Tyson Foods, Inc.

NYSE:TSN Stock Report

Market Cap: US$20.2b

Tyson Foods Valuation

Is TSN undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of TSN when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Discounted Cash Flow
Simply Wall St
US$151.99
Fair Value
62.8% undervalued intrinsic discount
13
Number of Analysts

Below Fair Value: TSN ($56.49) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($151.99)

Significantly Below Fair Value: TSN is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for TSN?

Key metric: As TSN is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for TSN. This is calculated by dividing TSN's market cap by their current earnings.
What is TSN's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio25.2x
EarningsUS$800.00m
Market CapUS$20.22b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does TSN's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for TSN vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average24.8x
MKC McCormick
26.3x6.4%US$20.8b
HRL Hormel Foods
20.4x7.6%US$16.7b
K Kellanova
27.3x8.5%US$28.2b
CAG Conagra Brands
25.1x16.7%US$12.5b
TSN Tyson Foods
25.2x22.4%US$20.2b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: TSN is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (25.2x) compared to the peer average (24.8x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does TSN's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Food Industry?

4 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
GCEH Global Clean Energy Holdings
0.4xn/aUS$52.69m
SEED Origin Agritech
1.7xn/aUS$13.91m
IDBH.F Industrias Bachoco. de
0.02xn/aUS$9.65m
OGAA Organic Agricultural
1.6xn/aUS$46.36k
No more companies available in this PE range
TSN 25.2xIndustry Avg. 20.3xNo. of Companies7PE01020304050+
4 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: TSN is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (25.2x) compared to the US Food industry average (20.3x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is TSN's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

TSN PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio25.2x
Fair PE Ratio26.3x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: TSN is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (25.2x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (26.3x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst TSN forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$56.49
US$65.93
+16.7%
11.7%US$80.00US$55.00n/a13
Jan ’26US$57.44
US$66.51
+15.8%
11.9%US$80.00US$55.00n/a12
Dec ’25US$64.50
US$65.57
+1.7%
10.7%US$80.00US$55.00n/a12
Nov ’25US$58.36
US$63.74
+9.2%
13.9%US$80.00US$50.00n/a12
Oct ’25US$59.76
US$64.16
+7.4%
13.8%US$80.00US$50.00n/a12
Sep ’25US$64.31
US$64.09
-0.3%
12.5%US$80.00US$51.00n/a11
Aug ’25US$60.76
US$62.45
+2.8%
12.8%US$80.00US$51.00n/a11
Jul ’25US$57.36
US$62.64
+9.2%
12.7%US$80.00US$51.00n/a11
Jun ’25US$57.25
US$63.50
+10.9%
13.3%US$83.00US$51.00n/a12
May ’25US$60.29
US$62.11
+3.0%
14.4%US$83.00US$48.00n/a13
Apr ’25US$57.85
US$60.03
+3.8%
15.7%US$83.00US$48.00n/a13
Mar ’25US$53.20
US$60.03
+12.8%
15.7%US$83.00US$48.00n/a13
Feb ’25US$56.63
US$55.69
-1.7%
18.7%US$82.00US$43.00US$56.4913
Jan ’25US$53.75
US$54.50
+1.4%
21.0%US$82.00US$43.00US$57.4412
Dec ’24US$48.20
US$57.03
+18.3%
25.0%US$82.00US$43.00US$64.5012
Nov ’24US$46.47
US$60.48
+30.2%
21.6%US$85.00US$45.00US$58.3613
Oct ’24US$50.49
US$61.02
+20.9%
20.4%US$85.00US$48.00US$59.7613
Sep ’24US$52.59
US$60.49
+15.0%
19.8%US$85.00US$48.00US$64.3112
Aug ’24US$55.32
US$61.33
+10.9%
21.3%US$85.00US$48.00US$60.7612
Jul ’24US$51.04
US$61.58
+20.6%
22.9%US$96.00US$48.00US$57.3612
Jun ’24US$50.61
US$60.91
+20.3%
22.6%US$96.00US$48.00US$57.2511
May ’24US$62.33
US$69.73
+11.9%
18.2%US$103.00US$56.00US$60.2911
Apr ’24US$59.32
US$69.91
+17.9%
20.2%US$103.00US$56.00US$57.8511
Mar ’24US$59.29
US$69.91
+17.9%
20.2%US$103.00US$56.00US$53.2011
Feb ’24US$65.13
US$77.27
+18.6%
17.8%US$106.00US$58.00US$56.6311
Analyst Price Target
Consensus Narrative from 13 Analysts
US$65.93
Fair Value
14.3% undervalued intrinsic discount
13
Number of Analysts

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2025/01/31 05:54
End of Day Share Price 2025/01/31 00:00
Earnings2024/09/28
Annual Earnings2024/09/28

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Tyson Foods, Inc. is covered by 39 analysts. 11 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
John StaszakArgus Research Company
Ishan MajumdarBaptista Research
Benjamin TheurerBarclays