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Some Investors May Be Worried About Aveanna Healthcare Holdings' (NASDAQ:AVAH) Returns On Capital
When researching a stock for investment, what can tell us that the company is in decline? Typically, we'll see the trend of both return on capital employed (ROCE) declining and this usually coincides with a decreasing amount of capital employed. This reveals that the company isn't compounding shareholder wealth because returns are falling and its net asset base is shrinking. On that note, looking into Aveanna Healthcare Holdings (NASDAQ:AVAH), we weren't too upbeat about how things were going.
What Is Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)?
For those that aren't sure what ROCE is, it measures the amount of pre-tax profits a company can generate from the capital employed in its business. Analysts use this formula to calculate it for Aveanna Healthcare Holdings:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.044 = US$71m ÷ (US$2.0b - US$352m) (Based on the trailing twelve months to October 2022).
Therefore, Aveanna Healthcare Holdings has an ROCE of 4.4%. In absolute terms, that's a low return and it also under-performs the Healthcare industry average of 9.5%.
See our latest analysis for Aveanna Healthcare Holdings
Above you can see how the current ROCE for Aveanna Healthcare Holdings compares to its prior returns on capital, but there's only so much you can tell from the past. If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report for Aveanna Healthcare Holdings.
The Trend Of ROCE
We are a bit worried about the trend of returns on capital at Aveanna Healthcare Holdings. To be more specific, the ROCE was 5.8% three years ago, but since then it has dropped noticeably. And on the capital employed front, the business is utilizing roughly the same amount of capital as it was back then. Since returns are falling and the business has the same amount of assets employed, this can suggest it's a mature business that hasn't had much growth in the last three years. So because these trends aren't typically conducive to creating a multi-bagger, we wouldn't hold our breath on Aveanna Healthcare Holdings becoming one if things continue as they have.
The Bottom Line
All in all, the lower returns from the same amount of capital employed aren't exactly signs of a compounding machine. It should come as no surprise then that the stock has fallen 69% over the last year, so it looks like investors are recognizing these changes. That being the case, unless the underlying trends revert to a more positive trajectory, we'd consider looking elsewhere.
One more thing, we've spotted 2 warning signs facing Aveanna Healthcare Holdings that you might find interesting.
If you want to search for solid companies with great earnings, check out this free list of companies with good balance sheets and impressive returns on equity.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About NasdaqGS:AVAH
Aveanna Healthcare Holdings
A diversified home care platform company, provides pediatric and adult healthcare services in the United States.
Fair value with moderate growth potential.