Stock Analysis

Nu Skin Enterprises (NYSE:NUS) Takes On Some Risk With Its Use Of Debt

NYSE:NUS
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Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We note that Nu Skin Enterprises, Inc. (NYSE:NUS) does have debt on its balance sheet. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

When Is Debt A Problem?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

See our latest analysis for Nu Skin Enterprises

What Is Nu Skin Enterprises's Net Debt?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at June 2023 Nu Skin Enterprises had debt of US$507.8m, up from US$427.2m in one year. On the flip side, it has US$262.3m in cash leading to net debt of about US$245.4m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NYSE:NUS Debt to Equity History September 8th 2023

A Look At Nu Skin Enterprises' Liabilities

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Nu Skin Enterprises had liabilities of US$445.0m due within 12 months and liabilities of US$553.4m due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of US$262.3m as well as receivables valued at US$67.2m due within 12 months. So its liabilities total US$668.9m more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

Nu Skin Enterprises has a market capitalization of US$1.15b, so it could very likely raise cash to ameliorate its balance sheet, if the need arose. But it's clear that we should definitely closely examine whether it can manage its debt without dilution.

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

Nu Skin Enterprises's net debt is only 1.3 times its EBITDA. And its EBIT easily covers its interest expense, being 20.7 times the size. So we're pretty relaxed about its super-conservative use of debt. It is just as well that Nu Skin Enterprises's load is not too heavy, because its EBIT was down 49% over the last year. When it comes to paying off debt, falling earnings are no more useful than sugary sodas are for your health. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Nu Skin Enterprises's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. In the last three years, Nu Skin Enterprises's free cash flow amounted to 42% of its EBIT, less than we'd expect. That weak cash conversion makes it more difficult to handle indebtedness.

Our View

Neither Nu Skin Enterprises's ability to grow its EBIT nor its level of total liabilities gave us confidence in its ability to take on more debt. But its interest cover tells a very different story, and suggests some resilience. Taking the abovementioned factors together we do think Nu Skin Enterprises's debt poses some risks to the business. So while that leverage does boost returns on equity, we wouldn't really want to see it increase from here. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For instance, we've identified 3 warning signs for Nu Skin Enterprises (1 is concerning) you should be aware of.

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Nu Skin Enterprises might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.