Stock Analysis

Pilgrim's Pride (NASDAQ:PPC) Seems To Be Using A Lot Of Debt

NasdaqGS:PPC
Source: Shutterstock

The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We can see that Pilgrim's Pride Corporation (NASDAQ:PPC) does use debt in its business. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

Check out our latest analysis for Pilgrim's Pride

What Is Pilgrim's Pride's Debt?

As you can see below, at the end of June 2023, Pilgrim's Pride had US$3.70b of debt, up from US$3.39b a year ago. Click the image for more detail. On the flip side, it has US$731.0m in cash leading to net debt of about US$2.97b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NasdaqGS:PPC Debt to Equity History August 14th 2023

A Look At Pilgrim's Pride's Liabilities

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Pilgrim's Pride had liabilities of US$2.54b due within 12 months and liabilities of US$4.31b due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of US$731.0m as well as receivables valued at US$1.30b due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by US$4.82b.

This deficit is considerable relative to its market capitalization of US$6.15b, so it does suggest shareholders should keep an eye on Pilgrim's Pride's use of debt. Should its lenders demand that it shore up the balance sheet, shareholders would likely face severe dilution.

We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

Pilgrim's Pride has a debt to EBITDA ratio of 3.4 and its EBIT covered its interest expense 3.1 times. This suggests that while the debt levels are significant, we'd stop short of calling them problematic. Worse, Pilgrim's Pride's EBIT was down 71% over the last year. If earnings continue to follow that trajectory, paying off that debt load will be harder than convincing us to run a marathon in the rain. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Pilgrim's Pride can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. Over the last three years, Pilgrim's Pride reported free cash flow worth 12% of its EBIT, which is really quite low. For us, cash conversion that low sparks a little paranoia about is ability to extinguish debt.

Our View

We'd go so far as to say Pilgrim's Pride's EBIT growth rate was disappointing. And even its level of total liabilities fails to inspire much confidence. We're quite clear that we consider Pilgrim's Pride to be really rather risky, as a result of its balance sheet health. For this reason we're pretty cautious about the stock, and we think shareholders should keep a close eye on its liquidity. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Be aware that Pilgrim's Pride is showing 3 warning signs in our investment analysis , and 1 of those doesn't sit too well with us...

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.