Health Catalyst, Inc.

NasdaqGS:HCAT Stock Report

Market Cap: US$126.4m

Health Catalyst Future Growth

Future criteria checks 0/6

Health Catalyst's revenue is forecast to decline at 9.6% per annum while its annual earnings are expected to grow at 70.7% per year. EPS is expected to grow by 79.7% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 5.1% in 3 years.

Key information

70.7%

Earnings growth rate

79.73%

EPS growth rate

Healthcare Services earnings growth22.1%
Revenue growth rate-9.6%
Future return on equity5.15%
Analyst coverage

Good

Last updated04 Jun 2026

Recent future growth updates

Recent updates

Narrative Update Jun 05

HCAT: Execution On Product Transition And Cost Cuts Will Shape 2026 Reset

Analysts have trimmed Health Catalyst's implied fair value to $2.00 per share from $5.00. This reflects a higher discount rate, a cut to longer term revenue expectations after softer Q1 guidance and a delayed FY26 outlook, and lower assumed future P/E multiples despite relatively stable profit margin assumptions.
Narrative Update May 09

HCAT: New Leadership And AI Investments Will Drive Post Review Turnaround

Narrative Update on Health Catalyst The updated analyst price target for Health Catalyst has shifted lower toward a cluster around $2, reflecting analyst caution after reduced targets and commentary around softer near term guidance, the ongoing transition from DOS to Ignite, and the company’s current strategic and operational reviews. Analyst Commentary Recent research reflects a cautious stance on Health Catalyst, with price targets clustered in the US$1.75 to US$3.00 range and several firms highlighting execution risk around guidance, product transition, and ongoing reviews.
Narrative Update Apr 24

HCAT: Guidance Reset And Impairment Charges Will Pressure Shares Further

Analyst price targets on Health Catalyst have been reset lower to a range of roughly $1.75 to $3, reflecting concerns about Q1 guidance, delayed FY26 outlook, product transition risks, and the need for more proof that the new leadership and AI-focused investments can gain traction. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Health Catalyst reflects a cautious reset in expectations, with multiple bearish analysts trimming price targets into a tighter US$1.75 to US$3 band and emphasizing execution and growth risks.
Narrative Update Apr 08

HCAT: Earnings Uncertainty And Platform Transition Will Drive Further Downside Risk

Narrative Update on Health Catalyst The updated analyst price target for Health Catalyst has shifted sharply lower, with several firms cutting targets into a $1.75 to $3 range. Analysts are factoring in higher perceived risk, softer revenue and margin assumptions, and the earnings impact of the DOS to Ignite transition and the ongoing strategic review.
Narrative Update Mar 25

HCAT: New Leadership And AI Investments Will Set Up 2026 Rebound

Analysts have reduced the base case price target on Health Catalyst from $3.88 to $2.09. The revision reflects a series of lower Street targets tied to softer near term growth assumptions, a higher discount rate, and calls for more clarity around the company’s product transition and ongoing reviews.
Narrative Update Mar 11

HCAT: Lowered Sector Outlook Will Set Up Cautiously Optimistic 2026 Rebound

Analysts have trimmed their price target on Health Catalyst by $0.50 to $2.75. This reflects a more cautious view on near term sector challenges, while they maintain a neutral stance on the shares.
Narrative Update Feb 24

HCAT: Cautiously Higher Future P/E And Reset Expectations Support Upside Potential

Analysts have trimmed their price target on Health Catalyst to $2.75 from $3.25, reflecting more cautious assumptions around revenue growth and risk, while remaining generally constructive on the sector heading into 2026. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts point to the lower US$2.75 target as still implying some value in Health Catalyst's data and analytics platform relative to current trading levels, even after a tough 2025 for the group.
Analysis Article Feb 13

Improved Revenues Required Before Health Catalyst, Inc. (NASDAQ:HCAT) Shares Find Their Feet

With a price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.4x Health Catalyst, Inc. ( NASDAQ:HCAT ) may be sending bullish signals at...
Narrative Update Feb 10

HCAT: Lower 2025 Expectations Will Set Up Cautiously Optimistic 2026 Rebound

Analysts have trimmed their price expectations for Health Catalyst, with the latest target moving from US$3.25 to US$2.75 as they factor in what they describe as a challenging 2025 for health tech and a cautious outlook into 2026. Analyst Commentary Even with the lower target, bullish analysts see reasons to stay engaged with Health Catalyst, especially as the sector works through what they describe as a tough patch in 2025 and looks ahead to 2026.
Narrative Update Jan 27

HCAT: Cautiously Higher Future P/E And Stable Margins Support Upside Potential

Analysts have trimmed their 12 month price target on Health Catalyst by $0.50 to $2.75, citing tougher assumptions around growth and margins, balanced by a slightly higher future P/E multiple and an updated risk outlook. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts point out that the revised US$2.75 target still reflects some confidence that the current valuation already prices in a tough recent period for health tech.
Narrative Update Jan 10

HCAT: Cautious Sector Reset Will Still Support Future Revenue Visibility

Analysts have reduced their price target on Health Catalyst to $2.75 from $3.25, reflecting more cautious assumptions on revenue growth and margins, while maintaining a neutral stance on the stock. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts are framing the lower US$2.75 price target as a recalibration rather than a shift in overall stance, with the neutral rating indicating that they see the current share price as broadly in line with their updated expectations.
Narrative Update Dec 26

HCAT: Rising Discount Rate Will Still Support Strong Future Revenue Visibility

Analysts have reduced their price target on Health Catalyst by approximately $1.00 per share. This change reflects updated assumptions for a higher discount rate, slower revenue growth, and more muted profit margin and valuation expectations.
Narrative Update Dec 11

HCAT: Stable Margins And Revenue Outlook Will Support Future Upside Potential

Narrative Update on Health Catalyst Analyst Price Target Analysts have modestly raised their price target on Health Catalyst by approximately 4 percent to around 3.94 dollars. This reflects slight adjustments to the discount rate and future earnings expectations, while views on revenue growth and profit margins remain largely unchanged.
Narrative Update Nov 27

HCAT: Customer Partnerships Will Support Performance Despite Revised 2025 Revenue Outlook

Analysts have modestly lowered their price target for Health Catalyst. This adjustment is due to a slightly reduced profit margin outlook and a more conservative future price-to-earnings ratio, reflecting updated expectations for the company’s financial performance.
Narrative Update Nov 13

HCAT: Ongoing Customer Relationships Will Drive Performance Amid Lower Revenue Guidance

Analysts have lowered their price target for Health Catalyst from $8 to $4. They cite recent reductions in revenue guidance, as well as expectations for lower growth and profitability.
Analysis Article Oct 28

Improved Revenues Required Before Health Catalyst, Inc. (NASDAQ:HCAT) Shares Find Their Feet

You may think that with a price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.8x Health Catalyst, Inc. ( NASDAQ:HCAT ) is definitely a...
Narrative Update Aug 30

Modular AI Solutions Will Transform Value-Based Healthcare

Health Catalyst's price target has been cut as analysts cite persistent operating headwinds, declining revenue outlook, customer churn, market structural challenges, and heightened uncertainty from a CEO transition, resulting in a downward revision of fair value from $5.33 to $4.56. Analyst Commentary Weak first-half 2025 bookings and a reduction in revenue guidance, implicating lower net revenue retention and increased customer churn.
Analysis Article Aug 13

Health Catalyst, Inc. (NASDAQ:HCAT) Just Reported Earnings, And Analysts Cut Their Target Price

NasdaqGS:HCAT 1 Year Share Price vs Fair Value Explore Health Catalyst's Fair Values from the Community and select...
Narrative Update Aug 10

Modular AI Solutions Will Transform Value-Based Healthcare

Health Catalyst’s consensus price target has been reduced to $5.78, primarily reflecting a deterioration in net profit margin despite a lower discount rate. What's in the News CEO Dan Burton will step down effective June 2026, transitioning from his full-time role while continuing to assist the Board and serve as a director.
Analysis Article Aug 04

Is Health Catalyst (NASDAQ:HCAT) Using Too Much Debt?

Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of...
Seeking Alpha Jun 10

Health Catalyst: Ignite Platform Is A Growth Catalyst

Summary I rate Health Catalyst a buy, driven by strong turnaround momentum and the transformative Ignite platform fueling faster growth and higher margins. Ignite's modular, lower-cost structure accelerates sales cycles, improves gross margins, and opens significant upsell opportunities within HCAT’s large existing customer base. Recent financials show accelerating revenue growth and strong client additions, supporting management’s FY25 guidance and signaling a potential inflection point for the business. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Analysis Article May 09

Health Catalyst, Inc. (NASDAQ:HCAT) Just Released Its First-Quarter Results And Analysts Are Updating Their Estimates

It's been a good week for Health Catalyst, Inc. ( NASDAQ:HCAT ) shareholders, because the company has just released its...
User avatar
New Narrative Mar 30

Ignite Transition And Recent Acquisitions Will Expand Global Footprint

Cross-selling through the Ignite platform is projected to boost client additions and accelerate revenue growth.
Seeking Alpha Mar 25

Health Catalyst: Share Price Continues To Dismiss Positive Earnings And Improved Outlook

Summary Despite a 50% drop in HCAT's stock price, the company shows significant growth, reporting $307M in revenue and $26M in adjusted EBITDA for 2024. Health Catalyst focuses on efficiency, exiting lower-margin segments, and pushing AI-driven efficiencies, aiming for improved margins and profitability in 2025. The company forecasts strong growth with 40 new platform clients in 2025 and expects $335M in revenue, trading at a significant discount compared to industry peers. Risks include potential revenue stall, macroeconomic challenges, and stock price volatility, but I remain cautiously optimistic, looking for a breakout to add to my position. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Analysis Article Mar 08

Take Care Before Jumping Onto Health Catalyst, Inc. (NASDAQ:HCAT) Even Though It's 27% Cheaper

To the annoyance of some shareholders, Health Catalyst, Inc. ( NASDAQ:HCAT ) shares are down a considerable 27% in the...
Analysis Article Feb 27

Health Catalyst (NASDAQ:HCAT) Has Debt But No Earnings; Should You Worry?

The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says...
Analysis Article Jan 15

It's A Story Of Risk Vs Reward With Health Catalyst, Inc. (NASDAQ:HCAT)

Health Catalyst, Inc.'s ( NASDAQ:HCAT ) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 1.2x might make it look like a buy right now...
Seeking Alpha Dec 18

Health Catalyst: Improved Demand Environment Reinforces My Buy Rating

Summary Despite positive demand and fundamentals, I believe the market undervalues HCAT's growth potential. Gross margin contraction is due to temporary headwinds, which should ease, leading to strong margin expansion. Risks include potential delays in growth acceleration and macroeconomic uncertainties. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha Sep 24

Health Catalyst: Still Optimistic On Achieving Adjusted EBITDA Targets

Summary I recommend a buy rating for Health Catalyst stock. HCAT's Ignite platform is gaining traction, offering modular solutions that enhance adoption, cross-sell opportunities, and expand the total addressable market. Despite potential short-term ARPU concerns, Ignite's higher margins and ongoing migration will drive long-term profitability and significant upside by FY28. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

NasdaqGS:HCAT - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (USD Millions)
DateRevenueEarningsFree Cash FlowCash from OpAvg. No. Analysts
12/31/2028247-58N/AN/A2
12/31/2027244-57N/AN/A8
12/31/2026263-155N/AN/A8
3/31/2026302-265-319N/A
12/31/2025311-178-211N/A
9/30/2025316-108-33-13N/A
6/30/2025316-100-26-6N/A
3/31/2025311-73-145N/A
12/31/2024307-70-215N/A
9/30/2024302-79-16-1N/A
6/30/2024299-86-17-4N/A
3/31/2024297-106-31-17N/A
12/31/2023296-118-47-33N/A
9/30/2023290-124-44-29N/A
6/30/2023285-147-61-44N/A
3/31/2023282-148-59-42N/A
12/31/2022276-137-53-35N/A
9/30/2022272-151-47-30N/A
6/30/2022265-145-40-24N/A
3/31/2022254-147-34-19N/A
12/31/2021242-153-42-23N/A
9/30/2021230-147-39-17N/A
6/30/2021216-135-36-17N/A
3/31/2021200-126-29-13N/A
12/31/2020189-115-37-26N/A
9/30/2020179-86-39-35N/A
6/30/2020171-99-41-36N/A
3/31/2020165-181-48-44N/A
12/31/2019155-241N/A-32N/A
9/30/2019148-304N/A-32N/A
6/30/2019141-282N/A-33N/A
3/31/2019127-190N/A-38N/A
12/31/2018113-114N/A-40N/A
12/31/201773-59N/A-37N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: HCAT is forecast to remain unprofitable over the next 3 years.

Earnings vs Market: HCAT is forecast to remain unprofitable over the next 3 years.

High Growth Earnings: HCAT is forecast to remain unprofitable over the next 3 years.

Revenue vs Market: HCAT's revenue is expected to decline over the next 3 years (-9.6% per year).

High Growth Revenue: HCAT's revenue is forecast to decline over the next 3 years (-9.6% per year).


Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts


Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: HCAT's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (5.1%).


Discover growth companies

Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/06/10 17:23
End of Day Share Price 2026/06/10 00:00
Earnings2026/03/31
Annual Earnings2025/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Health Catalyst, Inc. is covered by 18 analysts. 8 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Zhilin LongBerenberg
David LarsenBTIG
Richard CloseCanaccord Genuity