Stock Analysis

Market Still Lacking Some Conviction On Treace Medical Concepts, Inc. (NASDAQ:TMCI)

NasdaqGS:TMCI
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With a median price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of close to 3.4x in the Medical Equipment industry in the United States, you could be forgiven for feeling indifferent about Treace Medical Concepts, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:TMCI) P/S ratio of 3.9x. However, investors might be overlooking a clear opportunity or potential setback if there is no rational basis for the P/S.

View our latest analysis for Treace Medical Concepts

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NasdaqGS:TMCI Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry April 5th 2024

What Does Treace Medical Concepts' Recent Performance Look Like?

Treace Medical Concepts certainly has been doing a good job lately as it's been growing revenue more than most other companies. One possibility is that the P/S ratio is moderate because investors think this strong revenue performance might be about to tail off. If not, then existing shareholders have reason to be feeling optimistic about the future direction of the share price.

Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Treace Medical Concepts will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

How Is Treace Medical Concepts' Revenue Growth Trending?

The only time you'd be comfortable seeing a P/S like Treace Medical Concepts' is when the company's growth is tracking the industry closely.

If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 32%. Pleasingly, revenue has also lifted 226% in aggregate from three years ago, thanks to the last 12 months of growth. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a great job of growing revenue over that time.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the seven analysts covering the company suggest revenue should grow by 18% each year over the next three years. Meanwhile, the rest of the industry is forecast to only expand by 10% each year, which is noticeably less attractive.

With this in consideration, we find it intriguing that Treace Medical Concepts' P/S is closely matching its industry peers. It may be that most investors aren't convinced the company can achieve future growth expectations.

What We Can Learn From Treace Medical Concepts' P/S?

It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

Looking at Treace Medical Concepts' analyst forecasts revealed that its superior revenue outlook isn't giving the boost to its P/S that we would've expected. There could be some risks that the market is pricing in, which is preventing the P/S ratio from matching the positive outlook. It appears some are indeed anticipating revenue instability, because these conditions should normally provide a boost to the share price.

It is also worth noting that we have found 1 warning sign for Treace Medical Concepts that you need to take into consideration.

It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Treace Medical Concepts is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.