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Axonics, Inc.NasdaqGS:AXNX Stock Report

Market Cap US$3.6b
Share Price
n/a
1Y24.5%
7D0.8%
1D0.8%
Portfolio Value
​
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Axonics, Inc.

NasdaqGS:AXNX Stock Report

Market Cap: US$3.6b

This company has been acquired

The company may no longer be operating, as it has been acquired. Find out why through their latest events.

Axonics (AXNX) Stock Overview

A medical technology company, engages in the development and commercialization of novel products for the treatment of bladder and bowel dysfunction. More details

AXNX fundamental analysis
Snowflake Score
Valuation2/6
Future Growth4/6
Past Performance0/6
Financial Health6/6
Dividends0/6

Rewards

Trading at 67.3% below our estimate of its fair value

Earnings are forecast to grow 55.07% per year

Earnings have grown 28.1% per year over the past 5 years

Risk Analysis

No risks detected for AXNX from our risk checks.

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Axonics, Inc. Competitors

Price History & Performance

Summary of share price highs, lows and changes for Axonics
Historical stock prices
Current Share PriceUS$70.98
52 Week HighUS$71.05
52 Week LowUS$55.09
Beta0.83
1 Month Change1.00%
3 Month Change3.12%
1 Year Change24.48%
3 Year Change18.12%
5 Year Change220.89%
Change since IPO373.83%

Recent News & Updates

Seeking Alpha • Nov 05

Axonics' Market Growth Strengthens Boston Scientific's Future

Summary Boston Scientific Corporation plans to acquire Axonics, Inc. for $3.7 billion in cash to expand its urology offerings with Axonics' innovative urinary and bowel disorder treatments. Axonics, founded in 2013, is renowned for developing less invasive treatments for bladder and bowel issues, including a neurostimulator with a 20-year battery life. Boston Scientific, a major player in medical technology since 1979, will enhance its sacral neuromodulation capabilities through this acquisition. The acquisition positions Boston Scientific to better support individuals with chronic bladder and bowel conditions, strengthening its market presence in this growing field. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha

Recent updates

Seeking Alpha • Nov 05

Axonics' Market Growth Strengthens Boston Scientific's Future

Summary Boston Scientific Corporation plans to acquire Axonics, Inc. for $3.7 billion in cash to expand its urology offerings with Axonics' innovative urinary and bowel disorder treatments. Axonics, founded in 2013, is renowned for developing less invasive treatments for bladder and bowel issues, including a neurostimulator with a 20-year battery life. Boston Scientific, a major player in medical technology since 1979, will enhance its sacral neuromodulation capabilities through this acquisition. The acquisition positions Boston Scientific to better support individuals with chronic bladder and bowel conditions, strengthening its market presence in this growing field. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Analysis Article • Jul 14

A Look At The Fair Value Of Axonics, Inc. (NASDAQ:AXNX)

Key Insights Axonics' estimated fair value is US$55.68 based on 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity Current share price of...
Analysis Article • Jun 20

Axonics, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:AXNX) Earnings Haven't Escaped The Attention Of Investors

Axonics, Inc.'s ( NASDAQ:AXNX ) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 8.8x might make it look like a strong sell right now...
Analysis Article • Mar 27

Is Axonics, Inc. (NASDAQ:AXNX) Trading At A 21% Discount?

Key Insights Using the 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity, Axonics fair value estimate is US$70.50 Current share price of...
Analysis Article • Feb 28

Here's Why We're Not At All Concerned With Axonics' (NASDAQ:AXNX) Cash Burn Situation

Even when a business is losing money, it's possible for shareholders to make money if they buy a good business at the...
Analysis Article • Nov 28

Is Axonics, Inc. (NASDAQ:AXNX) Trading At A 32% Discount?

Does the November share price for Axonics, Inc. ( NASDAQ:AXNX ) reflect what it's really worth? Today, we will estimate...
Seeking Alpha • Oct 10

Axonics stock falls 5.6% after Needham downgrades rating

Axonics (NASDAQ:AXNX) is trading 5.6% lower after Needham downgraded rating to hold from buy. The analyst Mike Matson sees a less favorable risk/reward profile after Needham's urologist survey suggested the company may have difficulty driving upside to consensus 2023 revenue estimates. Matson says Axonics F15 product cycle is now largely reflected in the shares, and no additional major product cycles are expected in the next 12-18 months. He believes the stock now appears to be fairly valued. AXNX is up 7.5% in the last 12 months.
Seeking Alpha • Sep 07

Axonics Stock Is A Buy Amid Current Capex Cycle

Summary Axonics looks well-positioned to continue its recent upside on the chart, with a number of idiosyncratic tailwinds yet to be recognized. The recent equity underwriting of $35mm is noted, although this is hardly a risk given intended use for capital initiatives. Shares are trading at a premium relative to peers within the sector, however, valuations are more appealing on a composite of measures. On the culmination of these factors, we rate AXNX a buy. Investment summary Considering the systematic drivers of equity returns are well at play (namely, macroeconomic drivers, rates, industry factors, and growth factors) in markets right now, we argue to seek out exposure to idiosyncratic risk premia in order to derive risk-adjusted alpha. With this front of mind, we rate Axonics, Inc. (AXNX) a speculative buy following Q2 results and additional market factors discussed below. The company's niche operating segment continues to offer a defensible growth play albeit with little correlation to equity markets, attractive features in the current investment landscape. In addition to these points, shares are trading at multiples above the peer median; however, this is balanced when factoring in a number of inputs into the valuation debate. With this, and recent momentum on the chart in mind, we rate AXNX a buy. Exhibit 1. AXNX 6-month price action Data: Refinitiv Eikon How current market factors impact AXNX The high-beta trade has unwound itself in FY22, and investors must now find selective opportunities with asymmetrical pricing within risk assets. Factor rotations have also been of high magnitude this year as well. Continuing its return to grace, value caught a strong bid from the June bounce, as seen in Exhibit 2. Investors have nibbled at compressed multiples in June-August as yields stabilized and a slight tightening of inflation. Value also continues to attract strategic positioning as managers seek to wind back equity duration and beta. Meanwhile, growth as caught a bid since this time as well, particularly in late August. This has direct implications to the outlook of the AXNX share price. With cash flows priced out into the future, we need investors to be net buyers of growth - and pay a premium at that to capture market-derived alpha when looking ahead. Exhibit 2. Both growth and value have caught a bid since the June bounce, highlighting some return in confidence to equities Data: Updata Meanwhile, whist yields have rolled over in recent months, alongside stock/bond correlations, a recent spike in the VIX and the long-end suggests stocks may not be out of the water, and raises questions on the validity of the relief rally outlined above. Exhibit 3. Whilst stock/bond correlations and yields have rolled over in recent months, recent spikes in volatility in stocks and steepness at the long-end suggest we aren't out of the woods at all Data: Updata Q2 earnings conducive of growth play AXNX generated total revenue of $69 million ("mm") last quarter, a 50% YoY growth schedule. Upside was driven by sacral neuromodulation ("SNM") revenue of $55.8mm, a 39% YoY gain. Nearly 100% of turnover was generated in the US, mitigating FOREX headwinds (although, the company did recognize a $12mm non-cash forex adjustment in its comprehensive loss). Q2 SNM sales were propped by the launch of the recharge-free Axonics F15 system. Meanwhile, Bulkamid sales came in at ~$13mm with ~$3mm in ex-US revenue, as the speed of new accounts and volume from existing accounts both saw upticks. We estimate the Bulkamid transaction (completed February FY21) to be accretive to ~$0.18 (18% margin) in EPS during the quarter. From the increase in revenue volume, gross margin increased by ~10 percentage points YoY to 72.8%. Moving down the P&L, it bought this down to an operating loss of ~$21.4mm, as operating expense came in 60% higher YoY. Net loss narrowed to ~$21mm, with a $12mm expense for foreign currency translation adjustments, bringing the comprehensive loss to $34mm. The strong quarter sees management lift FY22 guidance to 40% in revenue growth, calling for $253mm at the topline (previously $238mm). It anticipates SNM revenue of ~$205mm and Bulkamid to contribute $48mm, a 111% YoY gain. With respect to CMS outpatient facility rates, for 2023, the relevant sacral neuromodulation codes proposed an increase of 5-7%, whereas the Bulkamid code an increase of ~4%. In terms of catalysts to move the needle, we estimate there is substantial premium yet to be priced in by the market with regards to the company's 4th generation neurostimulator. AXNX submitted its PMA supplement to the FDA back in May on this. Key changes to the current model are around recharging, in that, the new model will only need recharging every 6 months for 1 hour, down from once a month. It expects this to be approved by year's end. AXNX valuation and conclusion Shares are currently trading at 14x TTM sales, well ahead of the GICS Health Care sector peer median of 4.45x. In addition, AXNX looks to be richly priced at 7.3x book value, again far in front of the peer's 2.16x multiple. However, the market has AXNX priced at ~13.3x forward sales, which, we believe, suggests the investors are pricing in an above-sector result for the company at the topline for the coming 12 months. We estimate FY23 sales of $317mm for the company, and at 13x this estimate sets a price target of $84, roughly 18% return potential from the current market price.
Seeking Alpha • Aug 03

Axonics prices stock offering of 1.75M shares

Axonics (NASDAQ:AXNX) priced its earlier announced underwritten public offering of 1.75M shares. Underwriters granted 30-day option to purchase up to 262.5K additional shares. Offer is expected to close on Aug.5, 2022. Net proceeds to be used working capital and general corporate purposes, including a potential $35M milestone payment in connection with its earlier announced and completed acquisition of Contura. Shares trading 3.1% down premarket.
Analysis Article • Aug 02

Companies Like Axonics (NASDAQ:AXNX) Can Afford To Invest In Growth

Just because a business does not make any money, does not mean that the stock will go down. For example, although...
Seeking Alpha • May 30

Axonics: A Strong Medical Device Play With Significant Revenue Growth Opportunities

Axonics is a high-growth medical device play with strong revenue growth drivers. The company’s rechargeable SNM system generates the vast majority of its sales. Long-term investors can buy the company’s shares during pullbacks to maximize their gain.
Analysis Article • Apr 19

Axonics (NASDAQ:AXNX) Is In A Strong Position To Grow Its Business

We can readily understand why investors are attracted to unprofitable companies. For example, biotech and mining...

Shareholder Returns

AXNXUS Medical EquipmentUS Market
7D0.8%-1.3%0.8%
1Y24.5%-18.6%20.6%

Return vs Industry: AXNX matched the US Medical Equipment industry which returned 25.2% over the past year.

Return vs Market: AXNX underperformed the US Market which returned 33.1% over the past year.

Price Volatility

Is AXNX's price volatile compared to industry and market?
AXNX volatility
AXNX Average Weekly Movement0.5%
Medical Equipment Industry Average Movement8.5%
Market Average Movement7.3%
10% most volatile stocks in US Market16.6%
10% least volatile stocks in US Market3.2%

Stable Share Price: AXNX has not had significant price volatility in the past 3 months compared to the US market.

Volatility Over Time: AXNX's weekly volatility (1%) has been stable over the past year.

About the Company

FoundedEmployeesCEOWebsite
2012797Ray Cohenwww.axonics.com

Axonics, Inc., a medical technology company, engages in the development and commercialization of novel products for the treatment of bladder and bowel dysfunction. Its sacral neuromodulation (SNM) systems are used to treat patients with overactive bladder (OAB), including urinary urge incontinence and urinary urgency frequency, as well as fecal incontinence (FI) and non-obstructive urinary retention (UR); and rechargeable (R20) and recharge-free (F15) implantable SNM systems that delivers mild electrical pulses to the targeted sacral nerve to restore normal communication to and from the brain to reduce the symptoms of OAB, UR, and FI. The company also offers Bulkamid, a urethral bulking agent to treat female stress urinary incontinence.

Axonics, Inc. Fundamentals Summary

How do Axonics's earnings and revenue compare to its market cap?
AXNX fundamental statistics
Market capUS$3.60b
Earnings (TTM)-US$5.66m
Revenue (TTM)US$431.90m
8.4x
P/S Ratio
-640.9x
P/E Ratio

Is AXNX overvalued?

See Fair Value and valuation analysis

Earnings & Revenue

Key profitability statistics from the latest earnings report (TTM)
AXNX income statement (TTM)
RevenueUS$431.90m
Cost of RevenueUS$101.10m
Gross ProfitUS$330.81m
Other ExpensesUS$336.47m
Earnings-US$5.66m

Last Reported Earnings

Sep 30, 2024

Next Earnings Date

n/a

Earnings per share (EPS)-0.11
Gross Margin76.59%
Net Profit Margin-1.31%
Debt/Equity Ratio0%

How did AXNX perform over the long term?

See historical performance and comparison

Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/11/14 07:12
End of Day Share Price 2024/11/14 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Axonics, Inc. is covered by 7 analysts. 10 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Travis SteedBarclays
Travis SteedBofA Global Research
Christopher PasqualeGuggenheim Securities, LLC