Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. Importantly, Coca-Cola FEMSA, S.A.B. de C.V. (NYSE:KOF) does carry debt. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?
When Is Debt A Problem?
Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.
View our latest analysis for Coca-Cola FEMSA. de
What Is Coca-Cola FEMSA. de's Debt?
As you can see below, Coca-Cola FEMSA. de had Mex$85.8b of debt, at December 2021, which is about the same as the year before. You can click the chart for greater detail. However, because it has a cash reserve of Mex$47.2b, its net debt is less, at about Mex$38.5b.
How Healthy Is Coca-Cola FEMSA. de's Balance Sheet?
According to the last reported balance sheet, Coca-Cola FEMSA. de had liabilities of Mex$46.2b due within 12 months, and liabilities of Mex$97.8b due beyond 12 months. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of Mex$47.2b as well as receivables valued at Mex$13.0b due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by Mex$83.7b.
While this might seem like a lot, it is not so bad since Coca-Cola FEMSA. de has a huge market capitalization of Mex$226.1b, and so it could probably strengthen its balance sheet by raising capital if it needed to. But it's clear that we should definitely closely examine whether it can manage its debt without dilution.
We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).
While Coca-Cola FEMSA. de's low debt to EBITDA ratio of 1.0 suggests only modest use of debt, the fact that EBIT only covered the interest expense by 5.2 times last year does give us pause. But the interest payments are certainly sufficient to have us thinking about how affordable its debt is. We saw Coca-Cola FEMSA. de grow its EBIT by 8.0% in the last twelve months. Whilst that hardly knocks our socks off it is a positive when it comes to debt. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Coca-Cola FEMSA. de can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.
Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So we always check how much of that EBIT is translated into free cash flow. Over the last three years, Coca-Cola FEMSA. de recorded free cash flow worth a fulsome 87% of its EBIT, which is stronger than we'd usually expect. That puts it in a very strong position to pay down debt.
Our View
Happily, Coca-Cola FEMSA. de's impressive conversion of EBIT to free cash flow implies it has the upper hand on its debt. And its net debt to EBITDA is good too. Looking at all the aforementioned factors together, it strikes us that Coca-Cola FEMSA. de can handle its debt fairly comfortably. On the plus side, this leverage can boost shareholder returns, but the potential downside is more risk of loss, so it's worth monitoring the balance sheet. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For example - Coca-Cola FEMSA. de has 1 warning sign we think you should be aware of.
If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About NYSE:KOF
Coca-Cola FEMSA. de
A franchise bottler, produces, markets, sells, and distributes Coca-Cola trademark beverages in Mexico, Guatemala, Nicaragua, Costa Rica, Panama, Colombia, Brazil, Argentina, and Uruguay.
Very undervalued with excellent balance sheet and pays a dividend.
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