Stock Analysis

Is Premier (NASDAQ:PINC) A Risky Investment?

NasdaqGS:PINC
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The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. We note that Premier, Inc. (NASDAQ:PINC) does have debt on its balance sheet. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

See our latest analysis for Premier

How Much Debt Does Premier Carry?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that Premier had US$177.6m of debt in September 2023, down from US$527.9m, one year before. However, it does have US$453.3m in cash offsetting this, leading to net cash of US$275.6m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NasdaqGS:PINC Debt to Equity History February 4th 2024

A Look At Premier's Liabilities

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Premier had liabilities of US$770.5m due within 12 months and liabilities of US$726.3m due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of US$453.3m and US$413.7m worth of receivables due within a year. So it has liabilities totalling US$629.9m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

This deficit isn't so bad because Premier is worth US$2.54b, and thus could probably raise enough capital to shore up its balance sheet, if the need arose. However, it is still worthwhile taking a close look at its ability to pay off debt. Despite its noteworthy liabilities, Premier boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load!

In addition to that, we're happy to report that Premier has boosted its EBIT by 33%, thus reducing the spectre of future debt repayments. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Premier can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. Premier may have net cash on the balance sheet, but it is still interesting to look at how well the business converts its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, because that will influence both its need for, and its capacity to manage debt. Over the last three years, Premier actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT. There's nothing better than incoming cash when it comes to staying in your lenders' good graces.

Summing Up

While Premier does have more liabilities than liquid assets, it also has net cash of US$275.6m. The cherry on top was that in converted 112% of that EBIT to free cash flow, bringing in US$367m. So is Premier's debt a risk? It doesn't seem so to us. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. These risks can be hard to spot. Every company has them, and we've spotted 2 warning signs for Premier you should know about.

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Premier is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.