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Benign Growth For Health Catalyst, Inc. (NASDAQ:HCAT) Underpins Its Share Price
With a price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 1.3x Health Catalyst, Inc. (NASDAQ:HCAT) may be sending bullish signals at the moment, given that almost half of all the Healthcare Services companies in the United States have P/S ratios greater than 2.4x and even P/S higher than 5x are not unusual. However, the P/S might be low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
View our latest analysis for Health Catalyst
What Does Health Catalyst's Recent Performance Look Like?
With revenue growth that's inferior to most other companies of late, Health Catalyst has been relatively sluggish. The P/S ratio is probably low because investors think this lacklustre revenue performance isn't going to get any better. If this is the case, then existing shareholders will probably struggle to get excited about the future direction of the share price.
Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Health Catalyst will help you uncover what's on the horizon.Is There Any Revenue Growth Forecasted For Health Catalyst?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should underperform the industry for P/S ratios like Health Catalyst's to be considered reasonable.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered a decent 7.1% gain to the company's revenues. The latest three year period has also seen an excellent 57% overall rise in revenue, aided somewhat by its short-term performance. Accordingly, shareholders would have definitely welcomed those medium-term rates of revenue growth.
Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 9.7% per annum as estimated by the analysts watching the company. With the industry predicted to deliver 13% growth per year, the company is positioned for a weaker revenue result.
With this information, we can see why Health Catalyst is trading at a P/S lower than the industry. Apparently many shareholders weren't comfortable holding on while the company is potentially eyeing a less prosperous future.
The Key Takeaway
We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.
We've established that Health Catalyst maintains its low P/S on the weakness of its forecast growth being lower than the wider industry, as expected. Shareholders' pessimism on the revenue prospects for the company seems to be the main contributor to the depressed P/S. It's hard to see the share price rising strongly in the near future under these circumstances.
Before you settle on your opinion, we've discovered 2 warning signs for Health Catalyst that you should be aware of.
It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).
Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.
Discover if Health Catalyst might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About NasdaqGS:HCAT
Health Catalyst
Provides data and analytics technology and services to healthcare organizations in the United States.
Good value with adequate balance sheet.