Stock Analysis

Does Pediatrix Medical Group (NYSE:MD) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?

NYSE:MD
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Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We can see that Pediatrix Medical Group, Inc. (NYSE:MD) does use debt in its business. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

View our latest analysis for Pediatrix Medical Group

What Is Pediatrix Medical Group's Debt?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that Pediatrix Medical Group had US$666.3m of debt in June 2023, down from US$793.3m, one year before. However, it does have US$104.3m in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about US$561.9m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NYSE:MD Debt to Equity History August 9th 2023

How Strong Is Pediatrix Medical Group's Balance Sheet?

According to the last reported balance sheet, Pediatrix Medical Group had liabilities of US$320.3m due within 12 months, and liabilities of US$1.04b due beyond 12 months. On the other hand, it had cash of US$104.3m and US$270.9m worth of receivables due within a year. So it has liabilities totalling US$987.9m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

This is a mountain of leverage relative to its market capitalization of US$1.22b. Should its lenders demand that it shore up the balance sheet, shareholders would likely face severe dilution.

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

Pediatrix Medical Group has a debt to EBITDA ratio of 2.6 and its EBIT covered its interest expense 4.9 times. This suggests that while the debt levels are significant, we'd stop short of calling them problematic. Importantly, Pediatrix Medical Group's EBIT fell a jaw-dropping 21% in the last twelve months. If that decline continues then paying off debt will be harder than selling foie gras at a vegan convention. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Pediatrix Medical Group can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So we always check how much of that EBIT is translated into free cash flow. Over the most recent three years, Pediatrix Medical Group recorded free cash flow worth 50% of its EBIT, which is around normal, given free cash flow excludes interest and tax. This cold hard cash means it can reduce its debt when it wants to.

Our View

Mulling over Pediatrix Medical Group's attempt at (not) growing its EBIT, we're certainly not enthusiastic. Having said that, its ability to convert EBIT to free cash flow isn't such a worry. It's also worth noting that Pediatrix Medical Group is in the Healthcare industry, which is often considered to be quite defensive. Once we consider all the factors above, together, it seems to us that Pediatrix Medical Group's debt is making it a bit risky. That's not necessarily a bad thing, but we'd generally feel more comfortable with less leverage. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Case in point: We've spotted 2 warning signs for Pediatrix Medical Group you should be aware of.

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.