Stock Analysis

The Market Lifts Village Farms International, Inc. (NASDAQ:VFF) Shares 29% But It Can Do More

NasdaqCM:VFF
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Village Farms International, Inc. (NASDAQ:VFF) shareholders have had their patience rewarded with a 29% share price jump in the last month. Taking a wider view, although not as strong as the last month, the full year gain of 22% is also fairly reasonable.

Even after such a large jump in price, it's still not a stretch to say that Village Farms International's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.4x right now seems quite "middle-of-the-road" compared to the Food industry in the United States, where the median P/S ratio is around 0.8x. However, investors might be overlooking a clear opportunity or potential setback if there is no rational basis for the P/S.

Check out our latest analysis for Village Farms International

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NasdaqCM:VFF Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry March 24th 2024

How Has Village Farms International Performed Recently?

While the industry has experienced revenue growth lately, Village Farms International's revenue has gone into reverse gear, which is not great. Perhaps the market is expecting its poor revenue performance to improve, keeping the P/S from dropping. If not, then existing shareholders may be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.

Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Village Farms International will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

Is There Some Revenue Growth Forecasted For Village Farms International?

Village Farms International's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver moderate growth, and importantly, perform in line with the industry.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 2.7% decrease to the company's top line. Still, the latest three year period has seen an excellent 68% overall rise in revenue, in spite of its unsatisfying short-term performance. So we can start by confirming that the company has generally done a very good job of growing revenue over that time, even though it had some hiccups along the way.

Looking ahead now, revenue is anticipated to climb by 13% per year during the coming three years according to the six analysts following the company. That's shaping up to be materially higher than the 2.9% per year growth forecast for the broader industry.

With this in consideration, we find it intriguing that Village Farms International's P/S is closely matching its industry peers. It may be that most investors aren't convinced the company can achieve future growth expectations.

The Bottom Line On Village Farms International's P/S

Village Farms International's stock has a lot of momentum behind it lately, which has brought its P/S level with the rest of the industry. We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.

Looking at Village Farms International's analyst forecasts revealed that its superior revenue outlook isn't giving the boost to its P/S that we would've expected. When we see a strong revenue outlook, with growth outpacing the industry, we can only assume potential uncertainty around these figures are what might be placing slight pressure on the P/S ratio. At least the risk of a price drop looks to be subdued, but investors seem to think future revenue could see some volatility.

Before you settle on your opinion, we've discovered 1 warning sign for Village Farms International that you should be aware of.

If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Village Farms International is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.