Stock Analysis

What American Well Corporation's (NYSE:AMWL) P/S Is Not Telling You

NYSE:AMWL
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There wouldn't be many who think American Well Corporation's (NYSE:AMWL) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 2.4x is worth a mention when the median P/S for the Healthcare Services industry in the United States is similar at about 2.5x. Although, it's not wise to simply ignore the P/S without explanation as investors may be disregarding a distinct opportunity or a costly mistake.

Check out our latest analysis for American Well

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NYSE:AMWL Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry May 18th 2023

How American Well Has Been Performing

Recent times haven't been great for American Well as its revenue has been rising slower than most other companies. One possibility is that the P/S ratio is moderate because investors think this lacklustre revenue performance will turn around. However, if this isn't the case, investors might get caught out paying too much for the stock.

If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on American Well.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The P/S?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should be matching the industry for P/S ratios like American Well's to be considered reasonable.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a decent 6.8% gain to the company's revenues. The latest three year period has also seen an excellent 64% overall rise in revenue, aided somewhat by its short-term performance. Accordingly, shareholders would have definitely welcomed those medium-term rates of revenue growth.

Looking ahead now, revenue is anticipated to climb by 11% per year during the coming three years according to the analysts following the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the industry is forecast to expand by 19% each year, which is noticeably more attractive.

In light of this, it's curious that American Well's P/S sits in line with the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly limited growth expectations and are willing to pay up for exposure to the stock. Maintaining these prices will be difficult to achieve as this level of revenue growth is likely to weigh down the shares eventually.

What Does American Well's P/S Mean For Investors?

Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

Our look at the analysts forecasts of American Well's revenue prospects has shown that its inferior revenue outlook isn't negatively impacting its P/S as much as we would have predicted. At present, we aren't confident in the P/S as the predicted future revenues aren't likely to support a more positive sentiment for long. A positive change is needed in order to justify the current price-to-sales ratio.

Before you settle on your opinion, we've discovered 3 warning signs for American Well that you should be aware of.

If you're unsure about the strength of American Well's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.