Stock Analysis

MGP Ingredients (NASDAQ:MGPI) Seems To Use Debt Quite Sensibly

NasdaqGS:MGPI
Source: Shutterstock

The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We can see that MGP Ingredients, Inc. (NASDAQ:MGPI) does use debt in its business. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

Check out our latest analysis for MGP Ingredients

What Is MGP Ingredients's Net Debt?

As you can see below, at the end of March 2024, MGP Ingredients had US$300.8m of debt, up from US$229.6m a year ago. Click the image for more detail. However, it does have US$19.5m in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about US$281.3m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NasdaqGS:MGPI Debt to Equity History July 12th 2024

How Strong Is MGP Ingredients' Balance Sheet?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that MGP Ingredients had liabilities of US$80.3m due within 12 months and liabilities of US$444.5m due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of US$19.5m as well as receivables valued at US$133.0m due within 12 months. So its liabilities total US$372.2m more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

MGP Ingredients has a market capitalization of US$1.55b, so it could very likely raise cash to ameliorate its balance sheet, if the need arose. However, it is still worthwhile taking a close look at its ability to pay off debt.

We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

MGP Ingredients has a low net debt to EBITDA ratio of only 1.5. And its EBIT easily covers its interest expense, being 22.0 times the size. So you could argue it is no more threatened by its debt than an elephant is by a mouse. Also positive, MGP Ingredients grew its EBIT by 20% in the last year, and that should make it easier to pay down debt, going forward. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if MGP Ingredients can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So we always check how much of that EBIT is translated into free cash flow. Looking at the most recent three years, MGP Ingredients recorded free cash flow of 24% of its EBIT, which is weaker than we'd expect. That weak cash conversion makes it more difficult to handle indebtedness.

Our View

Happily, MGP Ingredients's impressive interest cover implies it has the upper hand on its debt. But truth be told we feel its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow does undermine this impression a bit. All these things considered, it appears that MGP Ingredients can comfortably handle its current debt levels. On the plus side, this leverage can boost shareholder returns, but the potential downside is more risk of loss, so it's worth monitoring the balance sheet. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For example - MGP Ingredients has 2 warning signs we think you should be aware of.

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.