Stock Analysis

Not Many Are Piling Into S&W Seed Company (NASDAQ:SANW) Stock Yet As It Plummets 33%

Unfortunately for some shareholders, the S&W Seed Company (NASDAQ:SANW) share price has dived 33% in the last thirty days, prolonging recent pain. For any long-term shareholders, the last month ends a year to forget by locking in a 82% share price decline.

Since its price has dipped substantially, S&W Seed may be sending buy signals at present with its price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.1x, considering almost half of all companies in the Food industry in the United States have P/S ratios greater than 1x and even P/S higher than 3x aren't out of the ordinary. However, the P/S might be low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

See our latest analysis for S&W Seed

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NasdaqCM:SANW Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry October 1st 2024

How S&W Seed Has Been Performing

S&W Seed hasn't been tracking well recently as its declining revenue compares poorly to other companies, which have seen some growth in their revenues on average. It seems that many are expecting the poor revenue performance to persist, which has repressed the P/S ratio. If this is the case, then existing shareholders will probably struggle to get excited about the future direction of the share price.

Keen to find out how analysts think S&W Seed's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

Is There Any Revenue Growth Forecasted For S&W Seed?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, S&W Seed would need to produce sluggish growth that's trailing the industry.

Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 2.5%. The last three years don't look nice either as the company has shrunk revenue by 21% in aggregate. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing revenue over that time.

Looking ahead now, revenue is anticipated to climb by 13% during the coming year according to the sole analyst following the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the industry is forecast to only expand by 2.7%, which is noticeably less attractive.

With this in consideration, we find it intriguing that S&W Seed's P/S sits behind most of its industry peers. Apparently some shareholders are doubtful of the forecasts and have been accepting significantly lower selling prices.

What Does S&W Seed's P/S Mean For Investors?

S&W Seed's P/S has taken a dip along with its share price. It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

To us, it seems S&W Seed currently trades on a significantly depressed P/S given its forecasted revenue growth is higher than the rest of its industry. When we see strong growth forecasts like this, we can only assume potential risks are what might be placing significant pressure on the P/S ratio. While the possibility of the share price plunging seems unlikely due to the high growth forecasted for the company, the market does appear to have some hesitation.

It's always necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 4 warning signs with S&W Seed (at least 1 which is potentially serious), and understanding these should be part of your investment process.

If you're unsure about the strength of S&W Seed's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

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Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About OTCPK:SANW

S&W Seed

An agricultural company, engages in breeding, growing, processing, and sale of alfalfa and sorghum seeds in North and South America, Australia, and internationally.

Slight risk and slightly overvalued.

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