You may think that with a price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 4.5x Axogen, Inc. (NASDAQ:AXGN) is a stock to potentially avoid, seeing as almost half of all the Medical Equipment companies in the United States have P/S ratios under 3.1x and even P/S lower than 1.1x aren't out of the ordinary. However, the P/S might be high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
View our latest analysis for Axogen
What Does Axogen's Recent Performance Look Like?
Recent times have been advantageous for Axogen as its revenues have been rising faster than most other companies. The P/S is probably high because investors think this strong revenue performance will continue. If not, then existing shareholders might be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.
If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Axogen.Is There Enough Revenue Growth Forecasted For Axogen?
Axogen's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver solid growth, and importantly, perform better than the industry.
If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 18%. Pleasingly, revenue has also lifted 47% in aggregate from three years ago, thanks to the last 12 months of growth. Accordingly, shareholders would have definitely welcomed those medium-term rates of revenue growth.
Shifting to the future, estimates from the seven analysts covering the company suggest revenue should grow by 17% per year over the next three years. Meanwhile, the rest of the industry is forecast to only expand by 9.1% per annum, which is noticeably less attractive.
With this in mind, it's not hard to understand why Axogen's P/S is high relative to its industry peers. Apparently shareholders aren't keen to offload something that is potentially eyeing a more prosperous future.
The Final Word
Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.
Our look into Axogen shows that its P/S ratio remains high on the merit of its strong future revenues. Right now shareholders are comfortable with the P/S as they are quite confident future revenues aren't under threat. It's hard to see the share price falling strongly in the near future under these circumstances.
Many other vital risk factors can be found on the company's balance sheet. Our free balance sheet analysis for Axogen with six simple checks will allow you to discover any risks that could be an issue.
If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.
Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.