Stock Analysis

Inogen (NASDAQ:INGN) Is In A Strong Position To Grow Its Business

NasdaqGS:INGN
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Even when a business is losing money, it's possible for shareholders to make money if they buy a good business at the right price. For example, biotech and mining exploration companies often lose money for years before finding success with a new treatment or mineral discovery. But while the successes are well known, investors should not ignore the very many unprofitable companies that simply burn through all their cash and collapse.

So should Inogen (NASDAQ:INGN) shareholders be worried about its cash burn? In this report, we will consider the company's annual negative free cash flow, henceforth referring to it as the 'cash burn'. The first step is to compare its cash burn with its cash reserves, to give us its 'cash runway'.

View our latest analysis for Inogen

SWOT Analysis for Inogen

Strength
  • Currently debt free.
Weakness
  • No major weaknesses identified for INGN.
Opportunity
  • Forecast to reduce losses next year.
  • Has sufficient cash runway for more than 3 years based on current free cash flows.
  • Good value based on P/S ratio and estimated fair value.
Threat
  • Not expected to become profitable over the next 3 years.

How Long Is Inogen's Cash Runway?

A company's cash runway is calculated by dividing its cash hoard by its cash burn. When Inogen last reported its balance sheet in March 2023, it had zero debt and cash worth US$175m. In the last year, its cash burn was US$50m. That means it had a cash runway of about 3.5 years as of March 2023. Importantly, though, analysts think that Inogen will reach cashflow breakeven before then. In that case, it may never reach the end of its cash runway. Depicted below, you can see how its cash holdings have changed over time.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NasdaqGS:INGN Debt to Equity History June 21st 2023

How Well Is Inogen Growing?

Notably, Inogen actually ramped up its cash burn very hard and fast in the last year, by 144%, signifying heavy investment in the business. That does give us pause, and we can't take much solace in the operating revenue growth of 5.0% in the same time frame. Considering both these metrics, we're a little concerned about how the company is developing. While the past is always worth studying, it is the future that matters most of all. So you might want to take a peek at how much the company is expected to grow in the next few years.

Can Inogen Raise More Cash Easily?

Even though it seems like Inogen is developing its business nicely, we still like to consider how easily it could raise more money to accelerate growth. Generally speaking, a listed business can raise new cash through issuing shares or taking on debt. Commonly, a business will sell new shares in itself to raise cash and drive growth. By comparing a company's annual cash burn to its total market capitalisation, we can estimate roughly how many shares it would have to issue in order to run the company for another year (at the same burn rate).

Inogen has a market capitalisation of US$260m and burnt through US$50m last year, which is 19% of the company's market value. Given that situation, it's fair to say the company wouldn't have much trouble raising more cash for growth, but shareholders would be somewhat diluted.

How Risky Is Inogen's Cash Burn Situation?

As you can probably tell by now, we're not too worried about Inogen's cash burn. For example, we think its cash runway suggests that the company is on a good path. Although we do find its increasing cash burn to be a bit of a negative, once we consider the other metrics mentioned in this article together, the overall picture is one we are comfortable with. It's clearly very positive to see that analysts are forecasting the company will break even fairly soon. Taking all the factors in this report into account, we're not at all worried about its cash burn, as the business appears well capitalized to spend as needs be. For us, it's always important to consider risks around cash burn rates. But investors should look at a whole range of factors when researching a new stock. For example, it could be interesting to see how much the Inogen CEO receives in total remuneration.

Of course Inogen may not be the best stock to buy. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.