Stock Analysis

Lamb Weston Holdings (NYSE:LW) Will Want To Turn Around Its Return Trends

NYSE:LW
Source: Shutterstock

If we want to find a stock that could multiply over the long term, what are the underlying trends we should look for? Typically, we'll want to notice a trend of growing return on capital employed (ROCE) and alongside that, an expanding base of capital employed. If you see this, it typically means it's a company with a great business model and plenty of profitable reinvestment opportunities. So when we looked at Lamb Weston Holdings (NYSE:LW), they do have a high ROCE, but we weren't exactly elated from how returns are trending.

What Is Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)?

For those who don't know, ROCE is a measure of a company's yearly pre-tax profit (its return), relative to the capital employed in the business. Analysts use this formula to calculate it for Lamb Weston Holdings:

Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)

0.21 = US$1.1b ÷ (US$7.0b - US$1.6b) (Based on the trailing twelve months to November 2023).

Therefore, Lamb Weston Holdings has an ROCE of 21%. In absolute terms that's a great return and it's even better than the Food industry average of 10%.

View our latest analysis for Lamb Weston Holdings

roce
NYSE:LW Return on Capital Employed January 24th 2024

In the above chart we have measured Lamb Weston Holdings' prior ROCE against its prior performance, but the future is arguably more important. If you'd like, you can check out the forecasts from the analysts covering Lamb Weston Holdings here for free.

The Trend Of ROCE

On the surface, the trend of ROCE at Lamb Weston Holdings doesn't inspire confidence. To be more specific, while the ROCE is still high, it's fallen from 26% where it was five years ago. Although, given both revenue and the amount of assets employed in the business have increased, it could suggest the company is investing in growth, and the extra capital has led to a short-term reduction in ROCE. If these investments prove successful, this can bode very well for long term stock performance.

In Conclusion...

While returns have fallen for Lamb Weston Holdings in recent times, we're encouraged to see that sales are growing and that the business is reinvesting in its operations. Furthermore the stock has climbed 61% over the last five years, it would appear that investors are upbeat about the future. So while the underlying trends could already be accounted for by investors, we still think this stock is worth looking into further.

One more thing: We've identified 2 warning signs with Lamb Weston Holdings (at least 1 which is significant) , and understanding these would certainly be useful.

High returns are a key ingredient to strong performance, so check out our free list ofstocks earning high returns on equity with solid balance sheets.

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Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About NYSE:LW

Lamb Weston Holdings

Engages in the production, distribution, and marketing of frozen potato products in the United States, Canada, Mexico, and internationally.

Good value with reasonable growth potential.

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