Stock Analysis

Conagra Brands (NYSE:CAG) Will Pay A Larger Dividend Than Last Year At $0.35

NYSE:CAG
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The board of Conagra Brands, Inc. (NYSE:CAG) has announced that it will be paying its dividend of $0.35 on the 31st of August, an increased payment from last year's comparable dividend. This will take the annual payment to 4.2% of the stock price, which is above what most companies in the industry pay.

See our latest analysis for Conagra Brands

Conagra Brands' Dividend Is Well Covered By Earnings

If the payments aren't sustainable, a high yield for a few years won't matter that much. Prior to this announcement, Conagra Brands' dividend was making up a very large proportion of earnings and perhaps more concerning was that it was 105% of cash flows. This is certainly a risk factor, as reduced cash flows could force the company to pay a lower dividend.

Over the next year, EPS is forecast to expand by 122.0%. Assuming the dividend continues along the course it has been charting recently, our estimates show the payout ratio being 43% which brings it into quite a comfortable range.

historic-dividend
NYSE:CAG Historic Dividend July 22nd 2023

Dividend Volatility

The company's dividend history has been marked by instability, with at least one cut in the last 10 years. The annual payment during the last 10 years was $1.00 in 2013, and the most recent fiscal year payment was $1.40. This means that it has been growing its distributions at 3.4% per annum over that time. The dividend has seen some fluctuations in the past, so even though the dividend was raised this year, we should remember that it has been cut in the past.

Dividend Growth May Be Hard To Come By

Given that the dividend has been cut in the past, we need to check if earnings are growing and if that might lead to stronger dividends in the future. Over the past five years, it looks as though Conagra Brands' EPS has declined at around 6.1% a year. If the company is making less over time, it naturally follows that it will also have to pay out less in dividends. However, the next year is actually looking up, with earnings set to rise. We would just wait until it becomes a pattern before getting too excited.

Conagra Brands' Dividend Doesn't Look Sustainable

In summary, while it's always good to see the dividend being raised, we don't think Conagra Brands' payments are rock solid. The track record isn't great, and the payments are a bit high to be considered sustainable. We would probably look elsewhere for an income investment.

It's important to note that companies having a consistent dividend policy will generate greater investor confidence than those having an erratic one. At the same time, there are other factors our readers should be conscious of before pouring capital into a stock. Just as an example, we've come across 3 warning signs for Conagra Brands you should be aware of, and 2 of them are concerning. If you are a dividend investor, you might also want to look at our curated list of high yield dividend stocks.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.