Stock Analysis

Is Tyson Foods (NYSE:TSN) Using Too Much Debt?

NYSE:TSN
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Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. We note that Tyson Foods, Inc. (NYSE:TSN) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

See our latest analysis for Tyson Foods

What Is Tyson Foods's Debt?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at July 2023 Tyson Foods had debt of US$9.32b, up from US$8.33b in one year. However, because it has a cash reserve of US$706.0m, its net debt is less, at about US$8.61b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NYSE:TSN Debt to Equity History November 6th 2023

How Strong Is Tyson Foods' Balance Sheet?

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Tyson Foods had liabilities of US$4.95b falling due within a year, and liabilities of US$12.9b due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of US$706.0m as well as receivables valued at US$2.45b due within 12 months. So its liabilities total US$14.7b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

This deficit is considerable relative to its very significant market capitalization of US$16.7b, so it does suggest shareholders should keep an eye on Tyson Foods' use of debt. This suggests shareholders would be heavily diluted if the company needed to shore up its balance sheet in a hurry.

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

Tyson Foods's debt is 3.2 times its EBITDA, and its EBIT cover its interest expense 4.7 times over. This suggests that while the debt levels are significant, we'd stop short of calling them problematic. Importantly, Tyson Foods's EBIT fell a jaw-dropping 74% in the last twelve months. If that decline continues then paying off debt will be harder than selling foie gras at a vegan convention. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Tyson Foods's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. Looking at the most recent three years, Tyson Foods recorded free cash flow of 39% of its EBIT, which is weaker than we'd expect. That's not great, when it comes to paying down debt.

Our View

We'd go so far as to say Tyson Foods's EBIT growth rate was disappointing. But at least its interest cover is not so bad. Overall, it seems to us that Tyson Foods's balance sheet is really quite a risk to the business. So we're almost as wary of this stock as a hungry kitten is about falling into its owner's fish pond: once bitten, twice shy, as they say. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example - Tyson Foods has 4 warning signs we think you should be aware of.

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.