With a median price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of close to 1x in the Insurance industry in the United States, you could be forgiven for feeling indifferent about NI Holdings, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:NODK) P/S ratio of 0.9x. While this might not raise any eyebrows, if the P/S ratio is not justified investors could be missing out on a potential opportunity or ignoring looming disappointment.
Check out our latest analysis for NI Holdings
What Does NI Holdings' Recent Performance Look Like?
The revenue growth achieved at NI Holdings over the last year would be more than acceptable for most companies. Perhaps the market is expecting future revenue performance to only keep up with the broader industry, which has keeping the P/S in line with expectations. Those who are bullish on NI Holdings will be hoping that this isn't the case, so that they can pick up the stock at a lower valuation.
Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on NI Holdings will help you shine a light on its historical performance.Is There Some Revenue Growth Forecasted For NI Holdings?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should be matching the industry for P/S ratios like NI Holdings' to be considered reasonable.
Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew revenue by an impressive 15% last year. As a result, it also grew revenue by 24% in total over the last three years. Accordingly, shareholders would have probably been satisfied with the medium-term rates of revenue growth.
It's interesting to note that the rest of the industry is similarly expected to grow by 6.8% over the next year, which is fairly even with the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.
With this in consideration, it's clear to see why NI Holdings' P/S matches up closely to its industry peers. Apparently shareholders are comfortable to simply hold on assuming the company will continue keeping a low profile.
The Final Word
Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.
It appears to us that NI Holdings maintains its moderate P/S off the back of its recent three-year growth being in line with the wider industry forecast. With previous revenue trends that keep up with the current industry outlook, it's hard to justify the company's P/S ratio deviating much from it's current point. Given the current circumstances, it seems improbable that the share price will experience any significant movement in either direction in the near future if recent medium-term revenue trends persist.
There are also other vital risk factors to consider before investing and we've discovered 1 warning sign for NI Holdings that you should be aware of.
Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.
Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.
Discover if NI Holdings might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About NasdaqCM:NODK
NI Holdings
NI Holdings, Inc. underwrites property and casualty insurance products in the United States.
Excellent balance sheet and slightly overvalued.