Stock Analysis

Is Henry Schein (NASDAQ:HSIC) A Risky Investment?

NasdaqGS:HSIC
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The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. As with many other companies Henry Schein, Inc. (NASDAQ:HSIC) makes use of debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

When Is Debt Dangerous?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

Check out our latest analysis for Henry Schein

How Much Debt Does Henry Schein Carry?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of July 2023 Henry Schein had US$1.51b of debt, an increase on US$851.0m, over one year. However, it does have US$137.0m in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about US$1.37b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NasdaqGS:HSIC Debt to Equity History October 11th 2023

How Strong Is Henry Schein's Balance Sheet?

According to the last reported balance sheet, Henry Schein had liabilities of US$2.28b due within 12 months, and liabilities of US$1.86b due beyond 12 months. On the other hand, it had cash of US$137.0m and US$1.47b worth of receivables due within a year. So it has liabilities totalling US$2.54b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

This deficit isn't so bad because Henry Schein is worth US$9.69b, and thus could probably raise enough capital to shore up its balance sheet, if the need arose. But we definitely want to keep our eyes open to indications that its debt is bringing too much risk.

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

Henry Schein has a low net debt to EBITDA ratio of only 1.3. And its EBIT covers its interest expense a whopping 19.5 times over. So you could argue it is no more threatened by its debt than an elephant is by a mouse. On the other hand, Henry Schein saw its EBIT drop by 4.8% in the last twelve months. If earnings continue to decline at that rate the company may have increasing difficulty managing its debt load. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Henry Schein's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So we always check how much of that EBIT is translated into free cash flow. Over the most recent three years, Henry Schein recorded free cash flow worth 77% of its EBIT, which is around normal, given free cash flow excludes interest and tax. This free cash flow puts the company in a good position to pay down debt, when appropriate.

Our View

The good news is that Henry Schein's demonstrated ability to cover its interest expense with its EBIT delights us like a fluffy puppy does a toddler. But, on a more sombre note, we are a little concerned by its EBIT growth rate. We would also note that Healthcare industry companies like Henry Schein commonly do use debt without problems. Taking all this data into account, it seems to us that Henry Schein takes a pretty sensible approach to debt. While that brings some risk, it can also enhance returns for shareholders. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Case in point: We've spotted 1 warning sign for Henry Schein you should be aware of.

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.