Outset Medical (OM) Stock Overview
A medical technology company, engages in the development of a hemodialysis system for hemodialysis in the United States. More details
| Snowflake Score | |
|---|---|
| Valuation | 2/6 |
| Future Growth | 0/6 |
| Past Performance | 0/6 |
| Financial Health | 5/6 |
| Dividends | 0/6 |
Rewards
Risk Analysis
OM Community Fair Values
Create NarrativeSee what 9 others think this stock is worth. Follow their fair value or set your own to get alerts.
Analyst Price Targets
Outset Medical, Inc. Competitors
Price History & Performance
| Historical stock prices | |
|---|---|
| Current Share Price | US$5.05 |
| 52 Week High | US$21.36 |
| 52 Week Low | US$3.00 |
| Beta | 1.94 |
| 1 Month Change | 30.83% |
| 3 Month Change | 50.30% |
| 1 Year Change | -74.20% |
| 3 Year Change | -98.48% |
| 5 Year Change | -99.34% |
| Change since IPO | -99.45% |
Recent News & Updates
Narrative Update • Jun 15
OM: 2026 Revenue Guidance And Margin Outlook Will Support Long Term Potential
Analysts have revised their price target for Outset Medical to $10.00 from $15.00, reflecting updated assumptions for the discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E. What's in the News Outset Medical reiterated earnings guidance for fiscal year 2026, according to a key developments update.
Narrative Update • Jun 01
OM: Lower Risk Outlook And 2026 Guidance Will Support Long-Term Upside
Analysts have kept their price target for Outset Medical steady at $7.00, citing updated assumptions around discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E that largely offset each other in their valuation work. What's in the News Outset Medical reiterated earnings guidance for fiscal year 2026 and maintained its outlook for the period.Narrative Update • May 18
OM: 2026 Earnings Outlook And Lower Risk Assumptions Support Long-Term Upside
Analysts have raised their price target on Outset Medical to $7.00, reflecting updated assumptions for discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E that they see as better aligning the stock with current fundamentals and risk. What's in the News Outset Medical reiterated earnings guidance for fiscal year 2026, signaling no change to its previously communicated outlook.Recent updates
Narrative Update • Jun 15
OM: 2026 Revenue Guidance And Margin Outlook Will Support Long Term Potential
Analysts have revised their price target for Outset Medical to $10.00 from $15.00, reflecting updated assumptions for the discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E. What's in the News Outset Medical reiterated earnings guidance for fiscal year 2026, according to a key developments update.Narrative Update • Jun 01
OM: Lower Risk Outlook And 2026 Guidance Will Support Long-Term Upside
Analysts have kept their price target for Outset Medical steady at $7.00, citing updated assumptions around discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E that largely offset each other in their valuation work. What's in the News Outset Medical reiterated earnings guidance for fiscal year 2026 and maintained its outlook for the period.Narrative Update • May 18
OM: 2026 Earnings Outlook And Lower Risk Assumptions Support Long-Term Upside
Analysts have raised their price target on Outset Medical to $7.00, reflecting updated assumptions for discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E that they see as better aligning the stock with current fundamentals and risk. What's in the News Outset Medical reiterated earnings guidance for fiscal year 2026, signaling no change to its previously communicated outlook.
Narrative Update • Apr 24
OM: Cybersecurity Clearance And Next Platform Rollout Will Support Future Upside
Analysts have adjusted their price target for Outset Medical to $9.00 from $10.50, reflecting updated views on fair value, discount rate, profit margin assumptions, and a lower future price-to-earnings (P/E) multiple. What's in the News Outset Medical issued earnings guidance for fiscal 2026, with revenue projected in a range of US$125 million to US$130 million, described as a 5% to 9% change versus US$119.5 million in 2025 (Key Developments).Narrative Update • Apr 08
OM: Next Generation Platform And 2026 Outlook Will Support Long Term Potential
Analysts have trimmed their price target on Outset Medical from $17.00 to $15.00, reflecting updated assumptions around discount rates, revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E levels. What's in the News Outset Medical issued earnings guidance for fiscal 2026, with expected revenue in a range of $125 million to $130 million, compared with $119.5 million in 2025 (company guidance).Narrative Update • Mar 25
OM: Cybersecure Platform Clearance Will Drive Future Upside Despite Lowered Multiple
Analysts have revised their price target on Outset Medical to $10.50 from $11.75, reflecting updated assumptions around discount rates, revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E multiples. What's in the News Outset Medical issued earnings guidance for fiscal year 2026, with projected revenue of $125m to $130m and a stated 5% to 9% change relative to $119.5m in 2025 (Company guidance).Narrative Update • Mar 10
OM: Upcoming Cybersecure Platform Rollout Will Support Long-Term Upside
Analysts have modestly adjusted their price target for Outset Medical to $7.00. This reflects updated views on the company’s discount rate, revenue growth outlook, profit margin assumptions, and future P/E expectations.Narrative Update • Feb 24
OM: Upcoming Platform Launch And 2026 Outlook Will Support Long-Term Upside
Analysts have reduced their price target on Outset Medical to $7.00 from $7.00, reflecting updated views on a slightly higher discount rate, a small change in modeled revenue growth, a modest improvement in profit margin, and a lower assumed future P/E multiple. What's in the News Outset Medical issued earnings guidance for fiscal 2026, with revenue expected in a range of $125 million to $130 million, compared with $119.5 million in 2025 (Company guidance).Narrative Update • Feb 09
OM: Next Cybersecure Platform Will Support Future Upside Despite Reduced Expectations
Analysts have reduced their price target for Outset Medical to $11.75 from $15.75, citing updated expectations around revenue growth, profit margins, and a lower future P/E multiple that collectively point to a more cautious valuation outlook. What's in the News Outset Medical received 510(k) clearance from the U.S. Food and Drug Administration for its next generation Tablo platform, which is designed for use by hospitals, health systems and home dialysis providers (Key Developments).Analysis Article • Feb 02
Outset Medical, Inc. (NASDAQ:OM) Held Back By Insufficient Growth Even After Shares Climb 35%
Those holding Outset Medical, Inc. ( NASDAQ:OM ) shares would be relieved that the share price has rebounded 35% in the...Narrative Update • Jan 25
OM: Clinical Evidence Will Support Stronger Long-Term Outlook Despite Lower 2025 Guidance
Analysts have modestly adjusted their price target for Outset Medical, citing updated views on discount rates, revenue growth assumptions, profit margins, and future P/E levels as the key drivers of the change. What's in the News Outset Medical revised its 2025 revenue guidance to a range of US$115 million to US$120 million, compared with prior guidance of US$122 million to US$126 million, while maintaining expectations for full year gross margin in the high 30% range (company guidance).Narrative Update • Jan 11
OM: Clinical Data Momentum Will Support Long Term Potential
Analysts have cut their price target for Outset Medical from US$39.00 to US$17.00, pointing to updated assumptions for higher discount rates, more moderate revenue growth, slightly different profit margins, and a lower future P/E multiple. What's in the News Outset Medical revised its 2025 revenue guidance to a range of US$115 million to US$120 million, compared with prior guidance of US$122 million to US$126 million, while maintaining expectations for full year gross margin in the high 30% range (company guidance).Narrative Update • Dec 25
OM: Clinical Outcome Data Will Support Stronger Long-Term Outlook Despite Lower Guidance
Analysts have reduced their price target on Outset Medical from approximately 17 dollars to about 7 dollars, citing higher perceived risk, slower expected revenue growth, and lower future valuation multiples despite slightly improved margin assumptions. What's in the News Outset Medical lowered its 2025 revenue guidance to a range of 115 million to 120 million dollars, down from its prior outlook of 122 million to 126 million dollars, while reaffirming expectations for gross margin in the high 30 percent range (corporate guidance) The company announced research findings from over 1 million Tablo hemodialysis treatments across more than 600 facilities, showing strong clinical effectiveness in meeting rigorous treatment goals, including for the most critical patients (product related announcement) Five year results from an AdventHealth hospital in Florida using insourced dialysis with Tablo reported a 94 percent reduction in serious cardiac or respiratory events, lower central line bloodstream infections, staff satisfaction above 95 percent, and a reported return on investment within two years (product related announcement) Outset Medical plans to present these Tablo clinical and economic outcomes at the American Society of Nephrology Kidney Week 2025 in Houston, a global forum for kidney care advances (product related announcement) Valuation Changes Fair Value: reduced significantly from 17.0 dollars to 7.0 dollars, implying a materially lower intrinsic equity value estimate.Analysis Article • Dec 19
The Market Doesn't Like What It Sees From Outset Medical, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:OM) Revenues Yet As Shares Tumble 27%
Unfortunately for some shareholders, the Outset Medical, Inc. ( NASDAQ:OM ) share price has dived 27% in the last...Narrative Update • Dec 11
OM: Clinical Outcomes Data Will Support Future Upside Despite Near Term Guidance Cut
Analysts have modestly raised their price target on Outset Medical to approximately $22 per share from about $21 previously, citing a slightly higher expected future earnings multiple that more than offsets a small downward revision to long term profit margins. What's in the News Lowered 2025 revenue guidance to a range of $115 million to $120 million, down from prior expectations of $122 million to $126 million, while maintaining an outlook for gross margin in the high 30% range (company guidance) Announced new research from over 1 million Tablo hemodialysis treatments across approximately 750 facilities, highlighting the clinical effectiveness of insourced dialysis in meeting rigorous treatment goals, including up to 24 hour treatments for the most critical patients (company announcement) Reported 5 year data from AdventHealth Ocala showing a 94% reduction in serious cardiac or respiratory events, sustained reduction in central line bloodstream infections, nurse retention above 95%, and a strong return on investment within the first two years after insourcing dialysis with Tablo (company announcement) Planned to present these findings at the American Society of Nephrology Kidney Week 2025 in Houston, a major global forum for kidney care innovations attended by more than 12,000 professionals (conference presentation) Valuation Changes The fair value estimate remained unchanged at approximately $15.75 per share, indicating no shift in the long term intrinsic value assessment.Narrative Update • Nov 27
OM: Patient Outcomes And Expanding Home Dialysis Access Will Drive Future Upside
Analysts have adjusted Outset Medical's price target to $15.75, maintaining previous expectations as updated evaluations of the company’s discount rate and future earnings metrics led to only minor forecast changes. What's in the News Outset Medical revised its 2025 revenue guidance, lowering it to a range of $115 million to $120 million.Narrative Update • Nov 13
OM: Patient Outcomes And Home Dialysis Expansion Will Drive Renewed Upside
Narrative Update on Outset Medical Analyst Price Target Analysts have revised their fair value estimate for Outset Medical downward. The target price has been reduced from $25.75 to $15.75, citing updated financial forecasts and industry reassessments.Analysis Article • Sep 23
Outset Medical (NASDAQ:OM) Has Debt But No Earnings; Should You Worry?
Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously...Seeking Alpha • Sep 22
Outset Medical: Revenue Trajectory Yet To Reflect Favorable Demand Tailwinds
Summary Q2 revenue rose 15%, driven by a 25% increase in console sales and 17% growth in consumables. Q2 gross margin was 38.4%, impacted by temporary headwinds, and should gradually expand towards management's mid-term target of 50%. I expect cash burn this year of $45 million, with break-even likely reached in 2028, supported by gross profit growth significantly outpacing operating expense growth. Though execution risk is high, OM's stock trades at an undemanding valuation, especially compared to relevant peers. I am maintaining a hold rating on the stock. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaAnalysis Article • Aug 10
Outset Medical, Inc. (NASDAQ:OM) Just Reported And Analysts Have Been Lifting Their Price Targets
NasdaqGS:OM 1 Year Share Price vs Fair Value Explore Outset Medical's Fair Values from the Community and select yours...Narrative Update • Aug 08
Decentralized Care And Telehealth Will Advance Dialysis Adoption
Analysts have raised their consensus revenue growth forecast for Outset Medical from 11.8% to 12.6% per annum, offsetting a higher discount rate, and resulting in an increased fair value price target from $24.50 to $25.75. What's in the News Outset Medical raised its 2025 revenue guidance to $122 million-$126 million from $115 million-$125 million.Analysis Article • Aug 02
Outset Medical, Inc. (NASDAQ:OM) Might Not Be As Mispriced As It Looks After Plunging 27%
The Outset Medical, Inc. ( NASDAQ:OM ) share price has softened a substantial 27% over the previous 30 days, handing...Analysis Article • May 13
Does Outset Medical (NASDAQ:OM) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?
Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it seems the smart money knows that...Seeking Alpha • Apr 16
Outset Medical: The Worst Is Over, But Execution Risk Remains High
Summary Regulatory issues are now behind the company, and demand appears strong, supported by a growing order backlog and promising 2025 revenue guidance. The balance sheet is in good shape, with $210 million in cash and $100 million in debt. The path to profitability hinges on a re-acceleration in growth alongside improving gross margins, with operating expenses remaining largely flat. While the current valuation offers an attractive upside, the risk profile remains elevated. I remain cautious about the stock and assign it a Hold rating. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
New Narrative • Apr 12
Cost Cuts And Care Expansion Will Secure Success By 2025
Outset Medical's expanding revenue from recurring sources and acute care markets underpins strong future growth prospects and console sales.Analysis Article • Apr 08
Take Care Before Diving Into The Deep End On Outset Medical, Inc. (NASDAQ:OM)
With a price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 1.5x Outset Medical, Inc. ( NASDAQ:OM ) may be sending bullish signals at the...Analysis Article • Dec 23
A Piece Of The Puzzle Missing From Outset Medical, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:OM) 44% Share Price Climb
Outset Medical, Inc. ( NASDAQ:OM ) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 44% gain in the last month alone...Analysis Article • Nov 08
Further Upside For Outset Medical, Inc. (NASDAQ:OM) Shares Could Introduce Price Risks After 32% Bounce
Outset Medical, Inc. ( NASDAQ:OM ) shareholders are no doubt pleased to see that the share price has bounced 32% in the...Analysis Article • Sep 24
Outset Medical, Inc. (NASDAQ:OM) Might Not Be As Mispriced As It Looks After Plunging 27%
Unfortunately for some shareholders, the Outset Medical, Inc. ( NASDAQ:OM ) share price has dived 27% in the last...Analysis Article • Aug 11
Outset Medical, Inc. (NASDAQ:OM) Analysts Are Cutting Their Estimates: Here's What You Need To Know
Outset Medical, Inc. ( NASDAQ:OM ) missed earnings with its latest second-quarter results, disappointing...Analysis Article • Jul 17
Outset Medical, Inc. (NASDAQ:OM) Stock Rockets 25% But Many Are Still Ignoring The Company
Outset Medical, Inc. ( NASDAQ:OM ) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 25% gain in the last month alone...Seeking Alpha • May 28
Outset Medical: Expecting Accelerated Growth And Reduced Cash Burn Going Forward
Summary Outset Medical shares have rallied more than 30% this month on news of the FDA approval. With the headwinds now behind it, the business has multiple positive catalysts going forward. Even though profitability is improving, the company continues to consume cash, with the goal of reaching cash flow break-even only in 2027. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaAnalysis Article • May 23
Outset Medical, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:OM) CEO Compensation Is Looking A Bit Stretched At The Moment
Key Insights Outset Medical to hold its Annual General Meeting on 29th of May Total pay for CEO Leslie Trigg includes...Analysis Article • May 10
Investors Still Aren't Entirely Convinced By Outset Medical, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:OM) Revenues Despite 30% Price Jump
Those holding Outset Medical, Inc. ( NASDAQ:OM ) shares would be relieved that the share price has rebounded 30% in the...Shareholder Returns
| OM | US Medical Equipment | US Market | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7D | 17.4% | -1.2% | 1.7% |
| 1Y | -74.2% | -20.6% | 25.1% |
Return vs Industry: OM underperformed the US Medical Equipment industry which returned -21.4% over the past year.
Return vs Market: OM underperformed the US Market which returned 23.3% over the past year.
Price Volatility
| OM volatility | |
|---|---|
| OM Average Weekly Movement | 11.6% |
| Medical Equipment Industry Average Movement | 8.8% |
| Market Average Movement | 7.2% |
| 10% most volatile stocks in US Market | 16.7% |
| 10% least volatile stocks in US Market | 3.1% |
Stable Share Price: OM's share price has been volatile over the past 3 months compared to the US market.
Volatility Over Time: OM's weekly volatility (12%) has been stable over the past year, but is still higher than 75% of US stocks.
About the Company
| Founded | Employees | CEO | Website |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2003 | 310 | Leslie Trigg | www.outsetmedical.com |
Outset Medical, Inc., a medical technology company, engages in the development of a hemodialysis system for hemodialysis in the United States. The company provides Tablo Hemodialysis System, a compact console with integrated water purification, on-demand dialysate production, and software and connectivity capabilities; and manufactures, supports, and distributes for Tablo console, Tablo cartridge, and other consumables. It also offers Tablo Data Ecosystem, including TabloHub, a consumer-facing portal; MyTablo, a patient-facing portal; and TabloDash, an internal data analytics platform.
Outset Medical, Inc. Fundamentals Summary
| OM fundamental statistics | |
|---|---|
| Market cap | US$74.52m |
| Earnings (TTM) | -US$74.85m |
| Revenue (TTM) | US$117.59m |
0.8x
P/S Ratio-1.3x
P/E RatioIs OM overvalued?
See Fair Value and valuation analysisEarnings & Revenue
| OM income statement (TTM) | |
|---|---|
| Revenue | US$117.59m |
| Cost of Revenue | US$69.80m |
| Gross Profit | US$47.78m |
| Other Expenses | US$122.63m |
| Earnings | -US$74.85m |
Last Reported Earnings
Mar 31, 2026
Next Earnings Date
n/a
| Earnings per share (EPS) | -4.04 |
| Gross Margin | 40.64% |
| Net Profit Margin | -63.65% |
| Debt/Equity Ratio | 86.8% |
How did OM perform over the long term?
See historical performance and comparisonCompany Analysis and Financial Data Status
| Data | Last Updated (UTC time) |
|---|---|
| Company Analysis | 2026/06/18 22:46 |
| End of Day Share Price | 2026/06/18 00:00 |
| Earnings | 2026/03/31 |
| Annual Earnings | 2025/12/31 |
Data Sources
The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.
| Package | Data | Timeframe | Example US Source * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Company Financials | 10 years |
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| Analyst Consensus Estimates | +3 years |
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| Market Prices | 30 years |
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| Ownership | 10 years |
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| Management | 10 years |
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| Key Developments | 10 years |
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* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.
Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.
Analysis Model and Snowflake
Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.
Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.
Industry and Sector Metrics
Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.
Analyst Sources
Outset Medical, Inc. is covered by 9 analysts. 3 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.
| Analyst | Institution |
|---|---|
| Travis Steed | BofA Global Research |
| Michael Gorman | BTIG |
| Marie Thibault | BTIG |