Even though Axonics (NASDAQ:AXNX) has lost US$239m market cap in last 7 days, shareholders are still up 125% over 3 years

By
Simply Wall St
Published
March 15, 2022
NasdaqGS:AXNX
Source: Shutterstock

The most you can lose on any stock (assuming you don't use leverage) is 100% of your money. But if you buy shares in a really great company, you can more than double your money. For example, the Axonics, Inc. (NASDAQ:AXNX) share price has soared 125% in the last three years. That sort of return is as solid as granite. Unfortunately, though, the stock has dropped 9.4% over a week. But note that the broader market is down 1.2% since last week, and this may have impacted Axonics' share price.

In light of the stock dropping 9.4% in the past week, we want to investigate the longer term story, and see if fundamentals have been the driver of the company's positive three-year return.

See our latest analysis for Axonics

Because Axonics made a loss in the last twelve months, we think the market is probably more focussed on revenue and revenue growth, at least for now. When a company doesn't make profits, we'd generally expect to see good revenue growth. That's because it's hard to be confident a company will be sustainable if revenue growth is negligible, and it never makes a profit.

Axonics' revenue trended up 94% each year over three years. That's much better than most loss-making companies. Along the way, the share price gained 31% per year, a solid pop by our standards. This suggests the market has recognized the progress the business has made, at least to a significant degree. Nonetheless, we'd say Axonics is still worth investigating - successful businesses can often keep growing for long periods.

The company's revenue and earnings (over time) are depicted in the image below (click to see the exact numbers).

earnings-and-revenue-growth
NasdaqGS:AXNX Earnings and Revenue Growth March 15th 2022

We're pleased to report that the CEO is remunerated more modestly than most CEOs at similarly capitalized companies. But while CEO remuneration is always worth checking, the really important question is whether the company can grow earnings going forward. You can see what analysts are predicting for Axonics in this interactive graph of future profit estimates.

A Different Perspective

Axonics shareholders are down 15% for the year, falling short of the market return. Meanwhile, the broader market slid about 3.8%, likely weighing on the stock. Fortunately the longer term story is brighter, with total returns averaging about 31% per year over three years. Sometimes when a good quality long term winner has a weak period, it's turns out to be an opportunity, but you really need to be sure that the quality is there. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. Case in point: We've spotted 3 warning signs for Axonics you should be aware of.

For those who like to find winning investments this free list of growing companies with recent insider purchasing, could be just the ticket.

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on US exchanges.

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