Stock Analysis

Here's Why CONMED (NYSE:CNMD) Has A Meaningful Debt Burden

NYSE:CNMD
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Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. Importantly, CONMED Corporation (NYSE:CNMD) does carry debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

View our latest analysis for CONMED

How Much Debt Does CONMED Carry?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of September 2022 CONMED had US$1.04b of debt, an increase on US$684.1m, over one year. However, it also had US$33.4m in cash, and so its net debt is US$1.00b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NYSE:CNMD Debt to Equity History February 14th 2023

How Strong Is CONMED's Balance Sheet?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that CONMED had liabilities of US$208.6m due within 12 months and liabilities of US$1.37b due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had US$33.4m in cash and US$197.3m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities total US$1.35b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

This deficit isn't so bad because CONMED is worth US$3.01b, and thus could probably raise enough capital to shore up its balance sheet, if the need arose. But it's clear that we should definitely closely examine whether it can manage its debt without dilution.

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

With a net debt to EBITDA ratio of 6.3, it's fair to say CONMED does have a significant amount of debt. But the good news is that it boasts fairly comforting interest cover of 3.1 times, suggesting it can responsibly service its obligations. Investors should also be troubled by the fact that CONMED saw its EBIT drop by 18% over the last twelve months. If things keep going like that, handling the debt will about as easy as bundling an angry house cat into its travel box. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine CONMED's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So we always check how much of that EBIT is translated into free cash flow. Over the most recent three years, CONMED recorded free cash flow worth 77% of its EBIT, which is around normal, given free cash flow excludes interest and tax. This cold hard cash means it can reduce its debt when it wants to.

Our View

Both CONMED's net debt to EBITDA and its EBIT growth rate were discouraging. But at least its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow is a gleaming silver lining to those clouds. We should also note that Medical Equipment industry companies like CONMED commonly do use debt without problems. Taking the abovementioned factors together we do think CONMED's debt poses some risks to the business. So while that leverage does boost returns on equity, we wouldn't really want to see it increase from here. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Be aware that CONMED is showing 2 warning signs in our investment analysis , and 1 of those makes us a bit uncomfortable...

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.