think that investors...Narrative Update • Nov 06
PRCH: Reciprocal Insurance Model Will Drive Margin Upside Amid Capital-Light Shift
The analyst price target for Porch Group was revised down from $19.75 to $18.75. This reflects analyst expectations for slower revenue growth and profit margin compression, despite some positive developments highlighted in recent research updates.Narrative Update • Sep 23
Fee-Based Model Transition And Data Expansion Will Shape Our Future
Analysts have sharply raised Porch Group’s price target to $19.75, citing outperformance in insurance profitability, scalable premium growth, margin expansion potential, and a new capital-light structure that enhances valuations and financial flexibility. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts see significant room for scaling policies and believe premium growth can reach 20%-25% annually, above prior expectations.Analysis Article • Aug 29
Porch Group, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:PRCH) Share Price Boosted 26% But Its Business Prospects Need A Lift Too
Porch Group, Inc. ( NASDAQ:PRCH ) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 26% gain in the last month alone...Analysis Article • Jul 01
Porch Group, Inc. (NASDAQ:PRCH) Shares Fly 29% But Investors Aren't Buying For Growth
Porch Group, Inc. ( NASDAQ:PRCH ) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 29% gain in the last month alone...Analysis Article • May 09
Porch Group, Inc. Just Reported A Surprise Profit And Analysts Updated Their Estimates
Shareholders will be ecstatic, with their stake up 77% over the past week following Porch Group, Inc. 's ( NASDAQ:PRCH...Analysis Article • Apr 25
Porch Group, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:PRCH) 31% Dip In Price Shows Sentiment Is Matching Revenues
The Porch Group, Inc. ( NASDAQ:PRCH ) share price has softened a substantial 31% over the previous 30 days, handing...
New Narrative • Mar 28
Fee-Based Model Transition And Data Expansion Will Shape Our Future
Porch Group's shift to a fee-based insurance model and formation of PIRE create a higher-margin, more predictable earnings structure.Analysis Article • Mar 11
Porch Group, Inc. (NASDAQ:PRCH) Shares Fly 31% But Investors Aren't Buying For Growth
Porch Group, Inc. ( NASDAQ:PRCH ) shares have had a really impressive month, gaining 31% after a shaky period...Seeking Alpha • Mar 05
From Skeptic To Buyer: Why I'm Upgrading Porch Group
Summary Porch Group's shift to a high-margin, fee-based model has significantly improved profitability, with 2024 EBITDA hitting record levels and ambitious targets set for 2025 and 2026. Despite impressive revenue growth and operational improvements, concerns remain about the company's high debt levels and revenue visibility, particularly in a sluggish housing market. The Porch Insurance Reciprocal Exchange (PIRE) has boosted margins but introduced revenue predictability challenges, relying heavily on agent adoption and customer onboarding. Upgrading to a "Buy" rating due to strong earnings momentum and improved financials, though maintaining caution due to valuation and execution risks. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaShareholder Returns
| PRCH | US Insurance | US Market | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7D | 6.4% | -3.2% | 1.8% |
| 1Y | -6.7% | 1.8% | 13.3% |
Return vs Industry: PRCH underperformed the US Insurance industry which returned 1.8% over the past year.
Return vs Market: PRCH underperformed the US Market which returned 13.3% over the past year.
Price Volatility
| PRCH volatility | |
|---|---|
| PRCH Average Weekly Movement | 9.2% |
| Insurance Industry Average Movement | 4.7% |
| Market Average Movement | 6.8% |
| 10% most volatile stocks in US Market | 15.2% |
| 10% least volatile stocks in US Market | 2.8% |
Stable Share Price: PRCH has not had significant price volatility in the past 3 months compared to the US market.
Volatility Over Time: PRCH's weekly volatility (9%) has been stable over the past year.
About the Company
| Founded | Employees | CEO | Website |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2011 | 801 | Matt Ehrlichman | porchgroup.com |
Porch Group, Inc. develops and sells software and data solutions, manages insurance services, and provides consumer services related to homeownership in the United States. It operates through four segments: Insurance Services, Software & Data, Consumer Services, and the Reciprocal Segment. The Insurance Services segment manages and operates Porch Reciprocal Exchange, providing services including underwriting, policy renewal, risk management, portfolio management, financial oversight, and investment guideline setting.
Porch Group, Inc. Fundamentals Summary
| PRCH fundamental statistics | |
|---|---|
| Market cap | US$1.89b |
| Earnings (TTM) | -US$13.44m |
| Revenue (TTM) | US$513.60m |
3.8x
P/S Ratio-144.1x
P/E RatioIs PRCH overvalued?
See Fair Value and valuation analysisEarnings & Revenue
| PRCH income statement (TTM) | |
|---|---|
| Revenue | US$513.60m |
| Cost of Revenue | US$143.28m |
| Gross Profit | US$370.32m |
| Other Expenses | US$383.76m |
| Earnings | -US$13.44m |
Last Reported Earnings
Jun 30, 2026
Next Earnings Date
n/a
| Earnings per share (EPS) | -0.12 |
| Gross Margin | 72.10% |
| Net Profit Margin | -2.62% |
| Debt/Equity Ratio | 2,091.7% |
How did PRCH perform over the long term?
See historical performance and comparisonCompany Analysis and Financial Data Status
| Data | Last Updated (UTC time) |
|---|---|
| Company Analysis | 2026/09/22 21:46 |
| End of Day Share Price | 2026/09/22 00:00 |
| Earnings | 2026/06/30 |
| Annual Earnings | 2025/12/31 |
Data Sources
The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.
| Package | Data | Timeframe | Example US Source * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Company Financials | 10 years |
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| Analyst Consensus Estimates | +3 years |
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| Market Prices | 30 years |
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| Ownership | 10 years |
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| Management | 10 years |
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| Key Developments | 10 years |
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* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.
Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.
Analysis Model and Snowflake
Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.
Learn about the who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.
Industry and Sector Metrics
Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.
Analyst Sources
Porch Group, Inc. is covered by 15 analysts. 6 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.
| Analyst | Institution |
|---|---|
| Justin Ages | Berenberg |
| Timothy D'Agostino | B. Riley Securities, Inc. |
| Randy Binner | B. Riley Securities, Inc. |