Stock Analysis

TransMedics Group, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:TMDX) 26% Jump Shows Its Popularity With Investors

NasdaqGM:TMDX
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Those holding TransMedics Group, Inc. (NASDAQ:TMDX) shares would be relieved that the share price has rebounded 26% in the last thirty days, but it needs to keep going to repair the recent damage it has caused to investor portfolios. Not all shareholders will be feeling jubilant, since the share price is still down a very disappointing 20% in the last twelve months.

Since its price has surged higher, TransMedics Group's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 6x might make it look like a strong sell right now compared to other companies in the Medical Equipment industry in the United States, where around half of the companies have P/S ratios below 3.6x and even P/S below 1.2x are quite common. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly elevated P/S.

View our latest analysis for TransMedics Group

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NasdaqGM:TMDX Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry February 16th 2025

What Does TransMedics Group's Recent Performance Look Like?

With revenue growth that's superior to most other companies of late, TransMedics Group has been doing relatively well. The P/S is probably high because investors think this strong revenue performance will continue. If not, then existing shareholders might be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.

Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on TransMedics Group will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

How Is TransMedics Group's Revenue Growth Trending?

TransMedics Group's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver very strong growth, and importantly, perform much better than the industry.

If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 109%. This great performance means it was also able to deliver immense revenue growth over the last three years. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a tremendous job of growing revenue over that time.

Looking ahead now, revenue is anticipated to climb by 24% each year during the coming three years according to the nine analysts following the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the industry is forecast to only expand by 9.4% per annum, which is noticeably less attractive.

In light of this, it's understandable that TransMedics Group's P/S sits above the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are expecting this strong future growth and are willing to pay more for the stock.

The Final Word

The strong share price surge has lead to TransMedics Group's P/S soaring as well. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

Our look into TransMedics Group shows that its P/S ratio remains high on the merit of its strong future revenues. At this stage investors feel the potential for a deterioration in revenues is quite remote, justifying the elevated P/S ratio. Unless the analysts have really missed the mark, these strong revenue forecasts should keep the share price buoyant.

Before you take the next step, you should know about the 2 warning signs for TransMedics Group that we have uncovered.

If strong companies turning a profit tickle your fancy, then you'll want to check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if TransMedics Group might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About NasdaqGM:TMDX

TransMedics Group

A commercial-stage medical technology company, engages in transforming organ transplant therapy for end-stage organ failure patients in the United States and internationally.

High growth potential and slightly overvalued.

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