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Axonics Valuation

Is AXNX undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of AXNX when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: AXNX ($70.98) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($217.22)

Significantly Below Fair Value: AXNX is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for AXNX?

Key metric: As AXNX is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for AXNX. This is calculated by dividing AXNX's market cap by their current revenue.
What is AXNX's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio8.4x
SalesUS$431.90m
Market CapUS$3.60b

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does AXNX's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for AXNX vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average5.2x
NARI Inari Medical
5.7x15.0%US$3.2b
INSP Inspire Medical Systems
7.4x16.1%US$5.6b
IRTC iRhythm Technologies
5.1x15.2%US$2.7b
ITGR Integer Holdings
2.6x6.2%US$4.5b
AXNX Axonics
8.4x16.5%US$3.6b

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: AXNX is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (8.4x) compared to the peer average (4.8x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does AXNX's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Medical Equipment Industry?

49 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
INGN Inogen
0.6x4.4%US$197.93m
ARAY Accuray
0.4x5.5%US$180.01m
NVRO Nevro
0.3x2.8%US$134.52m
RMTI Rockwell Medical
0.7x-7.3%US$66.25m
AXNX 8.4xIndustry Avg. 3.2xNo. of Companies49PS02.85.68.411.214+
49 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: AXNX is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (8.4x) compared to the US Medical Equipment industry average (3.4x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is AXNX's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

AXNX PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio8.4x
Fair PS Ratio6.6x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: AXNX is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (8.4x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (6.6x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst AXNX forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Currentn/a
US$71.50
0%
1.9%US$75.00US$71.00n/a8
Dec ’25n/a
US$71.50
0%
1.9%US$75.00US$71.00n/a8
Nov ’25US$70.37
US$71.50
+1.6%
1.9%US$75.00US$71.00n/a8
Oct ’25US$69.41
US$71.50
+3.0%
1.9%US$75.00US$71.00n/a8
Sep ’25US$69.17
US$71.50
+3.4%
1.9%US$75.00US$71.00n/a8
Aug ’25US$68.44
US$71.89
+5.0%
2.3%US$75.00US$71.00n/a9
Jul ’25US$67.30
US$71.80
+6.7%
2.2%US$75.00US$71.00n/a10
Jun ’25US$67.09
US$71.80
+7.0%
2.2%US$75.00US$71.00n/a10
May ’25US$66.87
US$71.80
+7.4%
2.2%US$75.00US$71.00n/a10
Apr ’25US$69.21
US$71.80
+3.7%
2.2%US$75.00US$71.00n/a10
Mar ’25US$67.73
US$71.80
+6.0%
2.2%US$75.00US$71.00n/a10
Feb ’25US$67.70
US$71.80
+6.1%
2.2%US$75.00US$71.00n/a10
Jan ’25US$62.23
US$70.15
+12.7%
8.8%US$79.00US$55.00n/a13
Dec ’24US$57.50
US$68.85
+19.7%
8.2%US$75.00US$55.00n/a13
Nov ’24US$51.77
US$68.85
+33.0%
8.2%US$75.00US$55.00US$70.3713
Oct ’24US$56.12
US$74.83
+33.3%
7.3%US$84.00US$60.00US$69.4112
Sep ’24US$58.00
US$74.54
+28.5%
7.2%US$84.00US$60.00US$69.1713
Aug ’24US$61.75
US$74.54
+20.7%
7.2%US$84.00US$60.00US$68.4413
Jul ’24US$50.47
US$76.64
+51.8%
11.2%US$90.00US$55.00US$67.3011
Jun ’24US$49.31
US$76.64
+55.4%
11.2%US$90.00US$55.00US$67.0911
May ’24US$58.65
US$78.90
+34.5%
10.0%US$90.00US$65.00US$66.8710
Apr ’24US$54.56
US$80.33
+47.2%
9.9%US$90.00US$65.00US$69.219
Mar ’24US$60.87
US$81.50
+33.9%
9.4%US$90.00US$65.00US$67.738
Feb ’24US$61.07
US$81.50
+33.5%
9.4%US$90.00US$65.00US$67.708
Jan ’24US$62.53
US$84.75
+35.5%
6.4%US$92.00US$75.00US$62.238
Dec ’23US$70.87
US$85.75
+21.0%
6.5%US$92.00US$75.00US$57.508

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/11/14 12:44
End of Day Share Price 2024/11/14 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Axonics, Inc. is covered by 9 analysts. 10 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Travis SteedBarclays
Travis SteedBofA Global Research
Christopher PasqualeGuggenheim Securities, LLC