Stock Analysis

Is Addus HomeCare (NASDAQ:ADUS) A Risky Investment?

NasdaqGS:ADUS
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The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. Importantly, Addus HomeCare Corporation (NASDAQ:ADUS) does carry debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

View our latest analysis for Addus HomeCare

What Is Addus HomeCare's Net Debt?

The chart below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Addus HomeCare had US$163.9m in debt in September 2023; about the same as the year before. However, because it has a cash reserve of US$79.8m, its net debt is less, at about US$84.2m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NasdaqGS:ADUS Debt to Equity History January 15th 2024

A Look At Addus HomeCare's Liabilities

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Addus HomeCare had liabilities of US$139.6m due within 12 months and liabilities of US$211.8m due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of US$79.8m as well as receivables valued at US$121.1m due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by US$150.5m.

Given Addus HomeCare has a market capitalization of US$1.39b, it's hard to believe these liabilities pose much threat. But there are sufficient liabilities that we would certainly recommend shareholders continue to monitor the balance sheet, going forward.

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

With net debt sitting at just 0.82 times EBITDA, Addus HomeCare is arguably pretty conservatively geared. And it boasts interest cover of 9.2 times, which is more than adequate. Another good sign is that Addus HomeCare has been able to increase its EBIT by 20% in twelve months, making it easier to pay down debt. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Addus HomeCare can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. Happily for any shareholders, Addus HomeCare actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT over the last three years. There's nothing better than incoming cash when it comes to staying in your lenders' good graces.

Our View

The good news is that Addus HomeCare's demonstrated ability to convert EBIT to free cash flow delights us like a fluffy puppy does a toddler. And that's just the beginning of the good news since its EBIT growth rate is also very heartening. It's also worth noting that Addus HomeCare is in the Healthcare industry, which is often considered to be quite defensive. Overall, we don't think Addus HomeCare is taking any bad risks, as its debt load seems modest. So we're not worried about the use of a little leverage on the balance sheet. We'd be very excited to see if Addus HomeCare insiders have been snapping up shares. If you are too, then click on this link right now to take a (free) peek at our list of reported insider transactions.

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.