Stock Analysis

Patterson Companies (NASDAQ:PDCO) Seems To Use Debt Quite Sensibly

NasdaqGS:PDCO
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Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. As with many other companies Patterson Companies, Inc. (NASDAQ:PDCO) makes use of debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

See our latest analysis for Patterson Companies

What Is Patterson Companies's Net Debt?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at January 2023 Patterson Companies had debt of US$676.2m, up from US$628.5m in one year. However, it does have US$153.9m in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about US$522.2m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NasdaqGS:PDCO Debt to Equity History March 10th 2023

How Strong Is Patterson Companies' Balance Sheet?

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Patterson Companies had liabilities of US$1.17b falling due within a year, and liabilities of US$665.9m due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had US$153.9m in cash and US$649.7m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities total US$1.04b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

This deficit isn't so bad because Patterson Companies is worth US$2.61b, and thus could probably raise enough capital to shore up its balance sheet, if the need arose. But it's clear that we should definitely closely examine whether it can manage its debt without dilution.

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

Patterson Companies's net debt to EBITDA ratio of about 1.6 suggests only moderate use of debt. And its commanding EBIT of 1k times its interest expense, implies the debt load is as light as a peacock feather. In addition to that, we're happy to report that Patterson Companies has boosted its EBIT by 55%, thus reducing the spectre of future debt repayments. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Patterson Companies's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So we always check how much of that EBIT is translated into free cash flow. During the last three years, Patterson Companies burned a lot of cash. While that may be a result of expenditure for growth, it does make the debt far more risky.

Our View

Based on what we've seen Patterson Companies is not finding it easy, given its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow, but the other factors we considered give us cause to be optimistic. In particular, we are dazzled with its interest cover. We would also note that Healthcare industry companies like Patterson Companies commonly do use debt without problems. When we consider all the elements mentioned above, it seems to us that Patterson Companies is managing its debt quite well. Having said that, the load is sufficiently heavy that we would recommend any shareholders keep a close eye on it. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. These risks can be hard to spot. Every company has them, and we've spotted 3 warning signs for Patterson Companies (of which 2 are concerning!) you should know about.

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.