Stock Analysis

Acadia Healthcare Company, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:ACHC) Shareholders Might Be Looking For Exit

NasdaqGS:ACHC
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When close to half the companies in the Healthcare industry in the United States have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 1.1x, you may consider Acadia Healthcare Company, Inc. (NASDAQ:ACHC) as a stock to potentially avoid with its 2x P/S ratio. However, the P/S might be high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

View our latest analysis for Acadia Healthcare Company

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NasdaqGS:ACHC Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry May 24th 2024

How Has Acadia Healthcare Company Performed Recently?

Recent revenue growth for Acadia Healthcare Company has been in line with the industry. Perhaps the market is expecting future revenue performance to improve, justifying the currently elevated P/S. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.

Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Acadia Healthcare Company will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

How Is Acadia Healthcare Company's Revenue Growth Trending?

Acadia Healthcare Company's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver solid growth, and importantly, perform better than the industry.

If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a worthy increase of 11%. This was backed up an excellent period prior to see revenue up by 40% in total over the last three years. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a great job of growing revenues over that time.

Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 9.3% per year as estimated by the eleven analysts watching the company. That's shaping up to be similar to the 7.3% per year growth forecast for the broader industry.

With this in consideration, we find it intriguing that Acadia Healthcare Company's P/S is higher than its industry peers. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly average growth expectations and are willing to pay up for exposure to the stock. Although, additional gains will be difficult to achieve as this level of revenue growth is likely to weigh down the share price eventually.

The Key Takeaway

It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

Given Acadia Healthcare Company's future revenue forecasts are in line with the wider industry, the fact that it trades at an elevated P/S is somewhat surprising. The fact that the revenue figures aren't setting the world alight has us doubtful that the company's elevated P/S can be sustainable for the long term. Unless the company can jump ahead of the rest of the industry in the short-term, it'll be a challenge to maintain the share price at current levels.

You should always think about risks. Case in point, we've spotted 2 warning signs for Acadia Healthcare Company you should be aware of, and 1 of them shouldn't be ignored.

If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Acadia Healthcare Company, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Acadia Healthcare Company is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.