Stock Analysis

Medtronic's (NYSE:MDT) Upcoming Dividend Will Be Larger Than Last Year's

NYSE:MDT
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Medtronic plc (NYSE:MDT) has announced that it will be increasing its periodic dividend on the 12th of July to $0.70, which will be 1.4% higher than last year's comparable payment amount of $0.69. This makes the dividend yield 3.3%, which is above the industry average.

View our latest analysis for Medtronic

Medtronic's Earnings Easily Cover The Distributions

A big dividend yield for a few years doesn't mean much if it can't be sustained. Before making this announcement, Medtronic's dividend was higher than its profits, but the free cash flows quite comfortably covered it. Healthy cash flows are always a positive sign, especially when they quite easily cover the dividend.

The next year is set to see EPS grow by 69.6%. Under the assumption that the dividend will continue along recent trends, we think the payout ratio could be 63% which would be quite comfortable going to take the dividend forward.

historic-dividend
NYSE:MDT Historic Dividend June 10th 2024

Medtronic Has A Solid Track Record

The company has an extended history of paying stable dividends. Since 2014, the dividend has gone from $1.12 total annually to $2.76. This works out to be a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 9.4% a year over that time. The dividend has been growing very nicely for a number of years, and has given its shareholders some nice income in their portfolios.

The Dividend's Growth Prospects Are Limited

Investors could be attracted to the stock based on the quality of its payment history. Let's not jump to conclusions as things might not be as good as they appear on the surface. Over the past five years, it looks as though Medtronic's EPS has declined at around 4.0% a year. If the company is making less over time, it naturally follows that it will also have to pay out less in dividends. Earnings are predicted to grow over the next year, but we would remain cautious until a track record of earnings growth is established.

In Summary

Overall, we always like to see the dividend being raised, but we don't think Medtronic will make a great income stock. The company is generating plenty of cash, but we still think the dividend is a bit high for comfort. We don't think Medtronic is a great stock to add to your portfolio if income is your focus.

Market movements attest to how highly valued a consistent dividend policy is compared to one which is more unpredictable. Meanwhile, despite the importance of dividend payments, they are not the only factors our readers should know when assessing a company. Taking the debate a bit further, we've identified 2 warning signs for Medtronic that investors need to be conscious of moving forward. If you are a dividend investor, you might also want to look at our curated list of high yield dividend stocks.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.