If we want to find a stock that could multiply over the long term, what are the underlying trends we should look for? Ideally, a business will show two trends; firstly a growing return on capital employed (ROCE) and secondly, an increasing amount of capital employed. If you see this, it typically means it's a company with a great business model and plenty of profitable reinvestment opportunities. However, after briefly looking over the numbers, we don't think Lamb Weston Holdings (NYSE:LW) has the makings of a multi-bagger going forward, but let's have a look at why that may be.
Understanding Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)
For those that aren't sure what ROCE is, it measures the amount of pre-tax profits a company can generate from the capital employed in its business. Analysts use this formula to calculate it for Lamb Weston Holdings:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.17 = US$972m ÷ (US$7.5b - US$1.7b) (Based on the trailing twelve months to August 2024).
Thus, Lamb Weston Holdings has an ROCE of 17%. In absolute terms, that's a satisfactory return, but compared to the Food industry average of 11% it's much better.
View our latest analysis for Lamb Weston Holdings
In the above chart we have measured Lamb Weston Holdings' prior ROCE against its prior performance, but the future is arguably more important. If you're interested, you can view the analysts predictions in our free analyst report for Lamb Weston Holdings .
What Can We Tell From Lamb Weston Holdings' ROCE Trend?
In terms of Lamb Weston Holdings' historical ROCE movements, the trend isn't fantastic. Around five years ago the returns on capital were 26%, but since then they've fallen to 17%. On the other hand, the company has been employing more capital without a corresponding improvement in sales in the last year, which could suggest these investments are longer term plays. It may take some time before the company starts to see any change in earnings from these investments.
The Bottom Line
To conclude, we've found that Lamb Weston Holdings is reinvesting in the business, but returns have been falling. Unsurprisingly, the stock has only gained 10% over the last five years, which potentially indicates that investors are accounting for this going forward. Therefore, if you're looking for a multi-bagger, we'd propose looking at other options.
If you'd like to know more about Lamb Weston Holdings, we've spotted 4 warning signs, and 1 of them is concerning.
If you want to search for solid companies with great earnings, check out this free list of companies with good balance sheets and impressive returns on equity.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About NYSE:LW
Lamb Weston Holdings
Engages in the production, distribution, and marketing of frozen potato products in the United States, Canada, Mexico, and internationally.
Undervalued slight.