With a price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.2x NantHealth, Inc. (NASDAQ:NH) may be sending very bullish signals at the moment, given that almost half of all the Healthcare Services companies in the United States have P/S ratios greater than 2.6x and even P/S higher than 6x are not unusual. However, the P/S might be quite low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
See our latest analysis for NantHealth
What Does NantHealth's Recent Performance Look Like?
Revenue has risen at a steady rate over the last year for NantHealth, which is generally not a bad outcome. It might be that many expect the respectable revenue performance to degrade, which has repressed the P/S. If that doesn't eventuate, then existing shareholders may have reason to be optimistic about the future direction of the share price.
Although there are no analyst estimates available for NantHealth, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.How Is NantHealth's Revenue Growth Trending?
The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as depressed as NantHealth's is when the company's growth is on track to lag the industry decidedly.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered a decent 6.9% gain to the company's revenues. Ultimately though, it couldn't turn around the poor performance of the prior period, with revenue shrinking 13% in total over the last three years. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing revenue over that time.
In contrast to the company, the rest of the industry is expected to grow by 12% over the next year, which really puts the company's recent medium-term revenue decline into perspective.
With this information, we are not surprised that NantHealth is trading at a P/S lower than the industry. However, we think shrinking revenues are unlikely to lead to a stable P/S over the longer term, which could set up shareholders for future disappointment. There's potential for the P/S to fall to even lower levels if the company doesn't improve its top-line growth.
The Key Takeaway
Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.
As we suspected, our examination of NantHealth revealed its shrinking revenue over the medium-term is contributing to its low P/S, given the industry is set to grow. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in revenue isn't great enough to justify a higher P/S ratio. Given the current circumstances, it seems unlikely that the share price will experience any significant movement in either direction in the near future if recent medium-term revenue trends persist.
You should always think about risks. Case in point, we've spotted 4 warning signs for NantHealth you should be aware of, and 3 of them can't be ignored.
It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).
Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About OTCPK:NHIQ
NantHealth
Operates as a healthcare IT company in the United States, Canada, and the United Kingdom.
Medium-low and slightly overvalued.