Stock Analysis

Investors Don't See Light At End Of James River Group Holdings, Ltd.'s (NASDAQ:JRVR) Tunnel And Push Stock Down 29%

NasdaqGS:JRVR
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To the annoyance of some shareholders, James River Group Holdings, Ltd. (NASDAQ:JRVR) shares are down a considerable 29% in the last month, which continues a horrid run for the company. The drop over the last 30 days has capped off a tough year for shareholders, with the share price down 47% in that time.

Even after such a large drop in price, when close to half the companies operating in the United States' Insurance industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") above 1.1x, you may still consider James River Group Holdings as an enticing stock to check out with its 0.2x P/S ratio. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's limited.

Check out our latest analysis for James River Group Holdings

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NasdaqGS:JRVR Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry November 14th 2024

What Does James River Group Holdings' P/S Mean For Shareholders?

James River Group Holdings' revenue growth of late has been pretty similar to most other companies. It might be that many expect the mediocre revenue performance to degrade, which has repressed the P/S ratio. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could pick up some stock while it's out of favour.

Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on James River Group Holdings will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The Low P/S?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as low as James River Group Holdings' is when the company's growth is on track to lag the industry.

If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 16%. Still, revenue has barely risen at all from three years ago in total, which is not ideal. So it appears to us that the company has had a mixed result in terms of growing revenue over that time.

Looking ahead now, revenue is anticipated to slump, contracting by 3.5% during the coming year according to the four analysts following the company. That's not great when the rest of the industry is expected to grow by 4.1%.

With this in consideration, we find it intriguing that James River Group Holdings' P/S is closely matching its industry peers. However, shrinking revenues are unlikely to lead to a stable P/S over the longer term. Even just maintaining these prices could be difficult to achieve as the weak outlook is weighing down the shares.

What We Can Learn From James River Group Holdings' P/S?

James River Group Holdings' P/S has taken a dip along with its share price. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

With revenue forecasts that are inferior to the rest of the industry, it's no surprise that James River Group Holdings' P/S is on the lower end of the spectrum. As other companies in the industry are forecasting revenue growth, James River Group Holdings' poor outlook justifies its low P/S ratio. Unless these conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.

Don't forget that there may be other risks. For instance, we've identified 1 warning sign for James River Group Holdings that you should be aware of.

If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on James River Group Holdings, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.