Stock Analysis

These 4 Measures Indicate That Estée Lauder Companies (NYSE:EL) Is Using Debt Extensively

NYSE:EL
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Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. Importantly, The Estée Lauder Companies Inc. (NYSE:EL) does carry debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

When Is Debt A Problem?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

Check out our latest analysis for Estée Lauder Companies

How Much Debt Does Estée Lauder Companies Carry?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at June 2023 Estée Lauder Companies had debt of US$8.22b, up from US$5.50b in one year. However, because it has a cash reserve of US$4.03b, its net debt is less, at about US$4.19b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NYSE:EL Debt to Equity History September 21st 2023

How Strong Is Estée Lauder Companies' Balance Sheet?

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Estée Lauder Companies had liabilities of US$6.24b falling due within a year, and liabilities of US$10.8b due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of US$4.03b as well as receivables valued at US$1.45b due within 12 months. So its liabilities total US$11.5b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

While this might seem like a lot, it is not so bad since Estée Lauder Companies has a huge market capitalization of US$54.0b, and so it could probably strengthen its balance sheet by raising capital if it needed to. However, it is still worthwhile taking a close look at its ability to pay off debt.

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

Estée Lauder Companies's net debt to EBITDA ratio of about 1.7 suggests only moderate use of debt. And its commanding EBIT of 14.3 times its interest expense, implies the debt load is as light as a peacock feather. In fact Estée Lauder Companies's saving grace is its low debt levels, because its EBIT has tanked 49% in the last twelve months. When a company sees its earnings tank, it can sometimes find its relationships with its lenders turn sour. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Estée Lauder Companies's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. In the last three years, Estée Lauder Companies's free cash flow amounted to 42% of its EBIT, less than we'd expect. That weak cash conversion makes it more difficult to handle indebtedness.

Our View

Estée Lauder Companies's EBIT growth rate and conversion of EBIT to free cash flow definitely weigh on it, in our esteem. But its interest cover tells a very different story, and suggests some resilience. Looking at all the angles mentioned above, it does seem to us that Estée Lauder Companies is a somewhat risky investment as a result of its debt. Not all risk is bad, as it can boost share price returns if it pays off, but this debt risk is worth keeping in mind. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For instance, we've identified 4 warning signs for Estée Lauder Companies (2 are a bit concerning) you should be aware of.

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Estée Lauder Companies might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.