McCormick & Company, Incorporated

NYSE:MKC Stock Report

Market Cap: US$21.5b

McCormick Valuation

Is MKC undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of MKC when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Discounted Cash Flow
Simply Wall St
US$120.72
Fair Value
33.6% undervalued intrinsic discount
16
Number of Analysts

Below Fair Value: MKC ($80.14) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($120.72)

Significantly Below Fair Value: MKC is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for MKC?

Key metric: As MKC is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for MKC. This is calculated by dividing MKC's market cap by their current earnings.
What is MKC's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio27.3x
EarningsUS$788.50m
Market CapUS$21.49b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does MKC's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for MKC vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average18.7x
TSN Tyson Foods
20.5x19.6%US$21.5b
HRL Hormel Foods
20.2x7.6%US$16.3b
K Kellanova
21.2x4.4%US$28.5b
GIS General Mills
12.9x-0.3%US$33.7b
MKC McCormick
27.3x6.4%US$21.5b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: MKC is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (27.3x) compared to the peer average (18.7x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does MKC's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Food Industry?

3 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
GCEH Global Clean Energy Holdings
0.3xn/aUS$41.60m
IDBH.F Industrias Bachoco. de
0.02xn/aUS$9.65m
OGAA Organic Agricultural
0.003xn/aUS$92.00
No more companies available in this PE range
MKC 27.3xIndustry Avg. 19.7xNo. of Companies8PE01224364860+
3 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: MKC is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (27.3x) compared to the US Food industry average (19.7x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is MKC's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

MKC PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio27.3x
Fair PE Ratio21x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: MKC is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (27.3x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (21x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst MKC forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$80.14
US$82.58
+3.0%
10.4%US$96.00US$67.00n/a16
Feb ’26US$77.23
US$82.58
+6.9%
10.4%US$96.00US$67.00n/a16
Jan ’26US$76.24
US$84.91
+11.4%
9.4%US$96.00US$67.00n/a16
Dec ’25US$78.41
US$84.78
+8.1%
9.4%US$96.00US$67.00n/a16
Nov ’25US$78.75
US$84.78
+7.7%
9.4%US$96.00US$67.00n/a16
Oct ’25US$84.09
US$82.07
-2.4%
11.5%US$95.00US$60.00n/a16
Sep ’25US$80.03
US$76.07
-5.0%
10.8%US$93.00US$60.00n/a16
Aug ’25US$78.06
US$75.38
-3.4%
10.0%US$93.00US$60.00n/a16
Jul ’25US$69.95
US$75.07
+7.3%
10.2%US$93.00US$60.00n/a16
Jun ’25US$72.22
US$75.20
+4.1%
10.0%US$92.00US$62.00n/a16
May ’25US$74.55
US$75.65
+1.5%
10.0%US$92.00US$62.00n/a17
Apr ’25US$76.62
US$74.41
-2.9%
10.7%US$92.00US$57.00n/a17
Mar ’25US$67.81
US$71.06
+4.8%
11.1%US$87.00US$57.00n/a17
Feb ’25US$68.69
US$71.40
+3.9%
11.4%US$87.00US$57.00US$77.2316
Jan ’25US$68.42
US$74.59
+9.0%
10.8%US$87.00US$59.00US$76.2416
Dec ’24US$65.99
US$74.89
+13.5%
11.0%US$87.00US$59.00US$78.4115
Nov ’24US$64.11
US$74.82
+16.7%
11.1%US$87.00US$59.00US$78.7515
Oct ’24US$75.64
US$85.00
+12.4%
12.7%US$100.00US$63.00US$84.0915
Sep ’24US$80.46
US$86.23
+7.2%
14.1%US$100.00US$63.00US$80.0313
Aug ’24US$88.05
US$85.57
-2.8%
13.9%US$100.00US$63.00US$78.0614
Jul ’24US$87.23
US$84.36
-3.3%
14.5%US$100.00US$63.00US$69.9514
Jun ’24US$87.58
US$77.32
-11.7%
12.4%US$97.00US$63.00US$72.2213
May ’24US$88.41
US$78.16
-11.6%
13.5%US$97.00US$63.00US$74.5513
Apr ’24US$83.21
US$77.32
-7.1%
12.4%US$97.00US$63.00US$76.6213
Mar ’24US$72.97
US$74.93
+2.7%
12.3%US$90.00US$62.00US$67.8113
Feb ’24US$75.62
US$74.69
-1.2%
12.1%US$90.00US$62.00US$68.6913
Analyst Price Target
Consensus Narrative from 16 Analysts
US$82.58
Fair Value
3.0% undervalued intrinsic discount
16
Number of Analysts

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2025/02/22 05:57
End of Day Share Price 2025/02/21 00:00
Earnings2024/11/30
Annual Earnings2024/11/30

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

McCormick & Company, Incorporated is covered by 31 analysts. 14 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
John StaszakArgus Research Company
Ishan MajumdarBaptista Research
Andrew LazarBarclays