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Patterson Companies Future Growth
Future criteria checks 2/6
Patterson Companies is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 14.7% and 3.4% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 16.4% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 18% in 3 years.
Key information
14.7%
Earnings growth rate
16.42%
EPS growth rate
| Healthcare earnings growth | 19.7% |
| Revenue growth rate | 3.4% |
| Future return on equity | 17.95% |
| Analyst coverage | Good |
| Last updated | 08 Apr 2025 |
Recent future growth updates
Analysis Article • Dec 08
Earnings Miss: Patterson Companies, Inc. Missed EPS By 28% And Analysts Are Revising Their Forecasts
Investors in Patterson Companies, Inc. ( NASDAQ:PDCO ) had a good week, as its shares rose 6.7% to close at US$22.92...Analysis Article • Jun 21
Analysts Are Updating Their Patterson Companies, Inc. (NASDAQ:PDCO) Estimates After Its Annual Results
It's been a good week for Patterson Companies, Inc. ( NASDAQ:PDCO ) shareholders, because the company has just released...Recent updates
Analysis Article • Dec 08
Earnings Miss: Patterson Companies, Inc. Missed EPS By 28% And Analysts Are Revising Their Forecasts
Investors in Patterson Companies, Inc. ( NASDAQ:PDCO ) had a good week, as its shares rose 6.7% to close at US$22.92...Seeking Alpha • Nov 06
Patterson Could Struggle Under Potential Trump Tariffs, But It Looks A Buy Right Now
Summary Patterson Companies, Inc. presents itself as a distributor for the dental supply markets and the animal health supply markets. In my opinion, some investors may be expecting tariffs to increase as a result of the election of the new President. The company recently noted two new acquisitions, which could bring synergies in 2025, and 2026. The new acquisitions could also bring a number of new clients. Patterson reported a large increase in D&A and capital expenditures. It appears clear that the company is investing large amounts of dollars to build more capacity. The company's current stock price is not far from the levels seen in 2009, and in 2020. It appears to be a gift at 7x FWD EBITDA, and 6x FWD cash flow. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaAnalysis Article • Oct 15
Investors Aren't Entirely Convinced By Patterson Companies, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:PDCO) Earnings
With a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 10.9x Patterson Companies, Inc. ( NASDAQ:PDCO ) may be sending bullish...Analysis Article • Sep 20
There's Been No Shortage Of Growth Recently For Patterson Companies' (NASDAQ:PDCO) Returns On Capital
What are the early trends we should look for to identify a stock that could multiply in value over the long term? In a...
New Narrative • Sep 11
Critical Shifts And Cost Discipline Propel Profitability And Resilience In Healthcare Sector
Patterson's strategic emphasis on the companion animal segment and operational efficiency aims at margin improvement and net income growth, prioritizing profitability.Seeking Alpha • Sep 10
Patterson Companies: Unable To Compound Capital At An Advantage (Rating Downgrade)
Summary Patterson Companies, Inc. (PDCO) is not reinvesting cash earnings into growth. Despite cheap valuations, PDCO's intrinsic worth supports these, and the stock remains at ~2.5x EV/IC with declining earnings power anyway. PDCO's Q1 FY'25 earnings show significant operational friction, with contracting margins and a structural downtrend in business performance. Given the lack of reinvestment and growth, I revise PDCO's rating to hold, as the opportunity cost of owning it is too high. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaAnalysis Article • Aug 28
At US$25.69, Is Patterson Companies, Inc. (NASDAQ:PDCO) Worth Looking At Closely?
Patterson Companies, Inc. ( NASDAQ:PDCO ), is not the largest company out there, but it saw a decent share price growth...Analysis Article • Jun 21
Analysts Are Updating Their Patterson Companies, Inc. (NASDAQ:PDCO) Estimates After Its Annual Results
It's been a good week for Patterson Companies, Inc. ( NASDAQ:PDCO ) shareholders, because the company has just released...Seeking Alpha • Jun 19
Patterson Companies: Something To Smile About
Summary Patterson Companies' stock surged 11.1% after beating revenue forecasts in Q4 of 2024 fiscal year. Despite recent financial performance decline, management's guidance for 2025 suggests potential for growth. PDCO stock remains attractively priced compared to similar enterprises, offering potential upside. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaAnalysis Article • Jun 13
Patterson Companies, Inc. (NASDAQ:PDCO) Doing What It Can To Lift Shares
Patterson Companies, Inc.'s ( NASDAQ:PDCO ) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 10.6x might make it look like a buy...Analysis Article • May 23
Is There Now An Opportunity In Patterson Companies, Inc. (NASDAQ:PDCO)?
Patterson Companies, Inc. ( NASDAQ:PDCO ), might not be a large cap stock, but it saw significant share price movement...Analysis Article • May 02
Patterson Companies (NASDAQ:PDCO) Is Experiencing Growth In Returns On Capital
If you're looking for a multi-bagger, there's a few things to keep an eye out for. Ideally, a business will show two...Seeking Alpha • Apr 06
Patterson Companies: Smiling Through The Pain
Summary Shares of Patterson Companies have seen unjustified downside despite solid revenue growth and management's investments in the future of the firm. The company's profitability metrics have worsened, but management says it is due to investments being made. Patterson Companies' stock is cheap on an absolute basis and relative to similar firms, and management is taking advantage by initiating a share buyback program. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaAnalysis Article • Feb 09
Patterson Companies, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:PDCO) Prospects Need A Boost To Lift Shares
When close to half the companies in the United States have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") above 17x, you may...Analysis Article • Jan 19
What Is Patterson Companies, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:PDCO) Share Price Doing?
Patterson Companies, Inc. ( NASDAQ:PDCO ), might not be a large cap stock, but it saw a decent share price growth of...Analysis Article • Dec 22
Patterson Companies (NASDAQ:PDCO) Is Looking To Continue Growing Its Returns On Capital
If we want to find a potential multi-bagger, often there are underlying trends that can provide clues. Typically, we'll...Analysis Article • Sep 27
Should You Be Adding Patterson Companies (NASDAQ:PDCO) To Your Watchlist Today?
For beginners, it can seem like a good idea (and an exciting prospect) to buy a company that tells a good story to...Analysis Article • Sep 06
There's Been No Shortage Of Growth Recently For Patterson Companies' (NASDAQ:PDCO) Returns On Capital
To find a multi-bagger stock, what are the underlying trends we should look for in a business? One common approach is...Analysis Article • Jul 03
A Look At The Fair Value Of Patterson Companies, Inc. (NASDAQ:PDCO)
Key Insights Patterson Companies' estimated fair value is US$27.84 based on 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity Current...Analysis Article • Jun 13
Is It Time To Consider Buying Patterson Companies, Inc. (NASDAQ:PDCO)?
Patterson Companies, Inc. ( NASDAQ:PDCO ), might not be a large cap stock, but it saw its share price hover around a...Analysis Article • May 26
With EPS Growth And More, Patterson Companies (NASDAQ:PDCO) Makes An Interesting Case
For beginners, it can seem like a good idea (and an exciting prospect) to buy a company that tells a good story to...Analysis Article • May 08
Patterson Companies (NASDAQ:PDCO) Shareholders Will Want The ROCE Trajectory To Continue
What are the early trends we should look for to identify a stock that could multiply in value over the long term...Analysis Article • Mar 10
Patterson Companies (NASDAQ:PDCO) Seems To Use Debt Quite Sensibly
Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously...Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts
| Date | Revenue | Earnings | Free Cash Flow | Cash from Op | Avg. No. Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4/30/2027 | 6,980 | 184 | 187 | -904 | 3 |
| 4/30/2026 | 6,745 | 175 | 187 | -870 | 6 |
| 4/30/2025 | 6,515 | 136 | 154 | -884 | 4 |
| 1/25/2025 | 6,511 | 139 | -867 | -805 | N/A |
| 10/26/2024 | 6,555 | 155 | -823 | -763 | N/A |
| 7/27/2024 | 6,533 | 168 | -885 | -821 | N/A |
| 4/27/2024 | 6,568 | 186 | -857 | -789 | N/A |
| 1/27/2024 | 6,567 | 194 | -819 | -747 | N/A |
| 10/28/2023 | 6,552 | 200 | -791 | -720 | N/A |
| 7/29/2023 | 6,525 | 214 | -772 | -706 | N/A |
| 4/29/2023 | 6,471 | 208 | -819 | -755 | N/A |
| 1/28/2023 | 6,389 | 196 | -929 | -875 | N/A |
| 10/29/2022 | 6,385 | 200 | -1,012 | -962 | N/A |
| 7/30/2022 | 6,408 | 194 | -1,015 | -970 | N/A |
| 4/30/2022 | 6,499 | 203 | -1,019 | -981 | N/A |
| 1/29/2022 | 6,422 | 168 | -991 | -960 | N/A |
| 10/30/2021 | 6,377 | 160 | -873 | -847 | N/A |
| 7/31/2021 | 6,281 | 166 | -841 | -814 | N/A |
| 4/24/2021 | 5,912 | 156 | -756 | -731 | N/A |
| 1/23/2021 | 5,637 | -481 | -710 | -679 | N/A |
| 10/24/2020 | 5,542 | -507 | -685 | -652 | N/A |
| 7/25/2020 | 5,407 | -594 | -467 | -428 | N/A |
| 4/25/2020 | 5,490 | -588 | -285 | -244 | N/A |
| 1/25/2020 | 5,640 | 48 | -257 | -197 | N/A |
| 10/26/2019 | 5,581 | 56 | -228 | -167 | N/A |
| 7/27/2019 | 5,567 | 118 | -262 | -203 | N/A |
| 4/27/2019 | 5,575 | 84 | -13 | 48 | N/A |
| 1/26/2019 | 5,538 | 77 | 166 | 215 | N/A |
| 10/27/2018 | 5,517 | 154 | N/A | 302 | N/A |
| 7/28/2018 | 5,498 | 166 | N/A | 430 | N/A |
| 4/28/2018 | 5,466 | 201 | N/A | 179 | N/A |
| 1/27/2018 | 5,510 | 241 | N/A | 215 | N/A |
| 10/28/2017 | 5,532 | 160 | N/A | 295 | N/A |
| 7/29/2017 | 5,565 | 166 | N/A | 189 | N/A |
| 4/29/2017 | 5,593 | 174 | N/A | 163 | N/A |
| 1/28/2017 | 5,602 | 178 | N/A | 230 | N/A |
| 10/29/2016 | 5,605 | 207 | N/A | 154 | N/A |
| 7/30/2016 | 5,576 | 204 | N/A | 78 | N/A |
| 4/30/2016 | 5,387 | 186 | N/A | 156 | N/A |
| 1/30/2016 | 4,968 | 174 | N/A | 18 | N/A |
| 10/31/2015 | 4,526 | 163 | N/A | 111 | N/A |
| 8/1/2015 | 4,115 | 162 | N/A | 199 | N/A |
| 4/25/2015 | 3,911 | 180 | N/A | 263 | N/A |
| 1/24/2015 | 3,978 | 182 | N/A | 204 | N/A |
| 10/25/2014 | 4,102 | 193 | N/A | 201 | N/A |
| 7/26/2014 | 4,123 | 193 | N/A | 243 | N/A |
| 4/26/2014 | 3,585 | 171 | N/A | 196 | N/A |
Analyst Future Growth Forecasts
Earnings vs Savings Rate: PDCO's forecast earnings growth (14.7% per year) is above the savings rate (2.8%).
Earnings vs Market: PDCO's earnings (14.7% per year) are forecast to grow faster than the US market (13.5% per year).
High Growth Earnings: PDCO's earnings are forecast to grow, but not significantly.
Revenue vs Market: PDCO's revenue (3.4% per year) is forecast to grow slower than the US market (8.3% per year).
High Growth Revenue: PDCO's revenue (3.4% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.
Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts
Future Return on Equity
Future ROE: PDCO's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (18%).
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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status
| Data | Last Updated (UTC time) |
|---|---|
| Company Analysis | 2025/04/16 10:31 |
| End of Day Share Price | 2025/04/16 00:00 |
| Earnings | 2025/01/25 |
| Annual Earnings | 2024/04/27 |
Data Sources
The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.
| Package | Data | Timeframe | Example US Source * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Company Financials | 10 years |
| |
| Analyst Consensus Estimates | +3 years |
|
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| Market Prices | 30 years |
| |
| Ownership | 10 years |
| |
| Management | 10 years |
| |
| Key Developments | 10 years |
|
* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.
Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.
Analysis Model and Snowflake
Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.
Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.
Industry and Sector Metrics
Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.
Analyst Sources
Patterson Companies, Inc. is covered by 17 analysts. 6 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.
| Analyst | Institution |
|---|---|
| Lawrence Marsh | Barclays |
| Charley Jones | Barrington Research Associates, Inc. |
| Kevin Ellich | Craig-Hallum Capital Group LLC |